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A Taylor Rule for EU members. Does one rule fit to all EU member needs ?

Author

Listed:
  • Stephanos Papadamou

    (UTH - University of Thessaly [Volos])

  • Moise Sidiropoulos

    (Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, BETA - Bureau d'Économie Théorique et Appliquée - INRA - Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique - UNISTRA - Université de Strasbourg - UL - Université de Lorraine - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Aristea Vidra

    (Aristotle University of Thessaloniki)

Abstract

The recent global financial crisis has unsettled the broad acquiescence that has predominated concerning the goals of a Central Bank for years. The viewpoint that the monetary policy makers have to ignore financial stability has started to decay. This paper examines to what extent the ECB's monetary policy decisions are determined by the signals of the financial sphere. This goal is achieved by using the Taylor Rule augmented by variables that can attribute the financial element in order for the behavior of the ECB to be described. This way gives us the opportunity to compare the rates proposed by the Taylor Rule by those that were finally observed not only for the Eurozone in total, but also for some of its member countries individually. The estimations that come from the GMM for the periods before and during the financial crisis provide us with indications concerning the effects of the financial sector over the conduct of the ECB's Monetary Policy as well as the defective operation of the Eurozone. It seems that a common rule does not fit to all members given several observed asymmetries across some members.

Suggested Citation

  • Stephanos Papadamou & Moise Sidiropoulos & Aristea Vidra, 2018. "A Taylor Rule for EU members. Does one rule fit to all EU member needs ?," Post-Print hal-03692180, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03692180
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jeca.2018.e00104
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    Cited by:

    1. Hiroyuki Taguchi & Kenichi Tamegawa & Mesa Wanasilp, 2020. "Taylor Principle under Inflation Targeting in Emerging ASEAN Economies: GMM and DSGE Approaches," Bulletin of Applied Economics, Risk Market Journals, vol. 7(2), pages 35-47.
    2. Donato Masciandaro, 2023. "How Elastic and Predictable Money Should Be: Flexible Monetary Policy Rules from the Great Moderation to the New Normal Times (1993-2023)," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 23196, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    3. Christina Anderl & Guglielmo Maria Caporale, 2023. "Shadow rates as a measure of the monetary policy stance: Some international evidence," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 70(5), pages 399-422, November.
    4. Linas Jurkšas & Francisco Gomes Pereira, 2023. "Do the projected fiscal deficits play a role in ECB monetary policymaking?," Working Papers REM 2023/0258, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    5. Christina Anderl & Guglielmo Maria Caporale, 2024. "Time-varying parameters in monetary policy rules: a GMM approach," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 51(9), pages 148-176, January.
    6. Waheed, Farah & Abdul Rashid,, 2021. "Credit frictions, fiscal imbalances, monetary policy autonomy, and monetary policy rules," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 23(C).
    7. Snyder, Tricia Coxwell & Vale, Sofia, 2022. "House prices and household credit in the Eurozone: A single monetary policy with dissonant transmission mechanisms," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 243-256.
    8. Gkillas, Konstantinos & Tsagkanos, Athanasios & Svingou, Argyro & Siriopoulos, Costas, 2020. "Uncertainty in Euro area and the bond spreads," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 537(C).
    9. Tilfani, Oussama & Kristoufek, Ladislav & Ferreira, Paulo & El Boukfaoui, My Youssef, 2022. "Heterogeneity in economic relationships: Scale dependence through the multivariate fractal regression," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 588(C).
    10. Taguchi, Hiroyuki, 2020. "Monetary Policy Rule and Taylor Principle in Emerging ASEAN Economies: GMM and DSGE Approaches," MPRA Paper 100847, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ECB monetary policy; Taylor Rule; Financial crisis; Asymmetries;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

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