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Oil prices and the US effective exchange rate: A hidden cointegration analysis

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  • Panagiotis Rafailidis
  • Constantinos Katrakilidis

Abstract

We investigate the long-run relationship between the US Dollar effective exchange and the oil prices (wti) over the period from January 1986 to August 2014. We allow for the relationship to be nonlinear by employing the hidden cointegration technique of Granger and Yoon (2002) and Schorderet (2004). The Quandt – Andrews approach allows accounting for structural breaks. The results reveal a long-run relationship between the two markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Panagiotis Rafailidis & Constantinos Katrakilidis, 2016. "Oil prices and the US effective exchange rate: A hidden cointegration analysis," Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 5(4), pages 134-144.
    • Handle: RePEc:ove:journl:aid:11250
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    File URL: https://reunido.uniovi.es/index.php/EBL/article/view/11250
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    7. Donald W. K. Andrews, 2003. "Tests for Parameter Instability and Structural Change with Unknown Change Point: A Corrigendum," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 71(1), pages 395-397, January.
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    1. Ayad Hicham, 2021. "Oil Prices and the Algerian Exchange Rate: Is there any Difference with Hidden Co-Integration?," Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia, Sciendo, vol. 21(1), pages 1-17, June.

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