IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ect/emjrnl/v7y2004i2p476-504.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Oil prices and exchange rates: Norwegian evidence

Author

Listed:
  • Q. Farooq Akram

Abstract

Previous empirical studies have suggested an ambiguous relationship between crude oil prices and exchange rates. In contrast to these studies, we explore the possibility of a non-linear relationship between oil prices and the Norwegian exchange rate. We reveal a negative relationship between oil prices and the value of the Norwegian exchange rate that is relatively strong when oil prices are below 14 dollars and are falling. Allowance for this non-linear relationship leads to an econometrically well specified and interpretable exchange rate model that also has strong predictive properties. Notably, this model substantially improves the forecasts compared with those from a similar model but with linear oil price effects and a random walk model. We undertake an extensive evaluation of our findings to demonstrate their robustness. Copyright Royal Economic Socciety 2004

Suggested Citation

  • Q. Farooq Akram, 2004. "Oil prices and exchange rates: Norwegian evidence," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 7(2), pages 476-504, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:ect:emjrnl:v:7:y:2004:i:2:p:476-504
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    To our knowledge, this item is not available for download. To find whether it is available, there are three options:
    1. Check below whether another version of this item is available online.
    2. Check on the provider's web page whether it is in fact available.
    3. Perform a search for a similarly titled item that would be available.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ect:emjrnl:v:7:y:2004:i:2:p:476-504. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley-Blackwell Digital Licensing or Christopher F. Baum (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/resssea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.