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Asymmetric shocks and international risk sharing in the European Monetary Union and the European Union

Author

Listed:
  • Henryk Bak

    (Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of World Economy)

  • Sebastian Maciejewski

    (PGE Polska Grupa Energetyczna, Risk Department)

Abstract

In this paper we measure the effectiveness of international risk sharing taking place in the Eurozone (EMU) and the European Union (EU) over the most recent period of 1999?2014. We find that on average as much as 75% of shocks have been left unsmoothed during 1999?2014 in the EMU and the EU. Only 6?8% of shocks have been attenuated through the factor income channel and 20?25% of shocks have been smoothed out through the saving channel, predominantly through government saving. Our research shows that risk sharing patterns have not changed considerably after 2008. Importantly, the most recent experience from the period starting with the outbreak of the global financial crisis of 2008+ casts doubt on the ability of international financial markets to smooth large shocks between the euro area countries and back convergence among Eurozone members. A critical discussion about the financial sector�s linkages with the real sector and its influence on economic growth and financial stability of European economies complements the empirical analysis of this paper, providing arguments explaining the relatively low effectiveness of the factor income channel in smoothing asymmetric shocks in the euro area.

Suggested Citation

  • Henryk Bak & Sebastian Maciejewski, 2015. "Asymmetric shocks and international risk sharing in the European Monetary Union and the European Union," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 46(6), pages 523-564.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbp:nbpbik:v:46:y:2015:i:6:p:523-564
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Rosati Dariusz K., 2017. "Asymmetric Shocks in the Euro Area: Convergence or Divergence?," International Journal of Management and Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of World Economy, vol. 53(3), pages 7-25, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    shock absorption; financial markets integration; risk sharing; consumption smoothing; models with panel data;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • E01 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - Measurement and Data on National Income and Product Accounts and Wealth; Environmental Accounts
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration

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