IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v15y2023i7p6099-d1113406.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Development of Trade and Financial-Economical Relationships between China and Russia: A Study Based on the Trade Gravity Model

Author

Listed:
  • Gleb Aksenov

    (Institute of International Economics, Nankai University, Tianjin 300071, China)

  • Ronglin Li

    (Institute of International Economics, Nankai University, Tianjin 300071, China)

  • Qamar Abbas

    (College of Finance and Economics, Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang 212013, China)

  • Houlda Fambo

    (Institute of International Economics, Nankai University, Tianjin 300071, China)

  • Sergey Popkov

    (Department of Financial Management and Financial Law, Moscow Metropolitan Governance Yury Luzhkov University, 107045 Moscow, Russia)

  • Vadim Ponkratov

    (Center of Financial Policy, Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation, 125167 Moscow, Russia)

  • Mikhail Kosov

    (Department of State and Municipal Finance, Plekhanov Russian University of Economics, 115093 Moscow, Russia
    Legal Management Institute HSLA, HSE University, 101000 Moscow, Russia
    Department of Public Finances, Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation, 125167 Moscow, Russia)

  • Izabella Elyakova

    (Department of Economics and Finance, Financial and Economic Institute, M.K. Ammosov North-Eastern Federal University, 677027 Yakutsk, Russia)

  • Marina Vasiljeva

    (Autonomous Non-Profit Organization “Publishing House Scientific Review” (Nauchnoe Obozrenie), 127051 Moscow, Russia
    Atlantic Science and Technology Academic Press, Boston, MA 01233, USA)

Abstract

This article empirically assessed new opportunities and provides a conceptual justification for promising areas of trade and financial and economic relations between China and Russia amidst ongoing global turbulence, the post-COVID situation, and sanctions pressure. The study utilized the trade gravity model, taking into account the latest trends in the development of the research subject and object, as well as current challenges and trends in the global economy. The study revealed similarities between the political systems, reforms, and policies of China and Russia, with centralized power structures overlapping and supporting each other at international forums such as the UNSC. The findings suggest that both countries plan to increase trade volume in the next two years, with China focusing more on trade and economic development, while Russia works to promote security and political stability. This study provides valuable insights into the economic relationship between Russia and China, its impact on the US and Europe, and highlights the need for effective policy interventions to address the challenges posed by this relationship. It offers significant theoretical and practical contributions, including the potential to unlock the potential of national economies, increase their competitiveness and help states enter a phase of advanced and sustainable development. This article provides several policy recommendations to ensure the long-term sustainability of the economic relationship between Russia and China and foster mutual understanding and trust between their peoples. These include promoting trade diversification, enhancing financial cooperation, addressing trade barriers, strengthening political and security coordination, mitigating negative impacts on other countries, promoting sustainable development, and fostering people-to-people exchanges.

Suggested Citation

  • Gleb Aksenov & Ronglin Li & Qamar Abbas & Houlda Fambo & Sergey Popkov & Vadim Ponkratov & Mikhail Kosov & Izabella Elyakova & Marina Vasiljeva, 2023. "Development of Trade and Financial-Economical Relationships between China and Russia: A Study Based on the Trade Gravity Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-39, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:15:y:2023:i:7:p:6099-:d:1113406
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/15/7/6099/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/15/7/6099/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Novy, Dennis, 2013. "International trade without CES: Estimating translog gravity," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(2), pages 271-282.
    2. Hausman, Jerry A & Taylor, William E, 1981. "Panel Data and Unobservable Individual Effects," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 49(6), pages 1377-1398, November.
    3. Bown, Chad P. & Crowley, Meredith A., 2007. "Trade deflection and trade depression," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(1), pages 176-201, May.
    4. Gary Clyde Hufbauer & Jeffrey J. Schott & Kimberly Ann Elliott, 2008. "Economic Sanctions Reconsidered 3rd edition (hardcover + CD)," Peterson Institute Press: All Books, Peterson Institute for International Economics, number 4082.
    5. Leng, Zhihui & Shuai, Jing & Sun, Han & Shi, Zhiyao & Wang, Zihan, 2020. "Do China's wind energy products have potentials for trade with the “Belt and Road” countries? -- A gravity model approach," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    6. Alexey Yu. Mikhaylov, 2015. "Russian Oil and Gas Budget Revenues in 2015: Estimation and Risk," Finansovyj žhurnal — Financial Journal, Financial Research Institute, Moscow 125375, Russia, issue 2, pages 52-59, April.
    7. Zaki Mehchy & Rabie Nasser & Marc Schiffbauer, 2015. "Trade determinants and potential of Syria: using a gravity model ‘with an estimation of the Syrian crisis’ impact on exports’," Middle East Development Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(2), pages 226-251, July.
    8. Sergey Sosnovskikh, 2021. "A new form of parallel trading within economics relations between Russia and China," Post-Communist Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(1), pages 94-118, January.
    9. Gary Clyde Hufbauer & Kimberly Ann Elliott & Tess Cyrus & Elizabeth Winston, 1997. "US Economic Sanctions: Their Impact on Trade, Jobs, and Wages," Working Paper Series Working Paper Special (2), Peterson Institute for International Economics.
    10. Finger, J M & Kreinin, M E, 1979. "A Measure of 'Export Similarity' and Its Possible Uses," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 89(356), pages 905-912, December.
    11. Dreger, Christian & Kholodilin, Konstantin A. & Ulbricht, Dirk & Fidrmuc, Jarko, 2016. "Between the Hammer and the Anvil: The Impact of Economic Sanctions and Oil Prices on Russia’s Ruble," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 44(2), pages 295-308.
    12. Peter Egger, 2002. "An Econometric View on the Estimation of Gravity Models and the Calculation of Trade Potentials," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(2), pages 297-312, February.
    13. James E. Anderson & Eric van Wincoop, 2003. "Gravity with Gravitas: A Solution to the Border Puzzle," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 93(1), pages 170-192, March.
    14. Long Qian & Xiaolin Xu & Yunjie Zhou & Ying Sun & Duoliang Ma, 2023. "Carbon Emission Reduction Effects of the Smart City Pilot Policy in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-24, March.
    15. Baier, Scott L. & Bergstrand, Jeffrey H., 2007. "Do free trade agreements actually increase members' international trade?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(1), pages 72-95, March.
    16. Jiawen Yang & Hossein Askari & John Forrer & Lili Zhu, 2009. "How Do US Economic Sanctions Affect EU's Trade with Target Countries?," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(8), pages 1223-1244, August.
    17. Kaemfer, William H & Lowenberg, Anton D, 1988. "The Theory of International Economic Sanctions: A Public Choice Approach," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 78(4), pages 786-793, September.
    18. repec:kap:iaecre:v:13:y:2007:i:4:p:403-414 is not listed on IDEAS
    19. Zaman, Kazi Arif Uz & Kalirajan, Kaliappa, 2019. "Strengthening of energy security & low-carbon growth in Asia: Role of regional energy cooperation through trade," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    20. Michael Evgenievich Kosov & Ravil Gabdullaevich Akhmadeev & Denis Aleksandrovich Smirnov & Svetlana Petrovna Solyannikova & Inna Nikolaevna Rycova, 2018. "Energy Industry: Effectiveness from Innovations," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 8(4), pages 83-89.
    21. Christos Papazoglou, 2007. "Greece’s Potential Trade Flows: A Gravity Model Approach," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 13(4), pages 403-414, November.
    22. Michael A. Hitt & David Ahlstrom & M. Tina Dacin & Edward Levitas & Lilia Svobodina, 2004. "The Institutional Effects on Strategic Alliance Partner Selection in Transition Economies: China vs. Russia," Organization Science, INFORMS, vol. 15(2), pages 173-185, April.
    23. Susan Hannah Allen, 2005. "The Determinants of Economic Sanctions Success and Failure," International Interactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(2), pages 117-138, March.
    24. Atsuko Matsumura, 2021. "Gravity analysis of trade for environmental goods focusing on bilateral tariff rates and regional integration," Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science, Springer, vol. 5(2), pages 477-511, June.
    25. Narayan, Seema & Nguyen, Tri Tung, 2016. "Does the trade gravity model depend on trading partners? Some evidence from Vietnam and her 54 trading partners," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 220-237.
    26. Artur Meynkhard, 2020. "Priorities of Russian Energy Policy in Russian-Chinese Relations," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(1), pages 65-71.
    27. Raul CARUSO, 2005. "The Impact of International Economic Sanctions on Trade Empirical Evidence over the Period 1960-2000," Rivista Internazionale di Scienze Sociali, Vita e Pensiero, Pubblicazioni dell'Universita' Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, vol. 113(1), pages 41-66.
    28. Thomas Vollrath, 1991. "A theoretical evaluation of alternative trade intensity measures of revealed comparative advantage," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 127(2), pages 265-280, June.
    29. Alexey Mikhaylov, 2019. "Oil and Gas Budget Revenues in Russia after Crisis in 2015," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 9(2), pages 375-380.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Wenjie Li & Chun Luo & Yiwei He & Yu Wan & Hongbo Du, 2023. "Estimating Inter-Regional Freight Demand in China Based on the Input–Output Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-16, June.
    2. Yalin Wang & Jianzhong Liu & Yinbao Zhang & Yabo Wang & Shiyu Zhou & Jingwei Zhang & Xinjia Zhang, 2023. "Analysis of the Evolution of Foreign Trade Patterns and Influencing Factors in Henan Province from 2002 to 2021," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(21), pages 1-21, October.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Liudmila Popova & Ehsan Rasoulinezhad, 2016. "Have Sanctions Modified Iran’s Trade Policy? An Evidence of Asianization and De-Europeanization through the Gravity Model," Economies, MDPI, vol. 4(4), pages 1-15, October.
    2. Pedro E. Moncarz, 2010. "Determinantes del comercio de servicios financieros Potencial de exportaciones para los países sudamericanos," Documentos de trabajo 2010019, Banco Central del Uruguay.
    3. Nguyen, Trung Thanh & Do, Manh Hung, 2021. "Impact of economic sanctions and counter-sanctions on the Russian Federation’s trade," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 267-278.
    4. Anna Miromanova, 2023. "The effectiveness of embargoes: Evidence from Russia," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(4), pages 906-940, April.
    5. Piotr Lukaszuk, 2021. "You can smuggle but you can't hide: Sanction evasion during the Ukraine crisis," Aussenwirtschaft, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science, Swiss Institute for International Economics and Applied Economics Research, vol. 71(01), pages 73-125, December.
    6. Márquez-Ramos , Laura, 2016. "Regionalism, subnational variation and gravity: A four-country tale," INVESTIGACIONES REGIONALES - Journal of REGIONAL RESEARCH, Asociación Española de Ciencia Regional, issue 35, pages 7-36.
    7. (ed.), 0. "Research Handbook on Economic Diplomacy," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 16053.
    8. Shingal, ANIRUDH, 2009. "How much do agreements matter for services trade?," MPRA Paper 32815, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 15 May 2010.
    9. Sally Milton & M A B Siddique, 2014. "Trade Creation and Diversion Under the Thailand-Australia Free Trade Agreement (TAFTA)," Economics Discussion / Working Papers 14-26, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics.
    10. Festus Ebo Turkson, 2012. "Trade Agreements and Bilateral Trade in Sub-Saharan Africa: Estimating the Trade Effects of the EU-ACP PTA and RTAs," Discussion Papers 12/07, University of Nottingham, CREDIT.
    11. Guglielmo Caporale & Christophe Rault & Robert Sova & Anamaria Sova, 2009. "On the bilateral trade effects of free trade agreements between the EU-15 and the CEEC-4 countries," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 145(3), pages 573-573, October.
    12. Zakaria Sorgho, 2016. "RTAs' Proliferation and Trade-diversion Effects: Evidence of the ‘Spaghetti Bowl’ Phenomenon," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 39(2), pages 285-300, February.
    13. Christophe Rault & Robert Sova & Ana Maria Sova, 2009. "Modelling international trade flows between CEEC and OECD countries," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(15), pages 1547-1554.
    14. Head, Keith & Mayer, Thierry, 2014. "Gravity Equations: Workhorse,Toolkit, and Cookbook," Handbook of International Economics, in: Gopinath, G. & Helpman, . & Rogoff, K. (ed.), Handbook of International Economics, edition 1, volume 4, chapter 0, pages 131-195, Elsevier.
    15. Nuria Gallego & Carlos Llano, 2014. "The Border Effect and the Nonlinear Relationship between Trade and Distance," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 22(5), pages 1016-1048, November.
    16. Valeria Costantini & Francesco Crespi, 2015. "European enlargement policy, technological capabilities and sectoral export dynamics," The Journal of Technology Transfer, Springer, vol. 40(1), pages 25-69, February.
    17. Claudio Candia Campano & Medardo Aguirre González & Lilliam Antón López & Javier Beltrán Valdebenito, 2018. "A gravity model of trade for Nicaraguan agricultural exports," Revista Cuadernos de Economia, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID, vol. 37(74), pages 391-428, July.
    18. Salvador Gil-Pareja & Rafael Llorca & Josè A. Martinez-Serrano, 2011. "Is There A Continental Bias In Trade?," ERSA conference papers ersa10p792, European Regional Science Association.
    19. Salamat Ali & Richard Kneller & Chris Milner, 2017. "Market-specific trade costs and firm dynamics in Pakistan: Evaluating the US integrated cargo containers control programme," Discussion Papers 2017-02, University of Nottingham, GEP.
    20. Koji Kubo, 2014. "Myanmar's non-resource export potential after the lifting of economic sanctions: a gravity model analysis," Asia-Pacific Development Journal, United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP), vol. 21(1), pages 1-22, June.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:15:y:2023:i:7:p:6099-:d:1113406. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.