IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ere/journl/v42y2023i2id237.html

Gasto público y ciclos económicos en México, 1980-2021

Author

Listed:
  • Marlen Rocío Reyes-Hernández

    (Universidad Autónoma del Estado de México)

  • Pablo Mejía-Reyes

    (Facultad de Economía)

Abstract

En este documento se analizan los efectos de los componentes del gasto público sobre el ciclo económico de México durante el periodo 1980.1-2021.3 mediante la estimación de regresiones bivariadas con cambio estructural. Aunque nuestros resultados difieren en función del método de eliminación de tendencia y el componente particular del gasto, en general se encuentran cambios estructurales en varias de estas relaciones en torno al año 2000, lo que coincide aproximadamente con el tránsito del manejo del gasto con fines “estabilizadores” a uno “prudencial”. Nuestros principales resultados sugieren que el gasto total y el gasto corriente son procíclicos en toda la muestra, mientras que el gasto programable, el de capital y el de inversión son procíclicos en las primeras dos décadas, pero acíclicos o contracíclicos posteriormente. En general, estos hallazgos implican que el gasto público y sus componentes no amortiguan las fluctuaciones cíclicas y que sus efectos son modestos.

Suggested Citation

  • Marlen Rocío Reyes-Hernández & Pablo Mejía-Reyes, 2023. "Gasto público y ciclos económicos en México, 1980-2021," Ensayos Revista de Economía, Universidad Autónoma de Nuevo León, vol. 42(2), pages 151-182, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:ere:journl:v:42:y:2023:i:2:id:237
    DOI: 10.29105/ensayos42.2-2
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ensayos.uanl.mx/index.php/ensayos/article/view/237
    File Function: Abstract page
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://ensayos.uanl.mx/index.php/ensayos/article/download/237/340
    File Function: Full text
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.29105/ensayos42.2-2?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ere:journl:v:42:y:2023:i:2:id:237. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Revistas UANL (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://ensayos.uanl.mx/index.php/ensayos .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.