IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/trapol/v130y2023icp130-140.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The impact of the COVID-19 outbreak on Japanese shipping industry: An event study approach

Author

Listed:
  • Sakawa, Hideaki
  • Watanabel, Naoki

Abstract

This paper examines the stock market response of Japanese shipping firms on the COVID-19 outbreak. We adopt an event study method to investigate the announcement effect of COVID-19-related news such as the incident of largest numbers of cases in a cruise ship, the Princess Diamond on February 3, 2020 and the tight border closing by the Japanese Government on March 9, 2020. Our empirical results show that the negative abnormal returns are significant for both of these pessimistic COVID-19-related events. The negative return on the incident of Princess Diamond persisted for 30 trading days. Moreover, the negative abnormal return of port operations was stronger than maritime transportation after 30 days. Furthermore, we find that the tight border closing policy persisted for only eight trading days. Finally, we find that government policy responses are effective to mitigate negative announcement effects on COVID-related news post the tightened border control.

Suggested Citation

  • Sakawa, Hideaki & Watanabel, Naoki, 2023. "The impact of the COVID-19 outbreak on Japanese shipping industry: An event study approach," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 130-140.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:trapol:v:130:y:2023:i:c:p:130-140
    DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2022.11.002
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0967070X22003067
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.tranpol.2022.11.002?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Wolfgang Drobetz & Dirk Schilling & Lars Tegtmeier, 2010. "Common risk factors in the returns of shipping stocks," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(2), pages 93-120, March.
    2. Maximilian Ambros & Michael Frenkel & Toan Luu Duc Huynh & Mustafa Kilinc, 2021. "COVID-19 pandemic news and stock market reaction during the onset of the crisis: evidence from high-frequency data," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(19), pages 1686-1689, November.
    3. Al-Awadhi, Abdullah M. & Alsaifi, Khaled & Al-Awadhi, Ahmad & Alhammadi, Salah, 2020. "Death and contagious infectious diseases: Impact of the COVID-19 virus on stock market returns," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    4. Stefano Ramelli & Alexander F. Wagner, 2020. "Feverish Stock Price Reactions to COVID-19," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 20-12, Swiss Finance Institute.
    5. Ferraresi, Massimiliano & Kotsogiannis, Christos & Rizzo, Leonzio & Secomandi, Riccardo, 2020. "The ‘Great Lockdown’ and its determinants," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).
    6. Papapostolou, Nikos C. & Pouliasis, Panos K. & Nomikos, Nikos K. & Kyriakou, Ioannis, 2016. "Shipping investor sentiment and international stock return predictability," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 81-94.
    7. Zhao, Hong-Mei & He, Hong-Di & Lu, Kai-Fa & Han, Xiao-Long & Ding, Yi & Peng, Zhong-Ren, 2022. "Measuring the impact of an exogenous factor: An exponential smoothing model of the response of shipping to COVID-19," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 91-100.
    8. Zhifeng Liu & Toan Luu Duc Huynh & Peng-Fei Dai, 2020. "The impact of COVID-19 on the stock market crash risk in China," Papers 2009.08030, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2021.
    9. Massimiliano Ferraresi & Christos Kotsogiannis & Leonzio Rizzo & Riccardo Secomandi, 2020. "The ‘Great Lockdown’ and its Determinants," Working papers 91, Società Italiana di Economia Pubblica.
    10. Wenmin Wu & Chien-Chiang Lee & Wenwu Xing & Shan-Ju Ho, 2021. "The impact of the COVID-19 outbreak on Chinese-listed tourism stocks," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-18, December.
    11. Goodell, John W. & Huynh, Toan Luu Duc, 2020. "Did Congress trade ahead? Considering the reaction of US industries to COVID-19," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    12. Schell, Daniel & Wang, Mei & Huynh, Toan Luu Duc, 2020. "This time is indeed different: A study on global market reactions to public health crisis," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    13. Ashraf, Badar Nadeem, 2020. "Economic impact of government interventions during the COVID-19 pandemic: International evidence from financial markets," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    14. Aharon, David Y. & Siev, Smadar, 2021. "COVID-19, government interventions and emerging capital markets performance," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    15. Wagner, Alexander F. & Ramelli, Stefano, 2020. "Feverish Stock Price Reactions to COVID-19," CEPR Discussion Papers 14511, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    16. Sergi, Bruno S. & Harjoto, Maretno Agus & Rossi, Fabrizio & Lee, Robert, 2021. "Do stock markets love misery? Evidence from the COVID-19," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
    17. Liu, Zhifeng & Huynh, Toan Luu Duc & Dai, Peng-Fei, 2021. "The impact of COVID-19 on the stock market crash risk in China," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    18. González-Bustamante, Bastián, 2021. "Evolution and early government responses to COVID-19 in South America," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    19. Harjoto, Maretno Agus & Rossi, Fabrizio & Lee, Robert & Kownatzki, Clemens, 2020. "COVID-19: Risk-adjusted portfolio returns of emerging and developed equity markets," Journal of Risk Management in Financial Institutions, Henry Stewart Publications, vol. 14(1), pages 72-83, December.
    20. Huynh, Toan Luu Duc & Foglia, Matteo & Doukas, John A., 2022. "COVID-19 and Tail-event Driven Network Risk in the Eurozone," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 44(C).
    21. Hideaki Sakawa & Naoki Watanabel, 2022. "Impact of the COVID‑19 outbreak on stock market returns: Evidence from Japanese‑listed tourism firms," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(46), pages 5373-5377, October.
    22. Stefano Ramelli & Alexander F Wagner, 2020. "Feverish Stock Price Reactions to COVID-19," The Review of Corporate Finance Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 9(3), pages 622-655.
    23. Nikos C. Papapostolou & Nikos K. Nomikos & Panos K. Pouliasis & Ioannis Kyriakou, 2014. "Investor Sentiment for Real Assets: The Case of Dry Bulk Shipping Market," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 18(4), pages 1507-1539.
    24. Gordon, Daniel V. & Grafton, R. Quentin & Steinshamn, Stein Ivar, 2021. "Cross-country effects and policy responses to COVID-19 in 2020: The Nordic countries," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 198-210.
    25. Størdal, Ståle & Lien, Gudbrand & Mydland, Ørjan & Haugom, Erik, 2021. "Effects of strong and weak non-pharmaceutical interventions on stock market returns: A comparative analysis of Norway and Sweden during the initial phase of the COVID-19 pandemic," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 341-350.
    26. Maretno Agus Harjoto & Fabrizio Rossi & John K. Paglia, 2021. "COVID-19: stock market reactions to the shock and the stimulus," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(10), pages 795-801, June.
    27. Philipp Lauenstein & André Küster Simic, 2017. "Information processing in freight and freight forward markets: an event study on OPEC announcements," International Journal of Financial Markets and Derivatives, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 6(2), pages 149-181.
    28. Fama, Eugene F, et al, 1969. "The Adjustment of Stock Prices to New Information," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 10(1), pages 1-21, February.
    29. Huynh, Toan Luu Duc & Foglia, Matteo & Nasir, Muhammad Ali & Angelini, Eliana, 2021. "Feverish sentiment and global equity markets during the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 1088-1108.
    30. Hao Xiong & Zuofeng Wu & Fei Hou & Jun Zhang, 2020. "Which Firm-specific Characteristics Affect the Market Reaction of Chinese Listed Companies to the COVID-19 Pandemic?," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(10), pages 2231-2242, August.
    31. Smriti Mallapaty, 2020. "What the cruise-ship outbreaks reveal about COVID-19," Nature, Nature, vol. 580(7801), pages 18-18, April.
    32. Alex Edmans & Diego García & Øyvind Norli, 2007. "Sports Sentiment and Stock Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 62(4), pages 1967-1998, August.
    33. Gavalas, Dimitris & Syriopoulos, Theodoros & Tsatsaronis, Michael, 2022. "COVID–19 impact on the shipping industry: An event study approach," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 157-164.
    34. Fama, Eugene F. & French, Kenneth R., 1993. "Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 3-56, February.
    35. Chowdhury, Mohammad Ashraful Ferdous & Meo, Muhammad Saeed & Aloui, Chaker, 2021. "How world uncertainties and global pandemics destabilized food, energy and stock markets? Fresh evidence from quantile on quantile regressions," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    36. HaiYue Liu & Yile Wang & Dongmei He & Cangyu Wang, 2020. "Short term response of Chinese stock markets to the outbreak of COVID-19," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(53), pages 5859-5872, November.
    37. Erdem, Orhan, 2020. "Freedom and stock market performance during Covid-19 outbreak," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    38. Ashraf, Badar Nadeem, 2020. "Stock markets’ reaction to COVID-19: Cases or fatalities?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Kotcharin, Suntichai & Maneenop, Sakkakom & Jaroenjitrkam, Anutchanat, 2023. "The impact of government policy responses on airline stock return during the COVID-19 crisis," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    2. Ghareeb Ahmad, 2023. "Time Time Series Forecasting of Stock Price for Maritime Shipping Company in COVID-19 Period Using Multi-Step Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Networks," Proceedings of the International Conference on Business Excellence, Sciendo, vol. 17(1), pages 1728-1747, July.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Hasan, Md. Tanvir, 2022. "The sum of all SCARES COVID-19 sentiment and asset return," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 332-346.
    2. Rouatbi, Wael & Demir, Ender & Kizys, Renatas & Zaremba, Adam, 2021. "Immunizing markets against the pandemic: COVID-19 vaccinations and stock volatility around the world," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    3. Aharon, David Y. & Siev, Smadar, 2021. "COVID-19, government interventions and emerging capital markets performance," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    4. Kamal, Javed Bin & Wohar, Mark, 2023. "Heterogenous responses of stock markets to covid related news and sentiments: Evidence from the 1st year of pandemic," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 68-85.
    5. Rao, Purnima & Goyal, Nisha & Kumar, Satish & Hassan, M. Kabir & Shahimi, Shahida, 2021. "Vulnerability of financial markets in India: The contagious effect of COVID-19," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    6. Alam, Md Shabbir & Murshed, Muntasir & Manigandan, Palanisamy & Pachiyappan, Duraisamy & Abduvaxitovna, Shamansurova Zilola, 2023. "Forecasting oil, coal, and natural gas prices in the pre-and post-COVID scenarios: Contextual evidence from India using time series forecasting tools," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    7. Demir, Ender & Danisman, Gamze Ozturk, 2021. "Banking sector reactions to COVID-19: The role of bank-specific factors and government policy responses," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    8. Martins, António Miguel & Cró, Susana, 2022. "Airline stock markets reaction to the COVID-19 outbreak and vaccines: An event study," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    9. Chortane, Sana Gaied & Pandey, Dharen Kumar, 2022. "Does the Russia-Ukraine war lead to currency asymmetries? A US dollar tale," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
    10. Peng-Fei Dai & Xiong Xiong & Zhifeng Liu & Toan Luu Duc Huynh & Jianjun Sun, 2021. "Preventing crash in stock market: The role of economic policy uncertainty during COVID-19," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-15, December.
    11. Ashraf, Badar Nadeem & Goodell, John W., 2022. "The impact of social cohesion on stock market resilience: Evidence from COVID-19," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    12. Jiongye Jin & Jianing Zhang, 2023. "The Stock Performance of Green Bond Issuers During COVID-19 Pandemic: The Case of China," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 30(1), pages 211-230, March.
    13. Ashraf, Badar Nadeem, 2021. "Stock markets’ reaction to Covid-19: Moderating role of national culture," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).
    14. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Karikari, Nana Kwasi & Gil-Alana, Luis Alberiko, 2022. "The outbreak of COVID-19 and stock market liquidity: Evidence from emerging and developed equity markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    15. Wang, Zhixuan & Dong, Yanli & Liu, Ailan, 2022. "How does China's stock market react to supply chain disruptions from COVID-19?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    16. Cakici, Nusret & Zaremba, Adam, 2021. "Who should be afraid of infections? Pandemic exposure and the cross-section of stock returns," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    17. Dash, Saumya Ranjan & Maitra, Debasish, 2022. "The COVID-19 pandemic uncertainty, investor sentiment, and global equity markets: Evidence from the time-frequency co-movements," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    18. Zaremba, Adam & Kizys, Renatas & Tzouvanas, Panagiotis & Aharon, David Y. & Demir, Ender, 2021. "The quest for multidimensional financial immunity to the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from international stock markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    19. Szczygielski, Jan Jakub & Charteris, Ailie & Bwanya, Princess Rutendo & Brzeszczyński, Janusz, 2022. "The impact and role of COVID-19 uncertainty: A global industry analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    20. Szczygielski, Jan Jakub & Charteris, Ailie & Bwanya, Princess Rutendo & Brzeszczyński, Janusz, 2023. "Which COVID-19 information really impacts stock markets?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:trapol:v:130:y:2023:i:c:p:130-140. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/30473/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.