IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/riibaf/v42y2017icp865-873.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Herding behavior in the Pakistan stock exchange: Some new insights

Author

Listed:
  • Shah, Mohay Ud Din
  • Shah, Attaullah
  • Khan, Safi Ullah

Abstract

This study attempts to examine the presence of herding behavior in the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX). The novel contribution of this paper is that it investigates the herding phenomenon from a large number of facets such as herding of firms towards market, herding of firms towards industry portfolios, herding of industry portfolios towards market, herding in mostly traded stocks and in large and small stocks, and herding in the crisis period. For this purpose, we use the herding behavior model of Christie and Huang (1995) on the daily closing prices data of 609 firms listed on the PSX from January 2004 to December 2013. Results show that individual firms do not herd towards market index, except when the market experiences a negative return of 5%. However, when we sort firms into small and large groups based on median market capitalization, results indicate that large firms show herding behavior in extreme market movements. Further, we find that firms in several industries herd towards their industry portfolios. However, we find weak evidence of industry portfolios herding towards the market. We also segregate the impact of financial crisis of 2008 from normal times. These findings support results of our baseline estimation.

Suggested Citation

  • Shah, Mohay Ud Din & Shah, Attaullah & Khan, Safi Ullah, 2017. "Herding behavior in the Pakistan stock exchange: Some new insights," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 865-873.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:riibaf:v:42:y:2017:i:c:p:865-873
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2017.07.022
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0275531916303208
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ribaf.2017.07.022?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Chang, Eric C. & Cheng, Joseph W. & Khorana, Ajay, 2000. "An examination of herd behavior in equity markets: An international perspective," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(10), pages 1651-1679, October.
    2. Lakonishok, Josef & Shleifer, Andrei & Vishny, Robert W., 1992. "The impact of institutional trading on stock prices," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 23-43, August.
    3. R. Gaston Gelos & Shang‐Jin Wei, 2005. "Transparency and International Portfolio Holdings," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 60(6), pages 2987-3020, December.
    4. Safi Ullah Khan & Zaheer Abbas, 2013. "Does Equity Derivatives Trading Affect the Systematic Risk of the Underlying Stocks in an Emerging Market: Evidence from Pakistan’s Futures Market," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, vol. 18(1), pages 63-80, Jan-June.
    5. Safi Ullah Khan & Syed Tahir Hijazi, 2009. "Single Stock Futures Trading and Stock Price Volatility: Empirical Analysis," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 48(4), pages 553-563.
    6. repec:lje:journl:v:2:y:2006:i:2:p:107-121 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Barberis, Nicholas & Thaler, Richard, 2003. "A survey of behavioral finance," Handbook of the Economics of Finance, in: G.M. Constantinides & M. Harris & R. M. Stulz (ed.), Handbook of the Economics of Finance, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 18, pages 1053-1128, Elsevier.
    8. Zhiyong Dong & Qingyang Gu & Xu Han, 2010. "Ambiguity aversion and rational herd behaviour," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(4), pages 331-343.
    9. Muhammad Akbar & Muhammad Kamran Khan & Shahid Ali, 2010. "The Relationship between EVA and Stock Returns: Empirical Evidence from KSE," Business & Economic Review, Institute of Management Sciences, Peshawar, Pakistan, vol. 2(2), pages 1-5, October.
    10. Attaullah Shah & Shahid Ali Khan, 2009. "Empirical Investigation of Debt-Maturity Structure: Evidence from Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 48(4), pages 565-578.
    11. Shleifer, Andrei, 2000. "Inefficient Markets: An Introduction to Behavioral Finance," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198292272, Decembrie.
    12. Fahad Abdullah & Attaullah Shah & Safi Ullah Khan, 2012. "Firm Performance and the Nature of Agency Problems in Insiders-controlled Firms: Evidence from Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 51(4), pages 161-183.
    13. Asmat Ullah & Syed Waqar Hussain & Zahoor Khan & Muhammad Rafiq, 2011. "Shocks in Macroeconomic Variables and Stock Market Stability: Case Study of KSE-100 Index," Business & Economic Review, Institute of Management Sciences, Peshawar, Pakistan, vol. 3(2), pages 154-163, October.
    14. Devenow, Andrea & Welch, Ivo, 1996. "Rational herding in financial economics," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 40(3-5), pages 603-615, April.
    15. Qamar Ishtiaq & Fahad Abdullah, 2015. "Ownership Concentration and Cross-Autocorrelation in Portfolio Returns," Business & Economic Review, Institute of Management Sciences, Peshawar, Pakistan, vol. 7(2), pages 85-104, October.
    16. Economou, Fotini & Kostakis, Alexandros & Philippas, Nikolaos, 2011. "Cross-country effects in herding behaviour: Evidence from four south European markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 21(3), pages 443-460, July.
    17. Attaullah Shah, 2011. "Impact of Judicial Efficiency on Debt Maturity Structure: Evidence from Judicial Districts of Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 50(4), pages 663-682.
    18. Andreas Walter & Friedrich Moritz Weber, 2006. "Herding in the German Mutual Fund Industry," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 12(3), pages 375-406, June.
    19. Lao, Paulo & Singh, Harminder, 2011. "Herding behaviour in the Chinese and Indian stock markets," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(6), pages 495-506.
    20. Wen-Chung Guo & Hsiu-Ting Shih, 2008. "The co-movement of stock prices, herd behaviour and high-tech mania," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(16), pages 1343-1350.
    21. Demirer, RIza & Kutan, Ali M., 2006. "Does herding behavior exist in Chinese stock markets?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 123-142, April.
    22. Imran Riaz Malik & Attaullah Shah, 2016. "Resumption of Single Stock Futures (SSFs) with Stringent Regulations and their Impact on the Risk Characteristics of the Underlying Stocks," Business & Economic Review, Institute of Management Sciences, Peshawar, Pakistan, vol. 8(2), pages 1-22, October.
    23. Yao, Juan & Ma, Chuanchan & He, William Peng, 2014. "Investor herding behaviour of Chinese stock market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 12-29.
    24. Muhammad Akbar & Shahid Ali & Faheera Tariq, 2009. "The Determinants Of Capital Structure In The Textile Sector Of Pakistan," Business & Economic Review, Institute of Management Sciences, Peshawar, Pakistan, vol. 1(1), pages 15-19, April.
    25. Vasileios Kallinterakis & Nomana Munir & Mirjana Radovic-Markovic, 2010. "Herd Behaviour, Illiquidity and Extreme Market States," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 9(3), pages 305-324, December.
    26. Mobarek, Asma & Mollah, Sabur & Keasey, Kevin, 2014. "A cross-country analysis of herd behavior in Europe," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 107-127.
    27. Attaullah Shah & Tahir Hijazi, 2004. "The Determinants of Capital Structure of Stock Exchange-listed Non-financial Firms in Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 43(4), pages 605-618.
    28. Gleason, Kimberly C. & Mathur, Ike & Peterson, Mark A., 2004. "Analysis of intraday herding behavior among the sector ETFs," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 11(5), pages 681-694, December.
    29. Attaullah Shah & Zahoor Khan, 2016. "Importance of Judicial Efficiency in Capital Structure Decisions of Small Firms: Evidence from Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 55(4), pages 361-394.
    30. Arsalan Siraj Mir & Attaur Rahman, 2012. "Lead lag Relationship: Analysis of KSE," Business & Economic Review, Institute of Management Sciences, Peshawar, Pakistan, vol. 4(2), pages 44-56, October.
    31. Mr. Sunil Sharma & Sushil Bikhchandani, 2000. "Herd Behavior in Financial Markets: A Review," IMF Working Papers 2000/048, International Monetary Fund.
    32. Bowe, Michael & Domuta, Daniela, 2004. "Investor herding during financial crisis: A clinical study of the Jakarta Stock Exchange," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 12(4), pages 387-418, September.
    33. Ejaz Hussain & Attaullah Shah, 2015. "Impact of ownership structure on dividend smoothing: a comparison of family and non-family firms in Pakistan," Afro-Asian Journal of Finance and Accounting, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 5(4), pages 356-377.
    34. Guillermo Llorente & Roni Michaely & Gideon Saar & Jiang Wang, 2002. "Dynamic Volume-Return Relation of Individual Stocks," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 15(4), pages 1005-1047.
    35. Hwang, Soosung & Salmon, Mark, 2004. "Market stress and herding," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 11(4), pages 585-616, September.
    36. Chiang, Thomas C. & Zheng, Dazhi, 2010. "An empirical analysis of herd behavior in global stock markets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(8), pages 1911-1921, August.
    37. Haroon Khan & Slim Hassairi & Jean-Laurent Viviani, 2011. "Herd behavior and market stress: The case of four European countries," Post-Print halshs-00657380, HAL.
    38. Gavriilidis, Konstantinos & Kallinterakis, Vasileios & Ferreira, Mario Pedro Leite, 2013. "Institutional industry herding: Intentional or spurious?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 192-214.
    39. Chiang, Thomas C. & Li, Jiandong & Tan, Lin, 2010. "Empirical investigation of herding behavior in Chinese stock markets: Evidence from quantile regression analysis," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 111-124.
    40. Fan, Joseph P. H. & Wong, T. J., 2002. "Corporate ownership structure and the informativeness of accounting earnings in East Asia," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 401-425, August.
    41. Safi Ullah Khan, 2006. "Role of the Futures Market on Volatility and Price Discovery of the Spot Market: Evidence from Pakistan’s Stock Market," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, vol. 11(2), pages 107-121, Jul-Dec.
    42. Zhou, Rhea Tingyu & Lai, Rose Neng, 2009. "Herding and information based trading," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 388-393, June.
    43. Julia Henker & Thomas Henker & Anna Mitsios, 2006. "Do investors herd intraday in Australian equities?," International Journal of Managerial Finance, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 2(3), pages 196-219, September.
    44. Balcilar, Mehmet & Demirer, Rıza & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2013. "Investor herds and regime-switching: Evidence from Gulf Arab stock markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 295-321.
    45. Falkenstein, Eric G, 1996. "Preferences for Stock Characteristics as Revealed by Mutual Fund Portfolio Holdings," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 51(1), pages 111-135, March.
    46. John R. Nofsinger & Richard W. Sias, 1999. "Herding and Feedback Trading by Institutional and Individual Investors," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 54(6), pages 2263-2295, December.
    47. Shahid Ali & Qamar Ishtiaq & Muhammad Naveed, 2011. "Impact of Dividend Policy on Shareholders' Wealth: A Case of Karachi Stock Exchange," Business & Economic Review, Institute of Management Sciences, Peshawar, Pakistan, vol. 3(1), pages 106-121, April.
    48. Anchor Y. Lin & Peggy E. Swanson, 2003. "The Behavior and Performance of Foreign Investors in Emerging Equity Markets: Evidence from Taiwan," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 4(3‐4), pages 189-210, September.
    49. Malik, Saif Ullah & Elahi, Muhammad Ather, 2014. "Analysis of Herd Behavior Using Quantile Regression: Evidence from Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE)," MPRA Paper 55322, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Wing Him Yeung & Yilisha Pang & Asad Aman, 2020. "South–South Cooperation in South and East Asia: An Event Study of the China–Pakistan Economic Corridor," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 21(1), pages 54-67, February.
    2. Mohammad K. Elshqirat, 2020. "Remeasuring Sectoral Herding in the Financial Markets," International Business Research, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 13(8), pages 1-1, August.
    3. Puput Tri Komalasari & Marwan Asri & Bernardinus M. Purwanto & Bowo Setiyono, 2022. "Herding behaviour in the capital market: What do we know and what is next?," Management Review Quarterly, Springer, vol. 72(3), pages 745-787, September.
    4. Zeeshan Ahmed & Shahid Rasool & Qasim Saleem & Mubashir Ali Khan & Shamsa Kanwal, 2022. "Mediating Role of Risk Perception Between Behavioral Biases and Investor’s Investment Decisions," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(2), pages 21582440221, May.
    5. Sayyed Sadaqat Hussain Shah & Muhammad Asif Khan & Natanya Meyer & Daniel F. Meyer & Judit Oláh, 2019. "Does Herding Bias Drive the Firm Value? Evidence from the Chinese Equity Market," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(20), pages 1-20, October.
    6. Chong, Oiping & Bany- Ariffin, A.N. & Matemilola, Bolaji Tunde & McGowan, C.B., 2020. "Can China’s cross-sectional dispersion of stock returns influence the herding behaviour of traders in other local markets and China’s trading partners?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    7. Dorika Jeremiah Mwamtambulo, 2019. "Herding Behaviours in Poland and Tanzania," Proceedings of International Academic Conferences 9011210, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
    8. Ahmed, Rizwan & ullah, Subhan & Hudson, Robert & Gregoriou, Andros, 2023. "The implications of liquidity ratios: Evidence from Pakistan stock exchange limited," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 235-243.
    9. Muhammad Kashif & Rana Palwishah & Rizwan Raheem Ahmed & Jolita Vveinhardt & Dalia Streimikiene, 2021. "Do investors herd? An examination of Pakistan stock exchange," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 2090-2105, April.
    10. Imran Yousaf & Shoaib Ali & Syed Zulfiqar Ali Shah, 2018. "Herding behavior in Ramadan and financial crises: the case of the Pakistani stock market," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 4(1), pages 1-14, December.
    11. Anam Yasir & Umar Safdar & Yasir Javaid, 2022. "Herd behaviour in foreign exchange market," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 11(1), pages 1-12, December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Puput Tri Komalasari & Marwan Asri & Bernardinus M. Purwanto & Bowo Setiyono, 2022. "Herding behaviour in the capital market: What do we know and what is next?," Management Review Quarterly, Springer, vol. 72(3), pages 745-787, September.
    2. Guney, Yilmaz & Kallinterakis, Vasileios & Komba, Gabriel, 2017. "Herding in frontier markets: Evidence from African stock exchanges," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 152-175.
    3. Yi-Chang Chen & Hung-Che Wu & Jen-Jsung Huang, 2017. "Herd Behavior and Rational Expectations: A Test of China's Market Using Quantile Regression," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(2), pages 649-663.
    4. Andrikopoulos, Panagiotis & Kallinterakis, Vasileios & Leite Ferreira, Mario Pedro & Verousis, Thanos, 2017. "Intraday herding on a cross-border exchange," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 25-36.
    5. Charilaos Mertzanis & Noha Allam, 2018. "Political Instability and Herding Behaviour: Evidence from Egypt’s Stock Market," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 17(1), pages 29-59, April.
    6. Duygun, Meryem & Tunaru, Radu & Vioto, Davide, 2021. "Herding by corporates in the US and the Eurozone through different market conditions," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    7. Economou, Fotini & Gavriilidis, Konstantinos & Goyal, Abhinav & Kallinterakis, Vasileios, 2015. "Herding dynamics in exchange groups: Evidence from Euronext," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 228-244.
    8. Pegah Dehghani & Ros Zam Zam Sapian, 2014. "Sectoral herding behavior in the aftermarket of Malaysian IPOs," Venture Capital, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(3), pages 227-246, July.
    9. Arjoon, Vaalmikki & Bhatnagar, Chandra Shekhar & Ramlakhan, Prakash, 2020. "Herding in the Singapore stock Exchange," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    10. Indārs, Edgars Rihards & Savin, Aliaksei & Lublóy, Ágnes, 2019. "Herding behaviour in an emerging market: Evidence from the Moscow Exchange," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 468-487.
    11. Batmunkh John Munkh-Ulzii & Michael McAleer & Massoud Moslehpour & Wing-Keung Wong, 2018. "Confucius and Herding Behaviour in the Stock Markets in China and Taiwan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-16, November.
    12. Hilal Hümeyra Özsu, 2015. "Empirical Analysis of Herd Behavior in Borsa Istanbul," International Journal of Economic Sciences, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences, vol. 4(4), pages 27-52, December.
    13. Oi-Ping Chong & A.N. Bany-Ariffin & Annuar Md Nassir & Junaina Muhammad, 2019. "An Empirical Study of Herding Behaviour in China’s A-Share and B-Share Markets: Evidence of Bidirectional Herding Activities," Capital Markets Review, Malaysian Finance Association, vol. 27(2), pages 37-57.
    14. Humayun Kabir, M. & Shakur, Shamim, 2018. "Regime-dependent herding behavior in Asian and Latin American stock markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 60-78.
    15. Gębka, Bartosz & Wohar, Mark E., 2013. "International herding: Does it differ across sectors?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 55-84.
    16. Galariotis, Emilios C. & Krokida, Styliani-Iris & Spyrou, Spyros I., 2016. "Bond market investor herding: Evidence from the European financial crisis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 367-375.
    17. Liu, Tengdong & Zheng, Dazhi & Zheng, Suyan & Lu, Yang, 2023. "Herding in Chinese stock markets: Evidence from the dual-investor-group," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    18. Saadaoui Mallek, Ray & Albaity, Mohamed & Molyneux, Philip, 2022. "Herding behaviour heterogeneity under economic and political risks: Evidence from GCC," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 345-361.
    19. Babalos, Vassilios & Stavroyiannis, Stavros & Gupta, Rangan, 2015. "Do commodity investors herd? Evidence from a time-varying stochastic volatility model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 46(P2), pages 281-287.
    20. Philippas, Nikolaos & Economou, Fotini & Babalos, Vassilios & Kostakis, Alexandros, 2013. "Herding behavior in REITs: Novel tests and the role of financial crisis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 166-174.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:riibaf:v:42:y:2017:i:c:p:865-873. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/ribaf .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.