IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reveco/v90y2024icp32-44.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Are we in a bubble? Financial vulnerabilities in semiconductor, Web3, and genetic engineering markets

Author

Listed:
  • Wu, Zewen

Abstract

In the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, investor interest in the Genetic Engineering sector surged, yet the literature largely overlooks potential price bubbles in this domain. Our study innovatively examines intrinsic price determinants, emphasizing their relation to human behavior. We rigorously investigate price bubbles in the Semiconductor, Web3, and Genetic Engineering sectors from August 2018 to August 2023, leveraging the methodologies of SADF and GSADF. By employing economically and computationally refined ratios, we accurately timestamp bubble occurrences. Our results indicate pronounced price bubble manifestations in all three sectors. Furthermore, GSADF-detected bubbles demonstrate heightened volatility compared to those identified by SADF.

Suggested Citation

  • Wu, Zewen, 2024. "Are we in a bubble? Financial vulnerabilities in semiconductor, Web3, and genetic engineering markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 32-44.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:reveco:v:90:y:2024:i:c:p:32-44
    DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2023.11.002
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1059056023004185
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.iref.2023.11.002?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Peter C. B. Phillips & Shuping Shi & Jun Yu, 2015. "Testing For Multiple Bubbles: Historical Episodes Of Exuberance And Collapse In The S&P 500," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 56(4), pages 1043-1078, November.
    2. Peter C. B. Phillips & Yangru Wu & Jun Yu, 2011. "EXPLOSIVE BEHAVIOR IN THE 1990s NASDAQ: WHEN DID EXUBERANCE ESCALATE ASSET VALUES?," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 52(1), pages 201-226, February.
    3. Corbet, Shaen & Lucey, Brian & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2018. "Datestamping the Bitcoin and Ethereum bubbles," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 81-88.
    4. Peter C. B. Phillips & Jun Yu, 2011. "Dating the timeline of financial bubbles during the subprime crisis," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 2(3), pages 455-491, November.
    5. Rui Tian & Xin Feng & Long Wei & Daoguo Dai & Ying Ma & Haifeng Pan & Shengxiang Ge & Lang Bai & Chaomin Ke & Yanlin Liu & Lixin Lang & Shoujun Zhu & Haitao Sun & Yanbao Yu & Xiaoyuan Chen, 2022. "A genetic engineering strategy for editing near-infrared-II fluorophores," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-15, December.
    6. Wang, Yizhi & Lucey, Brian M. & Vigne, Samuel A. & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2022. "The Effects of Central Bank Digital Currencies News on Financial Markets," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    7. Helong Li & Huiqiong Chen & Guanglong Xu & Weiguo Zhang, 2023. "COVID-19, various government interventions and stock market performance," China Finance Review International, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 13(4), pages 621-632, September.
    8. Oscar Lage & María Saiz-Santos & José Manuel Zarzuelo, 2022. "Decentralized platform economy: emerging blockchain-based decentralized platform business models," Electronic Markets, Springer;IIM University of St. Gallen, vol. 32(3), pages 1707-1723, September.
    9. Chien, Chen-Fu & Chen, Yun-Ju & Peng, Jin-Tang, 2010. "Manufacturing intelligence for semiconductor demand forecast based on technology diffusion and product life cycle," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(2), pages 496-509, December.
    10. Faten Tlili & Mustapha Chaffai & Imed Medhioub, 2023. "Investor behavior and psychological effects: herding and anchoring biases in the MENA region," China Finance Review International, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 13(4), pages 667-681, May.
    11. Bai, Lan & Wei, Yu & Zhang, Jiahao & Wang, Yizhi & Lucey, Brian M., 2023. "Diversification effects of China's carbon neutral bond on renewable energy stock markets: A minimum connectedness portfolio approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    12. Wei, Yu & Wang, Yizhi & Lucey, Brian M. & Vigne, Samuel A., 2023. "Cryptocurrency uncertainty and volatility forecasting of precious metal futures markets," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 29(C).
    13. Jarque, Carlos M. & Bera, Anil K., 1980. "Efficient tests for normality, homoscedasticity and serial independence of regression residuals," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 6(3), pages 255-259.
    14. Leilei Shi & Xinshuai Guo & Andrea Fenu & Bing-Hong Wang, 2023. "The underlying coherent behavior in intraday dynamic market equilibrium," China Finance Review International, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 13(4), pages 568-598, January.
    15. Yizhi Wang & Florian Horky & Lennart J. Baals & Brian M. Lucey & Samuel A. Vigne, 2022. "Bubbles all the way down? Detecting and date-stamping bubble behaviours in NFT and DeFi markets," Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(4), pages 415-436, October.
    16. Wang, Yizhi, 2022. "Volatility spillovers across NFTs news attention and financial markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    17. Peter C. B. Phillips & Shuping Shi & Jun Yu, 2015. "Testing For Multiple Bubbles: Historical Episodes Of Exuberance And Collapse In The S&P 500," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 56, pages 1043-1078, November.
    18. Khan, Khalid & Su, Chi Wei & Khurshid, Adnan, 2022. "Do booms and busts identify bubbles in energy prices?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    19. Lucey, Brian M. & Vigne, Samuel A. & Yarovaya, Larisa & Wang, Yizhi, 2022. "The cryptocurrency uncertainty index," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    20. Ramit Sawhney & Shivam Agarwal & Vivek Mittal & Paolo Rosso & Vikram Nanda & Sudheer Chava, 2022. "Cryptocurrency Bubble Detection: A New Stock Market Dataset, Financial Task & Hyperbolic Models," Papers 2206.06320, arXiv.org.
    21. Yizhi Wang & Brian Lucey & Samuel Alexandre Vigne & Larisa Yarovaya, 2022. "An index of cryptocurrency environmental attention (ICEA)," China Finance Review International, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 12(3), pages 378-414, January.
    22. Kyriazis, Nikolaos & Papadamou, Stephanos & Corbet, Shaen, 2020. "A systematic review of the bubble dynamics of cryptocurrency prices," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    23. Maouchi, Youcef & Charfeddine, Lanouar & El Montasser, Ghassen, 2022. "Understanding digital bubbles amidst the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from DeFi and NFTs," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
    24. Wang, Yizhi & Wei, Yu & Lucey, Brian M. & Su, Yang, 2023. "Return spillover analysis across central bank digital currency attention and cryptocurrency markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    25. Li, Sen & Chen, Yan, 2023. "How nonfungible tokens empower business model innovation," Business Horizons, Elsevier, vol. 66(4), pages 543-554.
    26. Murray, Alex & Kim, Dennie & Combs, Jordan, 2023. "The promise of a decentralized internet: What is Web3 and how can firms prepare?," Business Horizons, Elsevier, vol. 66(2), pages 191-202.
    27. Muhammad Usman & Waheed Akhter & Abdul Haque, 2023. "Spillover effects of crash and jump events: evidence from Chinese market," China Finance Review International, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 13(4), pages 599-620, June.
    28. Bera, Anil K. & Jarque, Carlos M., 1981. "Efficient tests for normality, homoscedasticity and serial independence of regression residuals : Monte Carlo Evidence," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 7(4), pages 313-318.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Assaf, Ata & Demir, Ender & Ersan, Oguz, 2024. "Detecting and date-stamping bubbles in fan tokens," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 98-113.
    2. Kong, Xiaolin & Ma, Chaoqun & Ren, Yi-Shuai & Baltas, Konstantinos & Narayan, Seema, 2024. "A comparative analysis of the price explosiveness in Bitcoin and forked coins," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    3. Bellón, Carlos & Figuerola-Ferretti, Isabel, 2022. "Bubbles in Ethereum," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    4. Podhorsky, Andrea, 2024. "Bursting the bitcoin bubble: Do market prices reflect fundamental bitcoin value?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    5. Yang, Hui & Ferrer, Román, 2023. "Explosive behavior in the Chinese stock market: A sectoral analysis," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    6. Haykir, Ozkan & Yagli, Ibrahim & Aktekin Gok, Emine Dilara & Budak, Hilal, 2022. "Oil price explosivity and stock return: Do sector and firm size matter?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    7. Li, Zheng-Zheng & Su, Chi-Wei & Chang, Tsangyao & Lobonţ, Oana-Ramona, 2022. "Policy-driven or market-driven? Evidence from steam coal price bubbles in China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    8. Wang, Yizhi, 2022. "Volatility spillovers across NFTs news attention and financial markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    9. Chowdhury, Md Shahedur R. & Damianov, Damian S., 2024. "Uncertainty and bubbles in cryptocurrencies: Evidence from newly developed uncertainty indices," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    10. Chang, Chiu-Lan, 2024. "Extreme events, economic uncertainty and speculation on occurrences of price bubbles in crude oil futures," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    11. Caravello, Tomas E. & Psaradakis, Zacharias & Sola, Martin, 2023. "Rational bubbles: Too many to be true?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    12. Francisco Blasques & Siem Jan Koopman & Gabriele Mingoli, 2023. "Observation-Driven filters for Time- Series with Stochastic Trends and Mixed Causal Non-Causal Dynamics," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 23-065/III, Tinbergen Institute, revised 01 Mar 2024.
    13. Chen, Bin-xia & Sun, Yan-lin, 2024. "Risk characteristics and connectedness in cryptocurrency markets: New evidence from a non-linear framework," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(PA).
    14. Cervera, Ignacio & Figuerola-Ferretti, Isabel, 2024. "Credit risk and bubble behavior of credit default swaps in the corporate energy sector," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 702-731.
    15. Lui, Yiu Lim & Phillips, Peter C.B. & Yu, Jun, 2024. "Robust testing for explosive behavior with strongly dependent errors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 238(2).
    16. Efthymios Pavlidis & Alisa Yusupova & Ivan Paya & David Peel & Enrique Martínez-García & Adrienne Mack & Valerie Grossman, 2016. "Episodes of Exuberance in Housing Markets: In Search of the Smoking Gun," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 53(4), pages 419-449, November.
    17. Michaelides, Panayotis G. & Tsionas, Efthymios G. & Konstantakis, Konstantinos N., 2016. "Non-linearities in financial bubbles: Theory and Bayesian evidence from S&P500," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 61-70.
    18. De Pace, Pierangelo & Rao, Jayant, 2023. "Comovement and instability in cryptocurrency markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 173-200.
    19. Wang, Xiao-Qing & Qin, Meng & Moldovan, Nicoleta-Claudia & Su, Chi-Wei, 2023. "Bubble behaviors in lithium price and the contagion effect: An industry chain perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    20. Hansen, Jacob H. & Møller, Stig V. & Pedersen, Thomas Q. & Schütte, Christian M., 2024. "House price bubbles under the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Price bubbles; SADF and GSADF; Semiconductor; Web3; Genetic engineering;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G41 - Financial Economics - - Behavioral Finance - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making in Financial Markets

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reveco:v:90:y:2024:i:c:p:32-44. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/620165 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.