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The underlying coherent behavior in intraday dynamic market equilibrium

Author

Listed:
  • Leilei Shi
  • Xinshuai Guo
  • Andrea Fenu
  • Bing-Hong Wang

Abstract

Purpose - This paper applies a volume-price probability wave differential equation to propose a conceptual theory and has innovative behavioral interpretations of intraday dynamic market equilibrium price, in which traders' momentum, reversal and interactive behaviors play roles. Design/methodology/approach - The authors select intraday cumulative trading volume distribution over price as revealed preferences. An equilibrium price is a price at which the corresponding cumulative trading volume achieves the maximum value. Based on the existence of the equilibrium in social finance, the authors propose a testable interacting traders' preference hypothesis without imposing the invariance criterion of rational choices. Interactively coherent preferences signify the choices subject to interactive invariance over price. Findings - The authors find that interactive trading choices generate a constant frequency over price and intraday dynamic market equilibrium in a tug-of-war between momentum and reversal traders. The authors explain the market equilibrium through interactive, momentum and reversal traders. The intelligent interactive trading preferences are coherent and account for local dynamic market equilibrium, holistic dynamic market disequilibrium and the nonlinear and non-monotone V-shaped probability of selling over profit (BH curves). Research limitations/implications - The authors will understand investors' behaviors and dynamic markets through more empirical execution in the future, suggesting a unified theory available in social finance. Practical implications - The authors can apply the subjects' intelligent behaviors to artificial intelligence (AI), deep learning and financial technology. Social implications - Understanding the behavior of interacting individuals or units will help social risk management beyond the frontiers of the financial market, such as governance in an organization, social violence in a country and COVID-19 pandemics worldwide. Originality/value - It uncovers subjects' intelligent interactively trading behaviors.

Suggested Citation

  • Leilei Shi & Xinshuai Guo & Andrea Fenu & Bing-Hong Wang, 2023. "The underlying coherent behavior in intraday dynamic market equilibrium," China Finance Review International, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 13(4), pages 568-598, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:eme:cfripp:cfri-08-2022-0149
    DOI: 10.1108/CFRI-08-2022-0149
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Complexity economics; Interactively coherent preference; Interactive trader; Momentum and reversal trader; Local equilibrium; BH curve; C60; D01; D90; G10; G40;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C60 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - General
    • D01 - Microeconomics - - General - - - Microeconomic Behavior: Underlying Principles
    • D90 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - General
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G40 - Financial Economics - - Behavioral Finance - - - General

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