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GDP distortion and tax avoidance in local SOEs: Evidence from China

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  • Li, Xiaoxia
  • Cai, Guilong
  • Luo, Danglun

Abstract

This paper examines whether GDP distortion influences the tax decisions of local SOEs. Using night light data to estimate GDP distortion, we find a negative correlation between upwardly distorted local GDP and local SOEs engaging in tax avoidance. This effect is more pronounced when the promotion-related pressure on local officials is higher and during downturns in the macro economy. Furthermore, local SOEs that undertake less tax avoidance are more likely to subsequently receive subsidies from the local government. Our results suggest that there is reciprocity in the relationship between local SOEs and local officials: local SOEs help local officials by engaging in less tax avoidance, which allows local officials to boost GDP data, and in return, local SOEs may receive more subsidies in the future.

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  • Li, Xiaoxia & Cai, Guilong & Luo, Danglun, 2020. "GDP distortion and tax avoidance in local SOEs: Evidence from China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 582-598.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:reveco:v:69:y:2020:i:c:p:582-598
    DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2020.06.042
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Local GDP distortion; Tax avoidance; Local SOEs; Political promotion pressure;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G30 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - General
    • H26 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Tax Evasion and Avoidance
    • H71 - Public Economics - - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations - - - State and Local Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue
    • P31 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Socialist Institutions and Their Transitions - - - Socialist Enterprises and Their Transitions

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