IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/renene/v246y2025ics096014812500518x.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Optimizing parametric insurance for renewable energy investments: Integrating fuzzy decision-making and artificial intelligence techniques

Author

Listed:
  • Eti, Serkan
  • Yüksel, Serhat
  • Dinçer, Hasan
  • Pamucar, Dragan
  • Deveci, Muhammet
  • Antucheviciene, Jurgita
  • Gökalp, Yaşar
  • Meral, Hasan

Abstract

Small-scale solar panel investments have significant risks because of market fluctuations. However, traditional insurance models often lead to inadequate coverage. This situation has a negative impact on profitability of the projects. To satisfy this situation, this study evaluates the effectiveness of parametric insurance by identifying optimal factors in this process. The research applies an artificial intelligence-based sine trigonometric Pythagorean fuzzy (STPF) entropy technique and CRiteria Importance Through Intercriteria Correlation (CRITIC) methodology to determine the significance of criteria. In addition, geometric mean of similarity ratio to optimal solution (RATGOS) approach is employed to rank risk factors. The main contribution of this paper is that integrating the Artificial Intelligence (AI) approach into fuzzy decision-making techniques increases both the quality and originality of the proposed model. With the help of this issue, decision matrix can be constructed via AI technique so that more realistic and appropriate findings can be identified. Findings indicate that cost is the most influential factor (weight: 0.1059), followed by trigger (weight: 0.0632), policy (weight: 0.0629), and adoptability (weight: 0.0587). On the other side, based on the ranking results, price is the most essential alternative for making parametric insurance regarding small scale solar panel investments. Therefore, policymakers and insurers should focus on cost-optimized coverage models to prioritize essential risk factors while avoiding unnecessary over-insurance.

Suggested Citation

  • Eti, Serkan & Yüksel, Serhat & Dinçer, Hasan & Pamucar, Dragan & Deveci, Muhammet & Antucheviciene, Jurgita & Gökalp, Yaşar & Meral, Hasan, 2025. "Optimizing parametric insurance for renewable energy investments: Integrating fuzzy decision-making and artificial intelligence techniques," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 246(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:246:y:2025:i:c:s096014812500518x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2025.122856
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S096014812500518X
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.renene.2025.122856?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Feng Song & Ao Sun, 2023. "Carbon neutrality and renewable energy development in China," China Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(2), pages 121-138, May.
    2. Monteleone, Beatrice & Borzí, Iolanda & Arosio, Marcello & Cesarini, Luigi & Bonaccorso, Brunella & Martina, Mario, 2023. "Modelling the response of wheat yield to stage-specific water stress in the Po Plain," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 287(C).
    3. Sovacool, Benjamin K. & Barnacle, Max Lacey & Smith, Adrian & Brisbois, Marie Claire, 2022. "Towards improved solar energy justice: Exploring the complex inequities of household adoption of photovoltaic panels," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    4. Sher, Ali & Qiu, Yuzhuo, 2022. "Pakistan's solar mission: Do solar finance and subsidy remove the barriers to solar installations?," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 993-1005.
    5. Aisha Al-Sarihi & Noura Mansouri, 2022. "Renewable Energy Development in the Gulf Cooperation Council Countries: Status, Barriers, and Policy Options," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(5), pages 1-16, March.
    6. Nicoleta Radu & Felicia Alexandru, 2022. "Parametric Insurance—A Possible and Necessary Solution to Insure the Earthquake Risk of Romania," Risks, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-16, March.
    7. Qihao He & Michael Faure & Chengwei Liu, 2023. "The possibilities and limits of insurance as governance in insuring pandemics," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 48(3), pages 641-668, July.
    8. Best, Rohan & Burke, Paul J., 2023. "Small-scale solar panel adoption by the non-residential sector: The effects of national and targeted policies in Australia," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    9. Torsten Heinrich & Juan Sabuco & J. Doyne Farmer, 2022. "A simulation of the insurance industry: the problem of risk model homogeneity," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 17(2), pages 535-576, April.
    10. Enrico Biffis & Erik Chavez & Alexis Louaas & Pierre Picard, 2022. "Parametric insurance and technology adoption in developing countries," The Geneva Risk and Insurance Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association for the Study of Insurance Economics (The Geneva Association), vol. 47(1), pages 7-44, March.
    11. Stefan Petrov & Svetlana Aleksandrova & Silvia Kirova, 2024. "Environmental Effects of Green Bonds and Other Forms of Financing in the European Union," International Journal of Economic Sciences, European Research Center, vol. 13(1), pages 81-105, May.
    12. Best, Rohan & Marrone, Mauricio & Linnenluecke, Martina, 2023. "Meta-analysis of the role of equity dimensions in household solar panel adoption," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 206(C).
    13. Gu, Zheng & Li, Yunxian & Zhang, Minghui & Liu, Yifei, 2023. "Modelling economic losses from earthquakes using regression forests: Application to parametric insurance," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    14. Mehdi Mousavi & Hamid Zafarani & Abdullah Can Zulfikar & Mehdi Ansari & Arash Ahmadi, 2023. "Parametric earthquake insurance to compensate the monetary loss resulted by production interrupt at industrial units, case study: Parsian gas refinery," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 115(1), pages 107-127, January.
    15. Akan, Taner, 2023. "Can renewable energy mitigate the impacts of inflation and policy interest on climate change?," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 214(C), pages 255-289.
    16. Mosquera-López, Stephania & Uribe, Jorge M., 2022. "Pricing the risk due to weather conditions in small variable renewable energy projects," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 322(C).
    17. Shenhai Huang & Chao Du & Xian Jin & Daini Zhang & Shiyan Wen & Zhijie Jia, 2023. "The Impact of Carbon Emission Trading on Renewable Energy: A Comparative Analysis Based on the CGE Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(16), pages 1-16, August.
    18. Michail-Alexandros Kourtis & Michael Batistatos & Georgios Xylouris & Andreas Oikonomakis & Dimitris Santorinaios & Charilaos Zarakovitis & Ioannis Chochliouros, 2023. "Energy Efficiency in Agriculture through Tokenization of 5G and Edge Applications," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(13), pages 1-16, July.
    19. Katherine Emma Lonergan & Salvatore Francesco Greco & Giovanni Sansavini, 2023. "Ensuring/insuring resilient energy system infrastructure," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 43(4), pages 625-638, December.
    20. Eymen Errais, 2022. "Pricing insurance premia: a top down approach," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(2), pages 899-914, June.
    21. Long, Houyin & Huang, Xiang & Wang, Jiaxin, 2023. "How does energy finance promote energy transition? Evidence from Shanghai crude oil futures," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    22. Jin, Cheng & Lv, Zhiwei & Li, Zengrong & Sun, Kehan, 2023. "Green finance, renewable energy and carbon neutrality in OECD countries," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 211(C), pages 279-284.
    23. Raghu Dharmapuri Tirumala & Piyush Tiwari, 2023. "Growing of Age in Risk Mitigation: Funded and Unfunded Participation," Springer Books, in: Advances in Infrastructure Finance, chapter 0, pages 159-185, Springer.
    24. Ruixue Wang & Roderick M Rejesus & Serkan Aglasan, 2021. "Warming Temperatures, Yield Risk and Crop Insurance Participation [Federal crop insurance and the disincentive to adapt to extreme heat]," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 48(5), pages 1109-1131.
    25. Xiao Lin & W. Jean Kwon, 2020. "Application of parametric insurance in principle‐compliant and innovative ways," Risk Management and Insurance Review, American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 23(2), pages 121-150, June.
    26. Reto Schneider, 2023. "Extreme events require new forms of financial collaboration to become more resilient," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 43(4), pages 544-554, December.
    27. Barry Sheehan & Martin Mullins & Darren Shannon & Orla McCullagh, 2023. "On the benefits of insurance and disaster risk management integration for improved climate-related natural catastrophe resilience," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 43(4), pages 639-648, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. San-Martín, Enrique & Elizalde, Patxi, 2024. "Determinants of rooftop solar uptake: A comparative analysis of the residential and non-residential sectors in the Basque Country (Spain)," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
    2. Best, Rohan & Chareunsy, Andrea & Taylor, Madeline, 2023. "Changes in inequality for solar panel uptake by Australian homeowners," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
    3. Ghazala Aziz & Suleman Sarwar & Rida Waheed & Mohd Saeed Khan, 2024. "The significance of renewable energy, globalization, and agriculture on sustainable economic growth and green environment: Metaphorically, a two‐sided blade," Natural Resources Forum, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 48(3), pages 763-783, August.
    4. De Clercq, Djavan & Mahdi, Adam, 2024. "Feasibility of machine learning-based rice yield prediction in India at the district level using climate reanalysis and remote sensing data," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 220(C).
    5. Zhang, Zhihao, 2023. "Are climate risks helpful for understanding inflation in BRICS countries?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PB).
    6. Best, Rohan & Nibedita, Barsha & Nepal, Rabindra, 2024. "Energy transitions across household distributions in northern India," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 1151-1163.
    7. Carballo, R. & Fouz, D.M. & López, I. & Iglesias, G., 2024. "Hydrokinetic energy site selection under high seasonality: The i-IHE index," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 237(PC).
    8. Best, Rohan, 2023. "Assets power solar and battery uptake in Kenya," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    9. Taylor, M. & Pettit, J. & Sekiyama, T. & Sokołowski, M.M., 2023. "Justice-driven agrivoltaics: Facilitating agrivoltaics embedded in energy justice," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
    10. Pariman Boostani & Giuseppe Pellegrini-Masini & Jørgen Klein, 2024. "The Role of Community Energy Schemes in Reducing Energy Poverty and Promoting Social Inclusion: A Systematic Literature Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(13), pages 1-29, July.
    11. Jayasinghe, Maneka & Best, Rohan & Selvanathan, E.A. & Selvanathan, Saroja, 2025. "Towards a just transition: Unpacking the gender differences in household cleaner energy use," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    12. Xu, Bin & Lin, Boqiang, 2025. "How does green credit effectively promote green technology innovation?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    13. He, Feng & Chen, Longxuan & Wang, Ziqiao & Zhang, Wei, 2025. "Financial innovation and corporate climate policy uncertainty exposure: Evidence from China's crude oil futures," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    14. Yong Cui & Jian Zheng & Wenying Wu & Kun Xu & Desen Ji & Tian Di, 2024. "Framework and Outlooks of Multi-Source–Grid–Load Coordinated Low-Carbon Operational Systems Considering Demand-Side Hierarchical Response," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(23), pages 1-20, December.
    15. Paniz Arashrad & Shayan Sharafi Laleh & Shayan Rabet & Mortaza Yari & Saeed Soltani & Marc A. Rosen, 2025. "Real-Time Modeling of a Solar-Driven Power Plant with Green Hydrogen, Electricity, and Fresh Water Production: Techno-Economics and Optimization," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(8), pages 1-29, April.
    16. Tsiboe, Francis & Turner, Dylan, 2023. "Econometric identification of crop insurance participation," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 52(3), pages 476-497, December.
    17. Deema Abo Elassal & Yosef Jabareen, 2025. "Understanding Urban Adaptation Policy and Social Justice: A New Conceptual Framework for Just-Oriented Adaptation Policies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(10), pages 1-28, May.
    18. Liu, Ziheng & Lu, Qinan, 2023. "Ozone stress and crop harvesting failure: Evidence from US food production," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    19. Khan, Zeeshan & Zhu, Xufeng & Chatti, Walid, 2025. "Environmental Poverty from the lens of sustainable development and financial inclusion: Evaluating the importance of energy productivity and clean energy electricity," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 318(C).
    20. Weijuan Feng & Xiangbin Zuo, 2024. "RETRACTED ARTICLE: The intersection of China’s rural economy, renewable energy, and carbon neutrality," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 1-18, April.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:246:y:2025:i:c:s096014812500518x. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/renewable-energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.