IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v237y2023ics0951832023002466.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A two-stage data-driven approach to remaining useful life prediction via long short-term memory networks

Author

Listed:
  • Zhang, Huixin
  • Xi, Xiaopeng
  • Pan, Rong

Abstract

Accurate remaining useful life (RUL) prediction is of great importance for predictive maintenance. With the recent advancements in sensor technology and artificial intelligence, the data-driven approaches to RUL prediction of industrial equipment have gained a lot of attention. However, past researches have not adequately considered the variety of degradation rates and the accumulated information in degradation processes. To deal with this problem, a novel two-stage machine learning approach of RUL prediction is proposed in this paper. A set of nonlinear health indicator functions are constructed to guide the training process of a long short-term memory learner of degradation processes, then a time delay neural network is utilized for RUL prediction. The superiority of the proposed approach in terms of prediction accuracy and conservativeness is demonstrated by a case study of rolling element bearing dataset.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhang, Huixin & Xi, Xiaopeng & Pan, Rong, 2023. "A two-stage data-driven approach to remaining useful life prediction via long short-term memory networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:237:y:2023:i:c:s0951832023002466
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2023.109332
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832023002466
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2023.109332?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Chen, Zewang & Shi, Na & Ji, Yufan & Niu, Mu & Wang, Youren, 2021. "Lithium-ion batteries remaining useful life prediction based on BLS-RVM," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    2. Pan, Yubin & Hong, Rongjing & Chen, Jie & Wu, Weiwei, 2020. "A hybrid DBN-SOM-PF-based prognostic approach of remaining useful life for wind turbine gearbox," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 138-154.
    3. Liu, Lu & Song, Xiao & Zhou, Zhetao, 2022. "Aircraft engine remaining useful life estimation via a double attention-based data-driven architecture," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    4. Zhang, Zhengxin & Si, Xiaosheng & Hu, Changhua & Lei, Yaguo, 2018. "Degradation data analysis and remaining useful life estimation: A review on Wiener-process-based methods," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 271(3), pages 775-796.
    5. Li Zhang & Min Zheng & Dajun Du & Yihuan Li & Minrui Fei & Yuanjun Guo & Kang Li, 2020. "State-of-Charge Estimation of Lithium-Ion Battery Pack Based on Improved RBF Neural Networks," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2020, pages 1-10, December.
    6. Si, Xiao-Sheng & Wang, Wenbin & Hu, Chang-Hua & Zhou, Dong-Hua, 2011. "Remaining useful life estimation - A review on the statistical data driven approaches," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 213(1), pages 1-14, August.
    7. Shi, Zunya & Chehade, Abdallah, 2021. "A dual-LSTM framework combining change point detection and remaining useful life prediction," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    8. Li, Naipeng & Gebraeel, Nagi & Lei, Yaguo & Fang, Xiaolei & Cai, Xiao & Yan, Tao, 2021. "Remaining useful life prediction based on a multi-sensor data fusion model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    9. Khaleghi, Sahar & Hosen, Md Sazzad & Karimi, Danial & Behi, Hamidreza & Beheshti, S. Hamidreza & Van Mierlo, Joeri & Berecibar, Maitane, 2022. "Developing an online data-driven approach for prognostics and health management of lithium-ion batteries," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 308(C).
    10. Liu, Chunli & Li, Qiang & Wang, Kai, 2021. "State-of-charge estimation and remaining useful life prediction of supercapacitors," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    11. da Costa, Paulo Roberto de Oliveira & Akçay, Alp & Zhang, Yingqian & Kaymak, Uzay, 2020. "Remaining useful lifetime prediction via deep domain adaptation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
    12. Wen, Pengfei & Zhao, Shuai & Chen, Shaowei & Li, Yong, 2021. "A generalized remaining useful life prediction method for complex systems based on composite health indicator," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    13. Liu, Junqiang & Lei, Fan & Pan, Chunlu & Hu, Dongbin & Zuo, Hongfu, 2021. "Prediction of remaining useful life of multi-stage aero-engine based on clustering and LSTM fusion," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wang, Yuan & Lei, Yaguo & Li, Naipeng & Yan, Tao & Si, Xiaosheng, 2023. "Deep multisource parallel bilinear-fusion network for remaining useful life prediction of machinery," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    2. Zhu, Yongmeng & Wu, Jiechang & Wu, Jun & Liu, Shuyong, 2022. "Dimensionality reduce-based for remaining useful life prediction of machining tools with multisensor fusion," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 218(PB).
    3. Bae, Jinwoo & Xi, Zhimin, 2022. "Learning of physical health timestep using the LSTM network for remaining useful life estimation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    4. Li, Yuanfu & Chen, Yao & Hu, Zhenchao & Zhang, Huisheng, 2023. "Remaining useful life prediction of aero-engine enabled by fusing knowledge and deep learning models," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    5. Liu, Lu & Song, Xiao & Zhou, Zhetao, 2022. "Aircraft engine remaining useful life estimation via a double attention-based data-driven architecture," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    6. Yan, Jianhai & He, Zhen & He, Shuguang, 2023. "Multitask learning of health state assessment and remaining useful life prediction for sensor-equipped machines," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    7. Fallahdizcheh, Amirhossein & Wang, Chao, 2022. "Transfer learning of degradation modeling and prognosis based on multivariate functional analysis with heterogeneous sampling rates," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
    8. Li, Zhanhang & Zhou, Jian & Nassif, Hani & Coit, David & Bae, Jinwoo, 2023. "Fusing physics-inferred information from stochastic model with machine learning approaches for degradation prediction," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    9. Semeraro, Concetta & Caggiano, Mariateresa & Olabi, Abdul-Ghani & Dassisti, Michele, 2022. "Battery monitoring and prognostics optimization techniques: Challenges and opportunities," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 255(C).
    10. Xiang, Sheng & Qin, Yi & Liu, Fuqiang & Gryllias, Konstantinos, 2022. "Automatic multi-differential deep learning and its application to machine remaining useful life prediction," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
    11. Chen, Jiaxian & Li, Dongpeng & Huang, Ruyi & Chen, Zhuyun & Li, Weihua, 2023. "Aero-engine remaining useful life prediction method with self-adaptive multimodal data fusion and cluster-ensemble transfer regression," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    12. He, Yuxuan & Su, Huai & Zio, Enrico & Peng, Shiliang & Fan, Lin & Yang, Zhaoming & Yang, Zhe & Zhang, Jinjun, 2023. "A systematic method of remaining useful life estimation based on physics-informed graph neural networks with multisensor data," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    13. Guo, Junyu & Wan, Jia-Lun & Yang, Yan & Dai, Le & Tang, Aimin & Huang, Bangkui & Zhang, Fangfang & Li, He, 2023. "A deep feature learning method for remaining useful life prediction of drilling pumps," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(C).
    14. Ding, Yifei & Jia, Minping & Miao, Qiuhua & Huang, Peng, 2021. "Remaining useful life estimation using deep metric transfer learning for kernel regression," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
    15. Xu, Danyang & Qiu, Haobo & Gao, Liang & Yang, Zan & Wang, Dapeng, 2022. "A novel dual-stream self-attention neural network for remaining useful life estimation of mechanical systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    16. Si, Xiao-Sheng & Li, Tianmei & Zhang, Jianxun & Lei, Yaguo, 2022. "Nonlinear degradation modeling and prognostics: A Box-Cox transformation perspective," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    17. Wan, Shaoke & Li, Xiaohu & Zhang, Yanfei & Liu, Shijie & Hong, Jun & Wang, Dongfeng, 2022. "Bearing remaining useful life prediction with convolutional long short-term memory fusion networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    18. Gu, Hang-Hang & Wang, Run-Zi & Tang, Min-Jin & Zhang, Xian-Cheng & Tu, Shan-Tung, 2024. "Data-physics-model based fatigue reliability assessment methodology for high-temperature components and its application in steam turbine rotor," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    19. Jiang, Deyin & Chen, Tianyu & Xie, Juanzhang & Cui, Weimin & Song, Bifeng, 2023. "A mechanical system reliability degradation analysis and remaining life estimation method——With the example of an aircraft hatch lock mechanism," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    20. Zhang, Ao & Wang, Zhihua & Bao, Rui & Liu, Chengrui & Wu, Qiong & Cao, Shihao, 2023. "A novel failure time estimation method for degradation analysis based on general nonlinear Wiener processes," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:237:y:2023:i:c:s0951832023002466. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.