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Demand forecasting with four-parameter exponential smoothing

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  • Ferbar Tratar, Liljana
  • Mojškerc, Blaž
  • Toman, Aleš

Abstract

Exponential smoothing methods are powerful tools for denoising time series, predicting future demand and decreasing inventory costs. In this paper we develop a smoothing and forecasting method that is intuitive, easy to implement, computationally stable, and can satisfactorily handle both, additive and multiplicative seasonality, even when time series contain several zero entries and large noise component.

Suggested Citation

  • Ferbar Tratar, Liljana & Mojškerc, Blaž & Toman, Aleš, 2016. "Demand forecasting with four-parameter exponential smoothing," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 181(PA), pages 162-173.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:proeco:v:181:y:2016:i:pa:p:162-173
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ijpe.2016.08.004
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    References listed on IDEAS

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