IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/jrpoli/v85y2023ipbs0301420723007225.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Environmental consequences of geopolitical crises: The case of economic sanctions and emissions

Author

Listed:
  • Hatipoglu, Emre
  • Soytas, Mehmet Ali
  • Belaïd, Fateh

Abstract

Geopolitical crises, and economic sanctions, in particular, have created considerable disturbance in natural resource markets. This study focuses on a significant consequence of this disturbance, namely how sanctions may derail targeted states from their low-carbon pathways. Increasing capital costs and difficulties in accessing technology force sanctioned states to move away from capital- and technology-intensive greener alternatives to employ more carbon-intensive (predominantly coal) generation modes in their primary energy supply. We also show that the recovery process from sanctions further increases coal use in these targeted states. Our econometric results from a global cross-sectional time-series dataset support our expectations. Our findings call for a deeper understanding of the challenges in achieving sustainable recovery in the aftermath of geopolitical crises. These results call for assessing carbon-footprint implications of specific foreign policy actions before these actions are carried out.

Suggested Citation

  • Hatipoglu, Emre & Soytas, Mehmet Ali & Belaïd, Fateh, 2023. "Environmental consequences of geopolitical crises: The case of economic sanctions and emissions," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jrpoli:v:85:y:2023:i:pb:s0301420723007225
    DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2023.104011
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301420723007225
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.resourpol.2023.104011?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Dursun Peksen & Byunghwan Son, 2015. "Economic coercion and currency crises in target countries," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 52(4), pages 448-462, July.
    2. Stephane Hallegatte & Julie Rozenberg, 2017. "Climate change through a poverty lens," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 7(4), pages 250-256, April.
    3. Attia, Hana & Grauvogel, Julia & von Soest, Christian, 2020. "The termination of international sanctions: explaining target compliance and sender capitulation," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    4. Osman Zeki Gökçe & Emre Hatipoğlu, 2022. "Documenting energy flows between states: The Global Energy Relations Dataset (GERD), 1978–2014," International Interactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(3), pages 492-519, May.
    5. Opeyemi Akinyemi & Uchenna Efobi & Evans Osabuohien & Philip Alege, 2019. "Regional Integration and Energy Sustainability in Africa: Exploring the Challenges and Prospects for ECOWAS," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 31(4), pages 517-528, December.
    6. Daniel W. Drezner, 2015. "Targeted Sanctions in a World of Global Finance," International Interactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(4), pages 755-764, August.
    7. Nikolay Marinov, 2005. "Do Economic Sanctions Destabilize Country Leaders?," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 49(3), pages 564-576, July.
    8. Jenny Chase, 2019. "Solar Power Finance Without the Jargon," World Scientific Books, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., number q0219.
    9. Fiona McGillivray & Allan C. Stam, 2004. "Political Institutions, Coercive Diplomacy, and the Duration of Economic Sanctions," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 48(2), pages 154-172, April.
    10. Gnansounou, Edgard & Bayem, Herman & Bednyagin, Denis & Dong, Jun, 2007. "Strategies for regional integration of electricity supply in West Africa," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(8), pages 4142-4153, August.
    11. Neuenkirch, Matthias & Neumeier, Florian, 2015. "The impact of UN and US economic sanctions on GDP growth," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 40(PA), pages 110-125.
    12. Emre Hatipoglu & Dursun Peksen, 2018. "Economic Sanctions and Banking Crises in Target Economies," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(2), pages 171-189, February.
    13. B. Lahcen & J. Brusselaers & K. Vrancken & Y. Dams & C. Silva Paes & J. Eyckmans & S. Rousseau, 2020. "Green Recovery Policies for the COVID-19 Crisis: Modelling the Impact on the Economy and Greenhouse Gas Emissions," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 76(4), pages 731-750, August.
    14. Patrick M Weber & Gerald Schneider, 2022. "Post-Cold War sanctioning by the EU, the UN, and the US: Introducing the EUSANCT Dataset," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 39(1), pages 97-114, January.
    15. Robert A. Ritz, 2019. "A Strategic Perspective on Competition between Pipeline Gas and LNG," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 5).
    16. Mirkina, Irina, 2018. "FDI and sanctions: An empirical analysis of short- and long-run effects," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 198-225.
    17. Sokona, Youba & Mulugetta, Yacob & Gujba, Haruna, 2012. "Widening energy access in Africa: Towards energy transition," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 47(S1), pages 3-10.
    18. Daponte, B.O. & Garfield, R., 2000. "The effect of economic sanctions on the mortality of Iraqi children prior to the 1991 Persian Gulf War," American Journal of Public Health, American Public Health Association, vol. 90(4), pages 546-552.
    19. Belaïd, Fateh & Al-Sarihi, Aisha & Al-Mestneer, Raed, 2023. "Balancing climate mitigation and energy security goals amid converging global energy crises: The role of green investments," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 205(C), pages 534-542.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Bigerna, Simona, 2024. "Connectedness analysis of oil price shocks, inflation, and exchange rate for the MENA region countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    2. Fateh Belaïd & Charlotte Unger, 2024. "Crafting effective climate, energy, and environmental policy: time for action," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-5, December.
    3. Belaïd, Fateh & Al-Sarihi, Aisha, 2024. "Saudi Arabia energy transition in a post-paris agreement era: An analysis with a multi-level perspective approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(PB).
    4. Haifa Saadaoui & Mesut Dogan & Emna Omri, 2024. "The impacts of hydroelectricity generation, financial development, geopolitical risk, income, and foreign direct investment on carbon emissions in Turkey," Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, Springer;Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies - SEEPS, vol. 26(2), pages 239-261, April.
    5. Yao Li & Yugang He, 2024. "Unraveling Korea’s Energy Challenge: The Consequences of Carbon Dioxide Emissions and Energy Use on Economic Sustainability," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(5), pages 1-29, March.
    6. Du, Yufan & Li, Jie & Xu, Yuan, 2024. "Will carbon neutrality alleviate China's energy security concerns? – The strategic importance of critical metals in batteries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jerg Gutmann & Matthias Neuenkirch & Florian Neumeier, 2024. "Political Economy of International Sanctions," Research Papers in Economics 2024-07, University of Trier, Department of Economics.
    2. Gutmann, Jerg & Neuenkirch, Matthias & Neumeier, Florian, 2023. "The economic effects of international sanctions: An event study," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(4), pages 1214-1231.
    3. Gutmann, Jerg & Langer, Pascal & Neuenkirch, Matthias, 2024. "International sanctions and emigration," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    4. Onialisoa Mirana Rakotoarivelo & Hanitriniaina Sammy Gr´egoire Ravelonirina, 2019. "On the Dynamic of Country Development," Journal of Mathematics Research, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 11(2), pages 1-19, April.
    5. Jerg Gutmann & Matthias Neuenkirch & Florian Neumeier, 2024. "Do China and Russia undermine Western sanctions? Evidence from DiD and event study estimation," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(1), pages 132-160, February.
    6. Moghaddasi Kelishomi, Ali & Nisticò, Roberto, 2022. "Employment effects of economic sanctions in Iran," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    7. Farzanegan, Mohammad Reza & Gutmann, Jerg, 2024. "International Sanctions and Internal Conflict: The Case of Iran," ILE Working Paper Series 82, University of Hamburg, Institute of Law and Economics.
    8. Ali Moghaddasi Kelishomi & Roberto Nisticò, 2021. "Employment Effects of Economic Sanctions," CSEF Working Papers 615, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.
    9. Afesorgbor, Sylvanus Kwaku & Mahadevan, Renuka, 2016. "The Impact of Economic Sanctions on Income Inequality of Target States," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 1-11.
    10. Jun Wen & Xinxin Zhao & Quan-Jing Wang & Chun-Ping Chang, 2021. "The impact of international sanctions on energy security," Energy & Environment, , vol. 32(3), pages 458-480, May.
    11. Kevin Williams, 2021. "Do International Sanctions Reduce Household and Government Consumption in Developing Countries?," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 89(2), pages 196-217, June.
    12. Chen, Mo & Xue, Wei-Xian & Zhao, Xin-Xin & Chang, Chun-Ping & Liu, Xiaoxia, 2024. "The impact of economic sanctions on the COVID-19 pandemic," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 163-174.
    13. Dizaji, S.F. & Lis, P. & Murshed, S.M. & Zweiri, M., 2020. "What the political economy literature tells us about blockades and sanctions," ISS Working Papers - General Series 130655, International Institute of Social Studies of Erasmus University Rotterdam (ISS), The Hague.
    14. Igor Drapkin & Kirill Sidorov & Oleg Mariev, 2022. "The Effect of Sanctions on EU-Russia Trade: The Study for 2015 – 2019," Journal of Economics / Ekonomicky casopis, Institute of Economic Research, Slovak Academy of Sciences, vol. 70(9-10), pages 743-767, August.
    15. Barseghyan, Gayane, 2019. "Sanctions and counter-sanctions : What did they do?," BOFIT Discussion Papers 24/2019, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.
    16. Hyejin Kim & Jungmin Lee, 2020. "The Economic Costs of Diplomatic Conflict," Working Papers 2020-25, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
    17. Pavel Vidal, 2025. "Impact of Sanctions Policy Shifts: A Case Study of the United States and Cuba, 1994–2020," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(2), pages 540-553, March.
    18. Xinyu Han & Rongrong Li, 2019. "Comparison of Forecasting Energy Consumption in East Africa Using the MGM, NMGM, MGM-ARIMA, and NMGM-ARIMA Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(17), pages 1-24, August.
    19. Gökçe, Osman Zeki & Hatipoglu, Emre & Belaïd, Fateh, 2024. "Navigating energy diplomacy in times of recovery and conflict: A study of cross-border energy trade dynamics," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    20. David Lektzian & Glen Biglaiser, 2014. "The effect of foreign direct investment on the use and success of US sanctions," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 31(1), pages 70-93, February.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:jrpoli:v:85:y:2023:i:pb:s0301420723007225. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/30467 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.