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Volatility of by-product metal and mineral prices

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  • Redlinger, Michael
  • Eggert, Roderick

Abstract

Prices of by-product metals and minerals are often assumed to be inherently more volatile than prices of main and individual products. Yet there is limited analysis of their relative price volatilities. This paper applies regression analysis to compare the price volatility of by-product metals and minerals to commodities produced primarily or solely as main-products or individual products. This approach allows for estimating whether by-product supply is associated with greater price volatility and provides a framework for further research. By-products are found to have on average about 50% higher price volatility than main and individual products when evaluating annual prices over the last 50 years – although there are exceptions. However, when analyzing monthly prices over the past decade, the evidence that by-products have greater price volatility is mixed.

Suggested Citation

  • Redlinger, Michael & Eggert, Roderick, 2016. "Volatility of by-product metal and mineral prices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 69-77.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jrpoli:v:47:y:2016:i:c:p:69-77
    DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2015.12.002
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    8. Jordan, Brett W, 2017. "Companions and competitors: Joint metal-supply relationships in gold, silver, copper, lead and zinc mines," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 233-250.
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    10. Jordan, Brett, 2018. "Economics literature on joint production of minerals: A survey," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 20-28.
    11. Shi, Tao & Li, Chongyang & Zhang, Wei & Zhang, Yi, 2023. "Forecasting on metal resource spot settlement price: New evidence from the machine learning model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
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