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Monetary policy credibility and inflationary expectation

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  • Yuxiang, Karl
  • Chen, Zhongchang

Abstract

Since there are significant biases in the individuals' inflationary expectations, the role of monetary policy credibility needs to be reconsidered. Theoretically, policy credibility can influence the policymaker's plan of action or reflect his preference. Thus, when prices rise, perceived credibility not only stabilizes public expectations of inflation, but also becomes important information, which can be used by the individuals to improve their expectations. The econometric analysis of a large-scale survey largely confirms these theoretical predictions. The perceived policy credibility as well as inflation perceptions and education plays an important role in the individuals' inflationary expectations.

Suggested Citation

  • Yuxiang, Karl & Chen, Zhongchang, 2010. "Monetary policy credibility and inflationary expectation," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 487-497, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:joepsy:v:31:y:2010:i:4:p:487-497
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    1. Yuxiang, Karl & Chen, Zhongchang, 2011. "Resource abundance and financial development: Evidence from China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 72-79, March.
    2. Roudari, Soheil & Ghasemi, Hamidreza & Ghoreshi, Davood, 2021. "The role of institutional quality in the impact of oil rents on financial development in Brazil and Norway," MPRA Paper 126832, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 23 Dec 2021.
    3. Aslı Güler, 2021. "Does Monetary Policy Credibility Help in Anchoring Inflation Expectations? Evidence from Six Inflation Targeting Emerging Economies," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 10(1), pages 93-111.
    4. de Mendonça, Helder Ferreira, 2018. "Credibility and Inflation Expectations: What we can tell from seven emerging economies?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 40(6), pages 1165-1181.
    5. Moradbeigi, Maryam & Law, Siong Hook, 2017. "The role of financial development in the oil-growth nexus," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 164-172.
    6. Khaliq Ul Rehman & Ghulam Ghouse, 2024. "Examining Inflation Expectations within Asian Economies: Application of Wavelet Quantile Analysis towards Assessing Monetary Policy Credibility," Journal of Economic Impact, Science Impact Publishers, vol. 6(1), pages 70-80.
    7. Hadj, Tarek Bel & Ghodbane, Adel, 2021. "Do natural resources rents and institutional development matter for financial development under quantile regression approach?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).

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