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Accounting for real exchange rates using micro-data

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  • Crucini, Mario J.
  • Landry, Anthony

Abstract

The classical dichotomy predicts that all of the time-series variance in the aggregate real exchange rate is accounted for by non-traded goods in the consumer price index (CPI) basket because traded goods obey the Law of One Price. In stark contrast, Engel (1999) claimed the opposite: that traded goods accounted for all of the variance. Using micro-data and recognizing that final good prices include both the cost of the goods themselves and local, non-traded inputs into retail such as labor and retail space, our work re-establishes the conceptual value of the classical dichotomy. We also carefully show the role of aggregation, consumption expenditure weighting and assignment of covariance terms in the differences between our findings and those of Engel.

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  • Crucini, Mario J. & Landry, Anthony, 2019. "Accounting for real exchange rates using micro-data," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 86-100.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:91:y:2019:i:c:p:86-100
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2018.11.002
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    Cited by:

    1. Ayres, Joao & Hevia, Constantino & Nicolini, Juan Pablo, 2020. "Real exchange rates and primary commodity prices," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
    2. Craig Benedict & Mario J. Crucini & Anthony Landry, 2020. "On What States Do Prices Depend? Answers From Ecuador," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 52(8), pages 1909-1935, December.
    3. Giancarlo Corsetti & Luca Dedola & Francesca Viani, 2012. "Traded and Nontraded Goods Prices, and International Risk Sharing: An Empirical Investigation," NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 8(1), pages 403-466.
    4. Baxter, Marianne & Landry, Anthony, 2017. "IKEA: Product, pricing, and pass-through," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(3), pages 507-520.
    5. Mario J. Crucini & Mototsugu Shintani & Takayuki Tsuruga, 2020. "A Behavioral Explanation for the Puzzling Persistence of the Aggregate Real Exchange Rate," NBER Working Papers 27420, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. A. Auer, Raphael & Chaney, Thomas & Sauré, Philip, 2018. "Quality pricing-to-market," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 87-102.
    7. Crucini, Mario J. & Davis, J. Scott, 2016. "Distribution capital and the short- and long-run import demand elasticity," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 203-219.
    8. Roberto S. Mariano, 2011. "Comment on "The Consumption Terms of Trade and Commodity Prices"," NBER Chapters, in: Commodity Prices and Markets, pages 145-146, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Bache, Ida Wolden & Sveen, Tommy & Torstensen, Kjersti Næss, 2013. "Revisiting the importance of non-tradable goods' prices in cyclical real exchange rate fluctuations," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 98-107.
    10. Sandeep Mazumder, 2016. "iPad Purchasing Parity: Farewell to the Big Mac Index," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 36(4), pages 2128-2136.
    11. Kanda Naknoi, 2017. "Real exchange rate fluctuations, wage stickiness and tradability," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 50(1), pages 94-110, February.
    12. Crucini, Mario J. & Yilmazkuday, Hakan, 2014. "Understanding long-run price dispersion," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 226-240.
    13. Mario J. Crucini, 2011. "Comment on "Nontraded Goods Prices, Terms of Trade and International Risk-Sharing: An Empirical Investigation"," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2011, pages 470-476, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    14. Mark A. Wynne, 2012. "Five Years of Research on Globalization and Monetary Policy: What Have We Learned?," Annual Report, Globalization and Monetary Policy Institute, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, pages 2-17.
    15. Burstein, Ariel & Gopinath, Gita, 2014. "International Prices and Exchange Rates," Handbook of International Economics, in: Gopinath, G. & Helpman, . & Rogoff, K. (ed.), Handbook of International Economics, edition 1, volume 4, chapter 0, pages 391-451, Elsevier.
    16. Robertson, Raymond & Kumar, Anil & Dutkowsky, Donald H., 2014. "Weak-form and strong-form purchasing power parity between the US and Mexico: A panel cointegration investigation," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 241-262.
    17. Ikeno, Hidehiro, 2014. "Pairwise tests of convergence of Japanese local price levels," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 232-248.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exchange rates; International financial markets; Trade integration;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance

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