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Coordination between monetary policy and fiscal policy for an inflation targeting emerging market

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  • Aktas, Zelal
  • Kaya, Neslihan
  • Özlale, Ümit

Abstract

Several studies including Blanchard (2004) and Favero and Giavazzi (2004) imply that in emerging market economies, a tight monetary policy within an inflation-targeting framework could actually increase the price level due to the lack of fiscal discipline and the associated high risk premium. We extend their arguments in two ways. First, we introduce a semi structural model with time-varying parameters, where the risk premium is 'unobserved' and it is derived within the system. Such an approach fits better with the volatile nature of emerging market economies by allowing us to track down the time-varying effects of macroeconomic dynamics on both the model-consistent risk premium and the other key variables. Second, we obtain impulse response functions and analyze the implications of a tight monetary policy on major macroeconomic variables. Taking the Turkish economy as our reference point, we find that the arguments of Blanchard (2004) and Favero and Giavazzi (2004) seem to be valid.

Suggested Citation

  • Aktas, Zelal & Kaya, Neslihan & Özlale, Ümit, 2010. "Coordination between monetary policy and fiscal policy for an inflation targeting emerging market," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 123-138, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:29:y:2010:i:1:p:123-138
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    11. Solikin M. Juhro & Paresh Kumar Narayan & Bernard Njindan Iyke, 2022. "Understanding monetary and fiscal policy rule interactions in Indonesia," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(45), pages 5190-5208, September.
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    16. Joao Ricardo Faria & Peter McAdam, 2013. "From Social Contract to Arab Spring: Macroeconomic Adjustment under Regime Change," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0813, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
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