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Trading frenzies and their impact on real investment

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  • Goldstein, Itay
  • Ozdenoren, Emre
  • Yuan, Kathy

Abstract

We study a model in which a capital provider learns from the price of a firm's security in deciding how much capital to provide for new investment. This feedback effect from the financial market to the investment decision gives rise to trading frenzies, in which speculators all wish to trade like others, generating large pressure on prices. Coordination among speculators is sometimes desirable for price informativeness and investment efficiency, but speculators' incentives push in the opposite direction, so that they coordinate exactly when it is undesirable. We analyze the effect of various market parameters on the likelihood of trading frenzies to arise.

Suggested Citation

  • Goldstein, Itay & Ozdenoren, Emre & Yuan, Kathy, 2013. "Trading frenzies and their impact on real investment," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(2), pages 566-582.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jfinec:v:109:y:2013:i:2:p:566-582 DOI: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2013.03.011
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    Cited by:

    1. Kurlat, Pablo & Veldkamp, Laura, 2015. "Should we regulate financial information?," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 158(PB), pages 697-720.
    2. Tarek A. Hassan & Thomas M. Mertens, 2015. "Information Aggregation in a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model," NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, vol. 29(1), pages 159-207.
    3. repec:eee:quaeco:v:65:y:2017:i:c:p:240-248 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Bai, Jennie & Philippon, Thomas & Savov, Alexi, 2016. "Have financial markets become more informative?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, pages 625-654.
    5. Cespa, Giovanni & Vives, Xavier, 2011. "Expectations, Liquidity, and Short-term Trading," CEPR Discussion Papers 8303, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    6. Tarek A. Hassan & Thomas M. Mertens, 2017. "The Social Cost of Near-Rational Investment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, pages 1059-1103.
    7. Markus K. Brunnermeier & Martin Oehmke, 2014. "Predatory Short Selling," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 18(6), pages 2153-2195.
    8. Stijn Claessens, 2015. "An Overview of Macroprudential Policy Tools," Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 7(1), pages 397-422, December.
    9. Elias Albagli & Christian Hellwig & Aleh Tsyvinski, 2011. "Information Aggregation, Investment, and Managerial Incentives," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1816, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    10. Benhabib, Jess & Liu, Xuewen & Wang, Pengfei, 2016. "Sentiments, financial markets, and macroeconomic fluctuations," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(2), pages 420-443.
    11. Giovanni Cespa & Xavier Vives, 2015. "The Beauty Contest and Short-Term Trading," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 70(5), pages 2099-2154, October.
    12. Hassan, Tarek & Mertens, Thomas M., 2014. "Information Aggregation in a DSGE Model," CEPR Discussion Papers 10020, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    13. Liyan Yang & Itay Goldstein, 2014. "Good Disclosure, Bad Disclosure," 2014 Meeting Papers 42, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    14. George-Marios Angeletos & Guido Lorenzoni & Alessandro Pavan, 2010. "Beauty Contests and "Irrational Exuberance": A Neoclassical Approach," Discussion Papers 1502, Northwestern University, Center for Mathematical Studies in Economics and Management Science.
    15. Brunnermeier, Markus K. & Oehmke, Martin, 2014. "Predatory short selling," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 84517, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    16. repec:eee:macchp:v2-1065 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. Nyborg, Kjell G & Wang, Zexi, 2013. "Stock Liquidity and Corporate Cash Holdings," CEPR Discussion Papers 9535, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    18. Jennifer N. Carpenter & Fangzhou Lu & Robert F. Whitelaw, 2015. "The Real Value of China's Stock Market," NBER Working Papers 20957, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    19. Avanidhar Subrahmanyam & Sheridan Titman, 2013. "Financial Market Shocks and the Macroeconomy," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 26(11), pages 2687-2717.
    20. repec:oup:rfinst:v:29:y:2016:i:12:p:3278-3320. is not listed on IDEAS
    21. Philip Bond & Alex Edmans & Itay Goldstein, 2012. "The Real Effects of Financial Markets," Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 4(1), pages 339-360, October.
    22. Liyan Yang & Itay Goldstein, 2014. "Market Efficiency and Real Efficiency: The Connect and Disconnect via Feedback Effects," 2014 Meeting Papers 154, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    23. repec:eee:jfinec:v:126:y:2017:i:1:p:74-96 is not listed on IDEAS
    24. Liyan Yang & Itay Goldstein, 2012. "Information Diversity and Market Efficiency Spirals," 2012 Meeting Papers 349, Society for Economic Dynamics.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Trading frenzies; Feedback effect; Financial-market runs; Bear raids;

    JEL classification:

    • D82 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Asymmetric and Private Information; Mechanism Design
    • D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G31 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Capital Budgeting; Fixed Investment and Inventory Studies

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