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Selloffs, Bailouts, and Feedback: Can Asset Markets Inform Policy

Author

Listed:
  • Raphael Boleslavsky

    (Department of Economics, University of Miami)

  • David L Kelly

    (Department of Economics, University of Miami)

  • Curtis R Taylor

    (Department of Economics, Duke University)

Abstract

We present a model in which a policymaker observes trade in a financial asset before deciding whether to intervene in the economy, for example by offering a bailout or monetary stimulus. Because an intervention erodes the value of private information, informed investors are reluctant to take short positions and selloffs are, therefore, less likely and less informative. The policymaker faces a tradeoff between eliciting information from the asset market and using the information so obtained. In general she can elicit more information if she commits to intervene only infrequently. She thus may benefit from imperfections in the intervention process or from being non-transparent about the costs or benefits of intervention.

Suggested Citation

  • Raphael Boleslavsky & David L Kelly & Curtis R Taylor, 2013. "Selloffs, Bailouts, and Feedback: Can Asset Markets Inform Policy," Working Papers 2013-11, University of Miami, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:mia:wpaper:2013-11
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    File URL: https://www.herbert.miami.edu/_assets/files/repec/WP2013-11.pdf
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Brendan Daley & Brett Green & Victoria Vanasco, 2016. "Designing securities for scrutiny," Economics Working Papers 1818, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Nov 2021.
    2. Caio Machado & Ana Elisa Pereira, 2020. "Competing for Stock Market Feedback," Documentos de Trabajo 545, Instituto de Economia. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile..
    3. Itay Goldstein, 2023. "Information in Financial Markets and Its Real Effects," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 27(1), pages 1-32.
    4. Raphael Boleslavsky & Christopher Hennessy & David L. Kelly, 2017. "Markets vs. Mechanisms," Working Papers 2017-11, University of Miami, Department of Economics.
    5. Caio Machado & Ana Elisa Pereira, 2023. "Optimal Capital Structure with Stock Market Feedback," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 27(4), pages 1329-1371.
    6. Asriyan, Vladimir & Fuchs, William & Green, Brett, 2021. "Aggregation and design of information in asset markets with adverse selection," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    7. Doruk Cetemen & Gonzalo Cisternas & Aaron Kolb & S Viswanathan, 2022. "Leader-Follower Dynamics in Shareholder Activism," Staff Reports 1030, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    8. Toni Ahnert & Caio Machado & Ana Elisa Pereira, 2020. "Trading for Bailouts," Staff Working Papers 20-23, Bank of Canada.
    9. Jia, Yuecheng & Simkins, Betty & Feng, Hongrui, 2023. "Political connections and short sellers," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    10. Edmans, Alex & Goldstein, Itay & Jiang, Wei, 2011. "Feedback Effects and the Limits to Arbitrage," Working Papers 11-67, University of Pennsylvania, Wharton School, Weiss Center.
    11. Bergemann, Dirk & Ottaviani, Marco, 2021. "Information Markets and Nonmarkets," CEPR Discussion Papers 16459, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • C72 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - Noncooperative Games
    • D82 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Asymmetric and Private Information; Mechanism Design
    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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