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Does the "Bund" dominate price discovery in Euro bond futures? Examining information shares

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  • Fricke, Christoph
  • Menkhoff, Lukas

Abstract

This paper examines the relative information shares of the Bund, i.e. the 10-year Euro bond future contract on German sovereign debt, versus two futures with shorter maturity. We find that the Bund is most important but does not dominate price discovery. The other contracts also have relevant - and at many days even higher - information shares. In examining determinants of information shares, we add order flow measures to market state variables and macroeconomic news. More order flow in a contract consistently increases this contract's information share.

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  • Fricke, Christoph & Menkhoff, Lukas, 2011. "Does the "Bund" dominate price discovery in Euro bond futures? Examining information shares," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(5), pages 1057-1072, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:35:y:2011:i:5:p:1057-1072
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bond futures Information shares Price discovery Order flow Macroeconomic news;

    JEL classification:

    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors
    • D85 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Network Formation

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