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Pricing catastrophe options with stochastic claim arrival intensity in claim time

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  • Chang, Carolyn W.
  • Chang, Jack S.K.
  • Lu, WeLi

Abstract

We model claim arrival and loss uncertainties jointly in a doubly-binomial framework to price an Asian-style catastrophe (CAT) option with a non-traded underlying loss index using the no-arbitrage martingale pricing methodology. We span these uncertainties by benchmarking to the shadow price of a one-claim bond and the premium of a reinsurance contract. We implement a stochastic time change from calendar time to claim time to more efficiently price the CAT option as a random sum - a binomial sum of claim time binomial Asian option prices. This choice of the operational time dimension allows us to incorporate different patterns of catastrophe arrivals by adjusting the claim arrival probability. We demonstrate this versatility by incorporating a mean-reverting Ornstein-Uhlenbeck intensity arrival process. Simulation results verify our model predictions and demonstrate how the claim arrival probability varies with the expected claim arrival intensity.

Suggested Citation

  • Chang, Carolyn W. & Chang, Jack S.K. & Lu, WeLi, 2010. "Pricing catastrophe options with stochastic claim arrival intensity in claim time," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 24-32, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:34:y:2010:i:1:p:24-32
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    Cited by:

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    4. Perrakis, Stylianos & Boloorforoosh, Ali, 2013. "Valuing catastrophe derivatives under limited diversification: A stochastic dominance approach," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(8), pages 3157-3168.
    5. Stylianos Perrakis & Ali Boloorforoosh, 2018. "Catastrophe futures and reinsurance contracts: An incomplete markets approach," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(1), pages 104-128, January.
    6. Han-Bin KANG & Hsuling CHANG & Tsangyao CHANG, 2022. "Catastrophe Reinsurance Pricing -Modification of Dynamic Asset-Liability Management," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 5-20, December.
    7. Ben Ammar, Semir & Braun, Alexander & Eling, Martin, 2015. "Alternative Risk Transfer and Insurance-Linked Securities: Trends, Challenges and New Market Opportunities," I.VW HSG Schriftenreihe, University of St.Gallen, Institute of Insurance Economics (I.VW-HSG), volume 56, number 56.
    8. Braun, Alexander, 2011. "Pricing catastrophe swaps: A contingent claims approach," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(3), pages 520-536.
    9. Massimo Arnone & Michele Leonardo Bianchi & Anna Grazia Quaranta & Gian Luca Tassinari, 2021. "Catastrophic risks and the pricing of catastrophe equity put options," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 18(2), pages 213-237, June.
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    12. Denis-Alexandre Trottier & Van Son Lai & Anne-Sophie Charest, 2017. "CAT Bond Spreads Via HARA Utility and Nonparametric Tests," Working Papers 2017-002, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
    13. Yan, Tingjin & Park, Kyunghyun & Wong, Hoi Ying, 2022. "Irreversible reinsurance: A singular control approach," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 326-348.
    14. Xingchun Wang, 2016. "The Pricing of Catastrophe Equity Put Options with Default Risk," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 16(2), pages 181-201, June.
    15. Carolyn W. Chang & Jack S.K. Chang, 2017. "Subordinated Binomial Option Pricing with Stochastic Arrival Intensity and Untraded Underlying Asset," Accounting and Finance Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 6(2), pages 190-190, May.
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