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Pricing dynamics in the market for catastrophe bonds

Author

Listed:
  • Peter Carayannopoulos

    (Wilfrid Laurier University)

  • Olga Kanj

    (Wilfrid Laurier University)

  • M. Fabricio Perez

    (Wilfrid Laurier University)

Abstract

We study the time variation of the market price of catastrophe (CAT) bonds for the period 1999–2016. While we find an overall decreasing trend in the price of expected loss risk, large catastrophes increase this price by 34% on average. Our empirical tests show that the latter effect is temporary and unlikely to be the byproduct of behavioural changes in investors’ perceptions about catastrophic risk, as previously argued. Instead, we find evidence that changes in the price of expected loss risk may be explained by changes in investor effective risk aversion, initiated by catastrophic events triggering CAT bond losses that could bring investors closer to their habit consumption levels and lead to a hard reinsurance market environment. Contagion effects from reinsurance markets are more relevant after main catastrophes given the levels of liquidity in the markets. Furthermore, contagion effects from financial markets are minor and only relevant during the subprime financial crisis, as documented in previous studies.

Suggested Citation

  • Peter Carayannopoulos & Olga Kanj & M. Fabricio Perez, 2022. "Pricing dynamics in the market for catastrophe bonds," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 47(1), pages 172-202, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:pal:gpprii:v:47:y:2022:i:1:d:10.1057_s41288-020-00194-3
    DOI: 10.1057/s41288-020-00194-3
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Georges Dionne & Denise Desjardins, 2022. "A re‐examination of the US insurance market's capacity to pay catastrophe losses," Risk Management and Insurance Review, American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 25(4), pages 515-549, December.
    2. Chatoro, Marian & Mitra, Sovan & Pantelous, Athanasios A. & Shao, Jia, 2023. "Catastrophe bond pricing in the primary market: The issuer effect and pricing factors," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    3. Raluca Maran, 2023. "Drivers of sovereign catastrophe bond issuance: an empirical analysis," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(6), pages 1-20, June.

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