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The relationship between finance and growth in China

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  • Chen, K.C.
  • Wu, Lifan
  • Wen, Jian

Abstract

We examine the non-linearity between financial development and economic growth in China. Specifically, we use a threshold model to investigate whether provinces with high level of personal income can exploit financial development efficiently. Empirical analysis, using cross-provincial data from 1978 to 2010, shows that finance has a strong positive influence on growth in high-income provinces, but a strong negative impact on growth in low-income provinces. The results are robust to an alternative financial development measure. Furthermore, we find that China's state sector, notorious for inefficiency and low productivity, accounts for a large proportion of industrial output in low-income provinces, causing bank loans to have a negative impact on economic growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Chen, K.C. & Wu, Lifan & Wen, Jian, 2013. "The relationship between finance and growth in China," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 24(1), pages 1-12.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:glofin:v:24:y:2013:i:1:p:1-12
    DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2013.03.006
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    2. Bengt Söderlund & Patrik Gustavsson Tingvall, 2017. "Capital Freedom, Financial Development and Provincial Economic Growth in China," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(4), pages 764-787, April.
    3. Magda Kandil & Muhammad Shahbaz & Mantu Kumar Mahalik & Duc Khuong Nguyen, 2017. "The drivers of economic growth in China and India: globalization or financial development?," International Journal of Development Issues, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 16(1), pages 54-84, April.
    4. Huan Zhou & Shaojian Qu & Qinglu Yuan & Shilei Wang, 2020. "Spatial Effects and Nonlinear Analysis of Energy Consumption, Financial Development, and Economic Growth in China," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-18, September.
    5. Durusu-Ciftci, Dilek & Ispir, M. Serdar & Yetkiner, Hakan, 2017. "Financial development and economic growth: Some theory and more evidence," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 290-306.
    6. Sin-Yu Ho & Bernard Njindan Iyke, 2018. "Finance-growth-poverty nexus: a re-assessment of the trickle-down hypothesis in China," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 51(3), pages 221-247, August.
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    8. Saeed, Muhammad Yasir & Ramzan, Muhammad & Hamid, Kashif, 2020. "Causal and Dynamic Link Between the Banking Sector and Economic Growth in Pakistan," Asian Journal of Applied Economics, Kasetsart University, Center for Applied Economics Research, vol. 27(1).
    9. Pessoa, Filipe de Morais Cangussu & Braga, Marcelo José, 2019. "Economic growth and financial development in Brazil: a flexible regression model approach," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), August.
    10. Cristian Barra & Nazzareno Ruggiero, 2021. "The role of nonlinearity on the financial development–economic performance nexus: an econometric application to Italian banks," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(5), pages 2293-2322, May.
    11. Guangdong Xu & Binwei Gui, 2021. "The non‐linearity between finance and economic growth: a literature review and evidence from China," Asian-Pacific Economic Literature, Asia Pacific School of Economics and Government, The Australian National University, vol. 35(1), pages 3-18, May.
    12. Mekki Hamdaoui & Samir Maktouf, 2019. "Overall effects of financial liberalization: financial crisis versus economic growth," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(4), pages 568-595, July.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    China; Financial development; Economic growth; Threshold regression;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General
    • O53 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Asia including Middle East

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