IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/finlet/v42y2021ics1544612321000234.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

State of demand and excessive indebtedness: Evidence from Chinese listed manufacturing firms

Author

Listed:
  • Sun, Wei
  • Geng, Danqing
  • Dong, Kaiqiang

Abstract

This paper provides new evidence about how demand affects debt financing decisions of manufacturing firms in China. The results show that demand and price have a positive impact on total and net new liabilities in a highly expanding state, which however are negatively correlated with total liabilities but unrelated to net new liabilities in a contraction. The findings indicate that firms are driven to increase their debt levels actively in an expansion due to the rise of demand and price, however the shrinking demand and price worsening solvency will lead to a passive increase of debts in a contraction.

Suggested Citation

  • Sun, Wei & Geng, Danqing & Dong, Kaiqiang, 2021. "State of demand and excessive indebtedness: Evidence from Chinese listed manufacturing firms," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:42:y:2021:i:c:s1544612321000234
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2021.101942
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1544612321000234
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.frl.2021.101942?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Philippe Aghion & Philippe Askenazy & Nicolas Berman & Gilbert Cette & Laurent Eymard, 2012. "Credit Constraints And The Cyclicality Of R&D Investment: Evidence From France," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 10(5), pages 1001-1024, October.
    2. Huizinga, John, 1993. "Inflation Uncertainty, Relative Price Uncertainty, and Investment in U.S. Manufacturing," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 25(3), pages 521-549, August.
    3. Shleifer, Andrei & Vishny, Robert W, 1992. "Liquidation Values and Debt Capacity: A Market Equilibrium Approach," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 47(4), pages 1343-1366, September.
    4. Hackbarth, Dirk & Miao, Jianjun & Morellec, Erwan, 2006. "Capital structure, credit risk, and macroeconomic conditions," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 82(3), pages 519-550, December.
    5. Hsien-Hung H. Yeh & Eduardo Roca, 2012. "Macroeconomic Conditions and Capital Structure over the Business Cycle: Further Evidence in the Context of Taiwan," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(S3), pages 141-156, September.
    6. Philippe Aghion & Philippe Askenazy & Nicolas Berman & Gilberte Cette & Laurent Eymard, 2012. "Credit Constraints and the Cyclicality of R&D Investment: Evidence from Micro Panel data," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) halshs-00754573, HAL.
    7. Qian, Yanmin & Tian, Yao & Wirjanto, Tony S., 2009. "Do Chinese publicly listed companies adjust their capital structure toward a target level?," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 20(4), pages 662-676, December.
    8. John Huizinga, 1993. "Inflation uncertainty, relative price uncertainty, and investment in U.S. manufacturing," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, pages 521-557.
    9. Ding, Sai & Kim, Minjoo & Zhang, Xiao, 2018. "Do firms care about investment opportunities? Evidence from China," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 214-237.
    10. Sun, Wei & Dong, Kaiqiang & Zhao, Tianyu, 2017. "Market demand dynamic induced mechanism in China's steel industry," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 13-21.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ma, Rui & Xie, Xiao qin & Liu, Bin & Zhou, Fengjiao & Samsurijan, Mohamad Shaharudin bin, 2023. "Transmission to green economic development and the dependence on natural resources in China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PB).
    2. Ren, Xiaohang & Qin, Jianing & Jin, Chenglu & Yan, Cheng, 2022. "Global oil price uncertainty and excessive corporate debt in China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ren, Xiaohang & Qin, Jianing & Jin, Chenglu & Yan, Cheng, 2022. "Global oil price uncertainty and excessive corporate debt in China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    2. Dong, Kaiqiang & Sun, Wei, 2022. "Would the market mechanism cause the formation of overcapacity?: Evidence from Chinese listed firms of manufacturing industry," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 97-113.
    3. Giglio, Stefano & Severo, Tiago, 2012. "Intangible capital, relative asset shortages and bubbles," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(3), pages 303-317.
    4. Chow, Yee Peng & Muhammad, Junaina & Bany-Ariffin, A.N. & Cheng, Fan Fah, 2019. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Corporate Capital Structure: Evidence from the Asia Pacific Region," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 53(2), pages 99-122.
    5. Caruso, Massimo, 2001. "Investment and the persistence of price uncertainty," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(2), pages 189-217, June.
    6. Ghosal, Vivek & Ye, Yang, 2019. "The impact of uncertainty on the number of businesses," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    7. Mustafa Caglayan & Abdul Rashid, 2014. "The Response Of Firms' Leverage To Risk: Evidence From Uk Public Versus Nonpublic Manufacturing Firms," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 52(1), pages 341-363, January.
    8. Jaewoo Kim & Sean McGuire & Steven Savoy & Ryan Wilson, 2022. "Expected economic growth and investment in corporate tax planning," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 27(2), pages 745-778, June.
    9. Liu, Haiying & Liu, Zexiao & Zhang, Chunhong & Li, Tianyu, 2023. "Transformational insurance and green credit incentive policies as financial mechanisms for green energy transitions and low-carbon economic development," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    10. Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Günther, Jutta & Loose, Brigitte & Ludwig, Udo & Nulsch, Nicole, 2015. "Can R&D subsidies counteract the economic crisis? – Macroeconomic effects in Germany," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 44(3), pages 623-633.
    11. Christopher F. Baum & Mustafa Caglayan & Oleksandr Talavera, 2010. "On the sensitivity of firms' investment to cash flow and uncertainty," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 62(2), pages 286-306, April.
    12. Chen, Shiu-Sheng, 2017. "Exchange rate undervaluation and R&D activity," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 148-160.
    13. Doho, Libaud Rudy Aurelien & Somé, Sobom Matthieu & Banto, Jean Michel, 2023. "Inflation and west African sectoral stock price indices: An asymmetric kernel method analysis," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    14. Christopher F Baum & Mustafa Caglayan & Bing Xu, 2017. "The Impact of Uncertainty on Financial Institutions," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 939, Boston College Department of Economics, revised 20 Sep 2018.
    15. Ralf Martin & Sam Unsworth & Anna Valero & Dennis Verhoeven, 2020. "Innovation for a strong and sustainable recovery," CEP Covid-19 Analyses cepcovid-19-014, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    16. Zhao, Xing & Li, Xiangqian & He, Zhuoyi & Shi, Ruoying, 2024. "The relationship between the acquisition of corporate credit and the gender of executives: Evidence from developing countries," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 62(PA).
    17. Alan Carruth & Andy Dickerson & Andrew Henley, 2000. "What do We Know About Investment Under Uncertainty?," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(2), pages 119-154, April.
    18. Panagiotidis, Theodore & Printzis, Panagiotis, 2020. "What is the investment loss due to uncertainty?," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    19. Correia, Ricardo & Población, Javier, 2015. "A structural model with Explicit Distress," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 112-130.
    20. Capucine Riom & Anna Valero, 2020. "The business response to Covid-19: the CEP-CBI survey on technology adoption," CEP Covid-19 Analyses cepcovid-19-009, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    State of demand; Excessive indebtedness; Deleveraging policy; China;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:42:y:2021:i:c:s1544612321000234. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/frl .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.