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Interdependence, issue importance, and the 2009 Russia-Ukraine gas conflict

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  • Lee, Yusin

Abstract

The primary aim of this paper is to explain the 2009 Russia-Ukraine gas conflict. In particular, it attempts to identify the causal mechanisms between their interdependence in the gas sphere and the gas conflict. The paper first shows that existing theories in the study of international relations have limitations in accounting for that conflict. Therefore, a theoretical framework drawing insights from Armstrong's model on dependence-political compliance and Crescenzi's exit model is proposed to explain it. Relying on this framework, this paper demonstrates that the 2009 Russia-Ukraine gas conflict took place through two critical causal mechanisms. In the contexts of the 2008 global financial crisis and Ukraine's anti-Russian policy, Russia and Ukraine both considered issues involved in the gas trade such as debts, prices, transit tariffs, and Ukraine's pipeline system to be very important. Therefore, when Russia issued demands with economic threats, Ukraine refused to comply.

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  • Lee, Yusin, 2017. "Interdependence, issue importance, and the 2009 Russia-Ukraine gas conflict," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 199-209.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:102:y:2017:i:c:p:199-209
    DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2016.11.038
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    3. Veronika Oravcová & Kateryna Yakovenko & Matúš Mišík, 2022. "Complete but Fragmented: Research on Energy in Central and Eastern Europe," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(17), pages 1-16, August.
    4. Natalia Iwaszczuk & Ivanna Zapukhliak & Aleksander Iwaszczuk & Oleh Dzoba & Oleksandra Romashko, 2022. "Underground Gas Storage Facilities in Ukraine: Current State and Future Prospects," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(18), pages 1-34, September.
    5. Guo, Yingjian & Hawkes, Adam, 2019. "The impact of demand uncertainties and China-US natural gas tariff on global gas trade," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 205-217.
    6. Yusin Lee, 2019. "Political Viability of the Russia-North Korea-South Korea Gas Pipeline Project: An Analysis of the Role of the U.S," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-17, May.
    7. Filip Božić & Daria Karasalihović Sedlar & Ivan Smajla & Ivana Ivančić, 2021. "Analysis of Changes in Natural Gas Physical Flows for Europe via Ukraine in 2020," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-22, August.
    8. Guych Nuryyev & Tomasz Korol & Ilia Tetin, 2021. "Hold-Up Problems in International Gas Trade: A Case Study," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-16, August.
    9. Md. Kausar Alam & Mosab I. Tabash & Mabruk Billah & Sanjeev Kumar & Suhaib Anagreh, 2022. "The Impacts of the Russia–Ukraine Invasion on Global Markets and Commodities: A Dynamic Connectedness among G7 and BRIC Markets," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-20, August.
    10. Kratochvíl, Petr & Mišík, Matúš, 2020. "Bad external actors and good nuclear energy: Media discourse on energy supplies in the Czech Republic and Slovakia," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).

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