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Measuring volatility persistence for conventional and Islamic banks: An FI-EGARCH approach

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  • Fakhfekh, Mohamed
  • Hachicha, Nejib
  • Jawadi, Fredj
  • Selmi, Nadhem
  • Idi Cheffou, Abdoulkarim

Abstract

This paper studies the volatility dynamics of conventional and Islamic banks from the Gulf Cooperation Council (G.C.C) countries during calm and crisis periods, providing a dual comparison in time and space. In particular, it proposes an empirical measure of volatility persistence using the FIEGARCH (Fractionally Integrated Exponential Generalized Auto-Regressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity) model. This specification is useful for reproducing further asymmetry in volatility dynamics and provides a direct measure of long-term volatility dependence. Our findings point to three interesting findings. First, volatility exhibits asymmetry as bad news has a significantly higher impact on volatility than positive news. Second, bad news affects the volatility of conventional banks more strongly than that of Islamic banks. Third, it seems that following a shock, volatility is more persistent in conventional banks than in Islamic Banks. Accordingly, Islamic banks are more resilient than conventional banks, but the degree of resilience is somewhat heterogeneous and sample dependent. Thus, while this may appear to suggest that we could regulate the conventional bank system using the industry rules of Islamic banks, it is worth noting that Islamic banks in Saudi Arabia tend to provide the most resilient Islamic Bank benchmark model.

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  • Fakhfekh, Mohamed & Hachicha, Nejib & Jawadi, Fredj & Selmi, Nadhem & Idi Cheffou, Abdoulkarim, 2016. "Measuring volatility persistence for conventional and Islamic banks: An FI-EGARCH approach," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 84-99.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ememar:v:27:y:2016:i:c:p:84-99
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2016.03.004
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    Cited by:

    1. Jawadi, Fredj & Jawadi, Nabila & Idi Cheffou, Abdoulkarim & Ben Ameur, Hachmi & Louhichi, Wael, 2017. "Modelling the effect of the geographical environment on Islamic banking performance: A panel quantile regression analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 300-306.
    2. Alandejani, Maha & Kutan, Ali M. & Samargandi, Nahla, 2017. "Do Islamic banks fail more than conventional banks?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 135-155.
    3. Marei Elbadri & Eralp Bektaş, 2022. "Dynamic relationship among the bank stability, oil, and gold prices: Evidence from the Islamic banks operating in the Gulf Cooperation Council countries," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 2153-2168, April.
    4. B M, Lithin & chakraborty, Suman & iyer, Vishwanathan & M N, Nikhil & ledwani, Sanket, 2022. "Modeling asymmetric sovereign bond yield volatility with univariate GARCH models: Evidence from India," MPRA Paper 117067, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 05 Jan 2023.
    5. Trad, Naama & Trabelsi, Mohamed Ali & Goux, Jean François, 2017. "Risk And Profi Tability Of Islamic Banks: A Religious Deception Or An Alternative Solution?," European Research on Management and Business Economics (ERMBE), Academia Europea de Dirección y Economía de la Empresa (AEDEM), vol. 23(1), pages 40-45.
    6. Abedifar, Pejman & Giudici, Paolo & Hashem, Shatha Qamhieh, 2017. "Heterogeneous market structure and systemic risk: Evidence from dual banking systems," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 96-119.
    7. Boubakri, Narjess & Chen, Ruiyuan & Guedhami, Omrane & Li, Xinming, 2019. "The Stock Liquidity of Banks: A Comparison between Islamic and Conventional Banks in Emerging Economies," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 210-224.
    8. Hassan, M. Kabir & Aliyu, Sirajo, 2018. "A contemporary survey of islamic banking literature," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 12-43.
    9. Risfandy, Tastaftiyan & Tarazi, Amine & Trinugroho, Irwan, 2022. "Competition in dual markets: Implications for banking system stability," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    10. Mohamed Ali Trabelsi & Naama Trad, 2017. "Profitability and risk in interest-free banking industries: a dynamic panel data analysis," International Journal of Islamic and Middle Eastern Finance and Management, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 10(4), pages 454-469, October.
    11. Mzoughi, Hela & Ben Amar, Amine & Belaid, Fateh & Guesmi, Khaled, 2022. "The Impact of COVID-19 pandemic on Islamic and conventional financial markets: International empirical evidence," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 303-325.
    12. M. Kabir Hassan & Md Nurul Islam Sohel & Tonmoy Choudhury & Mamunur Rashid, 2024. "A systematic literature review of risks in Islamic banking system: research agenda and future research directions," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 26(1), pages 1-29, February.
    13. Mohamed Fakhfekh & Ahmed Jeribi & Marwa Ben Salem, 2023. "Volatility dynamics of the Tunisian stock market before and during the COVID‐19 outbreak: Evidence from the GARCH family models," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 1653-1666, April.
    14. Fakhfekh, Mohamed & Jeribi, Ahmed, 2020. "Volatility dynamics of crypto-currencies’ returns: Evidence from asymmetric and long memory GARCH models," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    15. Asma Hkimi & Neila Boulila Taktak, 2022. "Managing the Risks of Investment Deposit Account in Islamic Banks: An Examination of Mudharaba Contract Between MENA and International Markets," Springer Books, in: Abdelghani Echchabi & Rihab Grassa & Welcome Sibanda (ed.), Contemporary Research in Accounting and Finance, pages 195-216, Springer.
    16. Lahmiri, Salim & Bekiros, Stelios & Stavroyiannis, Stavros & Babalos, Vassilios, 2018. "Modelling volatility persistence under stochasticity assumptions: evidence from common and alternative investments," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 158-163.
    17. Kakinaka, Shinji & Umeno, Ken, 2022. "Asymmetric volatility dynamics in cryptocurrency markets on multi-time scales," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    18. Maghyereh, Aktham & Abdoh, Hussein & Al-Shboul, Mohammad, 2022. "Oil structural shocks, bank-level characteristics, and systemic risk: Evidence from dual banking systems," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 46(4).
    19. Khan, Abdullah & Rizvi, Syed Aun R. & Ali, Mohsin & Haroon, Omair, 2021. "A survey of Islamic finance research – Influences and influencers," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    20. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach, 2019. "A survey of Islamic banking and finance literature: Issues, challenges and future directions," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 484-496.
    21. Azad, A.S.M.S. & Azmat, Saad & Chazi, Abdelaziz & Ahsan, Amirul, 2018. "Can Islamic banks have their own benchmark?," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 120-136.
    22. Dibooglu, Sel & Cevik, Emrah I. & Tamimi, Hussein A. Hassan Al, 2022. "Credit default risk in Islamic and conventional banks: Evidence from a GARCH option pricing model," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 396-411.
    23. Ahmed Jeribi & Mohamed Fakhfekh, 2021. "Portfolio management and dependence structure between cryptocurrencies and traditional assets: evidence from FIEGARCH-EVT-Copula," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 22(3), pages 224-239, May.
    24. Kwaku Boafo Baidoo, 2022. "Time-Varying Effect of Short Selling on Market Volatility During Crisis: Evidence from COVID-19 and War in Ukraine," European Journal of Business Science and Technology, Mendel University in Brno, Faculty of Business and Economics, vol. 8(2), pages 233-243.
    25. repec:idn:jimfjn:v:3:y:2018:i:specialissuec:p:1-20 is not listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Islamic and conventional banks; Volatility; Persistence; Asymmetry; FIEGARCH models;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C20 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - General
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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