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Bank herding and systemic risk

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  • Cai, Jin

Abstract

Bank herding behavior is often hypothesized to increase systemic risk, but the actual effect is unclear ex-ante from the theory and unknown ex-post from the data. We expand the literature on this topic in several dimensions – posing alternative hypotheses regarding the effects of herding in asset, liability, and off-balance sheet portfolios; developing a novel set of bank-specific, time-varying measures of herding in these portfolios; and empirically testing the relations between bank herding for all three portfolios and bank systemic risk contributions. We find nuanced empirical results that differ by portfolio, bank size class, and periods before versus after TARP.

Suggested Citation

  • Cai, Jin, 2022. "Bank herding and systemic risk," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 46(4).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecosys:v:46:y:2022:i:4:s0939362522001042
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2022.101042
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    Cited by:

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    4. Falk Bräuning & José L. Fillat, 2025. "The Impact of Regulatory Stress Tests on Banks' Portfolio Similarity and Implications for Systemic Risk," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 57(6), pages 1387-1419, September.
    5. Li, Shouxing & Ding, Lili & Zhao, Xin, 2025. "Does government dual-target management affect local bank credit structure? Evidence from China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    6. Jhih‐Hong Zeng & Sin‐Jin Lin, 2024. "Peer effect, bank concentration, and crises: Evidence from the United States," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 45(2), pages 1090-1103, March.
    7. Allen N. Berger & John Sedunov, 2024. "The Life Cycle of Systemic Risk and Crises," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 56(8), pages 1923-1961, December.
    8. Kaiming Zhang & Jingjing Zhang & Jialin Guo, 2025. "The Impact of Industry‐Level Loan Similarity on Systemic Risk in the Banking Sector," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 46(8), pages 4181-4200, December.

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    JEL classification:

    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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