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Space matters: Understanding the real effects of macroeconomic variations in cross-country housing price movements

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  • Duan, Kun
  • Mishra, Tapas
  • Parhi, Mamata

Abstract

Changes in macroeconomic conditions can significantly determine directions and magnitudes of cross-country housing price movements. We demonstrate that such effects are consistently over-estimated when ‘spatial frictions’ are merely assumed, but are not explicitly modeled in the empirical framework. The extent of over-estimation bias has significant policy implications.

Suggested Citation

  • Duan, Kun & Mishra, Tapas & Parhi, Mamata, 2018. "Space matters: Understanding the real effects of macroeconomic variations in cross-country housing price movements," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 130-135.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:163:y:2018:i:c:p:130-135
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2017.11.035
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Moro, Alessio & Nuño, Galo, 2012. "Does total-factor productivity drive housing prices? A growth-accounting exercise for four countries," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 115(2), pages 221-224.
    2. Cesa-Bianchi, Ambrogio, 2013. "Housing cycles and macroeconomic fluctuations: A global perspective," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 215-238.
    3. Tao, Ji & Yu, Jihai, 2012. "The spatial time lag in panel data models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 117(3), pages 544-547.
    4. Philip Arestis & Ana Rosa Gonzalez‐Martinez, 2016. "House Prices and Current Account Imbalances in OECD Countries," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(1), pages 58-74, January.
    5. Lee, Lung-fei & Yu, Jihai, 2010. "A Spatial Dynamic Panel Data Model With Both Time And Individual Fixed Effects," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 26(2), pages 564-597, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Khamis Hamed Al-Yahyaee & Walid Mensi & Hee-Un Ko & Massimiliano Caporin & Sang Hoon Kang, 2021. "Is the Korean housing market following Gangnam style?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(4), pages 2041-2072, October.
    2. Klarl, Torben, 2018. "Housing is local: Applying a dynamic unobserved factor model for the Dutch housing market," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 170(C), pages 79-84.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Macroeconomic adjustments; Spatial frictions; International housing market; Estimation bias; Spatial panel data;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • R31 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Housing Supply and Markets

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