IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ecmode/v144y2025ics0264999324003390.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Market-based climate policy with fluctuating fossil energy prices

Author

Listed:
  • Blanz, Alkis
  • Eydam, Ulrich
  • Heinemann, Maik
  • Kalkuhl, Matthias

Abstract

Since market-based climate policies such as carbon pricing affect the cost of using fossil resources, rule-based climate policy adjustments in response to fossil energy price shocks may promote macroeconomic stabilization. This raises the question of whether climate policy should adapt to short-term fluctuations in fossil energy prices. We examine this question by employing a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model calibrated for the German economy. Our results indicate that the macroeconomic and welfare impacts of rule-based carbon pricing adjustments depend on the share of recycled revenue. If revenue is fully absorbed, lowering emissions prices can stabilize the economy in response to rising energy prices. Conversely, if revenue is at least partially recycled, maintaining a stable carbon price will improve overall welfare. With a stable carbon price, revenue recycling acts as insurance against fluctuating energy prices. This result remains robust across several robustness checks.

Suggested Citation

  • Blanz, Alkis & Eydam, Ulrich & Heinemann, Maik & Kalkuhl, Matthias, 2025. "Market-based climate policy with fluctuating fossil energy prices," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:144:y:2025:i:c:s0264999324003390
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2024.106982
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0264999324003390
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.econmod.2024.106982?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Energy prices; DSGE; Climate policy; Welfare;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy
    • Q52 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Pollution Control Adoption and Costs; Distributional Effects; Employment Effects

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:144:y:2025:i:c:s0264999324003390. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/30411 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.