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Investor sentiment and bidder announcement abnormal returns

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  • Danbolt, Jo
  • Siganos, Antonios
  • Vagenas-Nanos, Evangelos

Abstract

We introduce the significance of a direct sentiment proxy as an explanatory variable of bidder announcement returns. We argue that sentiment subconsciously influences investor perception of potential merger synergies and risks, and therefore relates to bidder abnormal returns. We proxy daily sentiment based on Facebook status updates across seventeen international markets and show that there is a positive relation between sentiment and bidder announcement returns. In line with behavioral literature stating that sentiment more heavily influences uninformed traders, this relation is more pronounced in acquisitions with a low percentage of blockholder ownership, acquisitions of US public targets, and acquisitions of large targets relative to the size of the bidders. Our study goes beyond the conventional sentiment and stock market returns literature, uncovering a significant relation between sentiment and firm-specific abnormal returns to acquiring companies.

Suggested Citation

  • Danbolt, Jo & Siganos, Antonios & Vagenas-Nanos, Evangelos, 2015. "Investor sentiment and bidder announcement abnormal returns," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 164-179.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:corfin:v:33:y:2015:i:c:p:164-179
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2015.06.003
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    5. Anastasia Stepanova & Vladislav Savelyev & Malika Shaikhutdinova, 2018. "The Anchoring Effect in Mergers and Acquisitions: Evidence from an Emerging Market," HSE Working papers WP BRP 63/FE/2018, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
    6. Patrick Houlihan & Germán G. Creamer, 2017. "Can Sentiment Analysis and Options Volume Anticipate Future Returns?," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 50(4), pages 669-685, December.
    7. Shangkari V. Anusakumar & Ruhani Ali, 2017. "Momentum and Investor Sentiment: Evidence from Asian Stock Markets," Capital Markets Review, Malaysian Finance Association, vol. 25(1), pages 26-42.
    8. Huang, Ying Sophie & Guo, Feng & Ma, Lina, 2023. "Do M&A funds create value in Chinese listed firms?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    9. Jana P. Fidrmuc & Tereza Tykvova, 2023. "Are Acquirer Shareholders Happier when Their Industries Are Unhappy?," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 23-52, Swiss Finance Institute.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Mergers; Bidder announcement returns; Behavioral finance; Investor sentiment;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
    • G34 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Mergers; Acquisitions; Restructuring; Corporate Governance

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