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Investor sentiment and bidder announcement abnormal returns

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  • Danbolt, Jo
  • Siganos, Antonios
  • Vagenas-Nanos, Evangelos

Abstract

We introduce the significance of a direct sentiment proxy as an explanatory variable of bidder announcement returns. We argue that sentiment subconsciously influences investor perception of potential merger synergies and risks, and therefore relates to bidder abnormal returns. We proxy daily sentiment based on Facebook status updates across seventeen international markets and show that there is a positive relation between sentiment and bidder announcement returns. In line with behavioral literature stating that sentiment more heavily influences uninformed traders, this relation is more pronounced in acquisitions with a low percentage of blockholder ownership, acquisitions of US public targets, and acquisitions of large targets relative to the size of the bidders. Our study goes beyond the conventional sentiment and stock market returns literature, uncovering a significant relation between sentiment and firm-specific abnormal returns to acquiring companies.

Suggested Citation

  • Danbolt, Jo & Siganos, Antonios & Vagenas-Nanos, Evangelos, 2015. "Investor sentiment and bidder announcement abnormal returns," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 164-179.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:corfin:v:33:y:2015:i:c:p:164-179
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2015.06.003
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    2. Shangkari V. Anusakumar & Ruhani Ali, 2017. "Momentum and Investor Sentiment: Evidence from Asian Stock Markets," Capital Markets Review, Malaysian Finance Association, vol. 25(1), pages 26-42.
    3. Autore, Don M. & Jiang, Danling, 2019. "The preholiday corporate announcement effect," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 61-82.
    4. Cioroianu, Iulia & Corbet, Shaen & Larkin, Charles, 2021. "The differential impact of corporate blockchain-development as conditioned by sentiment and financial desperation," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    5. Kinateder, Harald & Fabich, Matthias & Wagner, Niklas, 2017. "Domestic mergers and acquisitions in BRICS countries: Acquirers and targets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 190-199.
    6. Anastasia Stepanova & Vladislav Savelyev & Malika Shaikhutdinova, 2018. "The Anchoring Effect in Mergers and Acquisitions: Evidence from an Emerging Market," HSE Working papers WP BRP 63/FE/2018, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
    7. Levon Goukasian & Emily J. Huang & Qingzhong Ma & Wei Zhang, 2019. "Are Acquirers Efficiently Priced? Evidence from Subsequent Earnings Announcements," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, vol. 16, pages 15-30, May.
    8. Ma, Qingzhong & Whidbee, David A. & Zhang, Wei, 2019. "Acquirer reference prices and acquisition performance," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(1), pages 175-199.
    9. Jullavut Kittiakarasakun & Lalatendu Misra & Sinan Yildirim, 2018. "An analysis of closed-end funds discounts viewed from a lack of redemption perspective," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 50(2), pages 415-440, February.
    10. Que, Jiangjing & Zhang, Xueyong, 2021. "Money chasing hot industries? Investor attention and valuation of venture capital backed firms," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    11. Nikolaos Sariannidis & Grigoris Giannarakis & Eleni Zafeiriou & Ioannis Billias, 2016. "The Effect of Crude Oil Price Moments on Socially Responsible Firms in Eurozone," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 6(2), pages 356-363.
    12. Patrick Houlihan & Germán G. Creamer, 2017. "Can Sentiment Analysis and Options Volume Anticipate Future Returns?," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 50(4), pages 669-685, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Mergers; Bidder announcement returns; Behavioral finance; Investor sentiment;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
    • G34 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Mergers; Acquisitions; Restructuring; Corporate Governance

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