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Facebook's daily sentiment and international stock markets

Author

Listed:
  • Siganos, Antonios
  • Vagenas-Nanos, Evangelos
  • Verwijmeren, Patrick

Abstract

We examine the relation between daily sentiment and trading behavior within 20 international markets by exploiting Facebook's Gross National Happiness Index. We find that sentiment has a positive contemporaneous relation to stock returns. Moreover, sentiment on Sunday affects stock returns on Monday, suggesting causality from sentiment to stock markets. We observe that the relation between sentiment and returns reverses the following weeks. We further show that negative sentiments are related to increases in trading volume and return volatility. These results highlight the importance of behavioral factors in stock investing.

Suggested Citation

  • Siganos, Antonios & Vagenas-Nanos, Evangelos & Verwijmeren, Patrick, 2014. "Facebook's daily sentiment and international stock markets," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 107(PB), pages 730-743.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jeborg:v:107:y:2014:i:pb:p:730-743
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2014.06.004
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Zhang, Wei & Li, Xiao & Shen, Dehua & Teglio, Andrea, 2016. "Daily happiness and stock returns: Some international evidence," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 460(C), pages 201-209.
    2. Qadan, Mahmoud & Kliger, Doron, 2016. "The short trading day anomaly," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(PA), pages 62-80.
    3. Steffen Meyer & Michaela Pagel, 2017. "Fresh Air Eases Work – The Effect of Air Quality on Individual Investor Activity," NBER Working Papers 24048, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Jaroslav Bukovina, 2016. "Social Media and Capital Markets – an Overview," MENDELU Working Papers in Business and Economics 2016-57, Mendel University in Brno, Faculty of Business and Economics.
    5. Siganos, Antonios & Vagenas-Nanos, Evangelos & Verwijmeren, Patrick, 2017. "Divergence of sentiment and stock market trading," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 130-141.
    6. Milla Siikanen & Kk{e}stutis Baltakys & Juho Kanniainen & Ravi Vatrapu & Raghava Mukkamala & Abid Hussain, 2017. "Facebook drives behavior of passive households in stock markets," Papers 1709.07300, arXiv.org, revised May 2018.
    7. Krumer, Alex & Lechner, Michael, 2016. "Midweek Effect on Performance: Evidence from the German Soccer Bundesliga," Economics Working Paper Series 1609, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
    8. Gavriilidis, Konstantinos & Kallinterakis, Vasileios & Tsalavoutas, Ioannis, 2016. "Investor mood, herding and the Ramadan effect," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 132(S), pages 23-38.
    9. Danbolt, Jo & Siganos, Antonios & Vagenas-Nanos, Evangelos, 2015. "Investor sentiment and bidder announcement abnormal returns," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 164-179.
    10. repec:men:wpaper:57_2015 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. Porshnev, Alexander V. & Lakshina, Valeriya V. & Redkin, Ilya E., 2016. "Using Emotional Markers' Frequencies in Stock Market ARMAX-GARCH Model," MPRA Paper 82875, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Hamid, Alain & Heiden, Moritz, 2015. "Forecasting volatility with empirical similarity and Google Trends," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 62-81.
    13. repec:kap:compec:v:50:y:2017:i:4:d:10.1007_s10614-017-9694-4 is not listed on IDEAS
    14. repec:spr:fininn:v:3:y:2017:i:1:d:10.1186_s40854-017-0053-1 is not listed on IDEAS
    15. repec:kap:apfinm:v:24:y:2017:i:3:d:10.1007_s10690-017-9228-z is not listed on IDEAS
    16. repec:eee:finlet:v:23:y:2017:i:c:p:58-64 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. Dragouni, Mina & Filis, George & Gavriilidis, Konstantinos & Santamaria, Daniel, 2016. "Sentiment, mood and outbound tourism demand," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 80-96.
    18. Zhang, Yongjie & Song, Weixin & Shen, Dehua & Zhang, Wei, 2016. "Market reaction to internet news: Information diffusion and price pressure," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 43-49.
    19. Gelman, Sergey & Kliger, Doron, 2016. "Time-Induced Stress Effect on Financial Decision Making in Real Markets: The Case of Traffic Congestion," Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145915, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    20. repec:eee:ecmode:v:64:y:2017:i:c:p:496-501 is not listed on IDEAS

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