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Managerial overconfidence in high and low valuation markets and gains to acquisitions

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  • Croci, Ettore
  • Petmezas, Dimitris
  • Vagenas-Nanos, Evangelos

Abstract

In this paper we empirically investigate bidders' performance managed by overconfident and non-overconfident managers in high and low market valuation periods. Using a sample of UK acquisitions in the period 1990-2005, we provide evidence that the interaction between market valuation and different behavioral traits of managers is a determinant of bidders' returns. In contrast to overconfident managers, non-overconfident managers conduct value-creative acquisition deals in all valuation periods. In addition, when we control for acquirer and deal characteristics, we find that bidders with non-overconfident managers gain the most in high valuation periods, while firms are better off without overconfident managers in any type of market conditions.

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  • Croci, Ettore & Petmezas, Dimitris & Vagenas-Nanos, Evangelos, 2010. "Managerial overconfidence in high and low valuation markets and gains to acquisitions," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 19(5), pages 368-378, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finana:v:19:y:2010:i:5:p:368-378
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    3. Guo, Jie (Michael) & Li, Yichen & Wang, Changyun & Xing, Xiaofei, 2020. "The role of investment bankers in M&As: New evidence on Acquirers’ financial conditions," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
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