IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/appene/v321y2022ics0306261922007000.html

An insurance mechanism for electricity reliability differentiation under deep decarbonization

Author

Listed:
  • Billimoria, Farhad
  • Fele, Filiberto
  • Savelli, Iacopo
  • Morstyn, Thomas
  • McCulloch, Malcolm

Abstract

Securing an adequate supply of dispatchable resources is critical for keeping a power system reliable under high penetrations of variable generation. Strategic reserves have been used by a range of jurisdictions to procure investment in additional generation reserves given the missing money problem in energy only market designs. Given the growing flexibility and heterogeneity of load enabled by advancements in distributed resource and control technology, strategic reserve procurement needs to be able to reflect the different preferences of energy consumers. To address this challenge this paper develops an insurance risk mechanism for the procurement of strategic reserves that is adapted to a future with variable generation and flexible demand. The proposed design introduces a central insurance scheme with prudential requirements that align diverse consumer reliability preferences with the financial objectives of an insurer-of-last-resort. We illustrate the benefits of the scheme in (i) differentiating load by usage to enable better management of the system during times of extreme scarcity, (ii) incentivizing incremental investment in generation infrastructure that is aligned with consumer reliability preferences and (iii) improving overall reliability outcomes for consumers.

Suggested Citation

  • Billimoria, Farhad & Fele, Filiberto & Savelli, Iacopo & Morstyn, Thomas & McCulloch, Malcolm, 2022. "An insurance mechanism for electricity reliability differentiation under deep decarbonization," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 321(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:321:y:2022:i:c:s0306261922007000
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2022.119356
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306261922007000
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.apenergy.2022.119356?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Chao, Hung-po & Wilson, Robert, 1987. "Priority Service: Pricing, Investment, and Market Organization," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 77(5), pages 899-916, December.
    2. Martin Eling & Hato Schmeiser & Joan T. Schmit, 2007. "The Solvency II Process: Overview and Critical Analysis," Risk Management and Insurance Review, American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 10(1), pages 69-85, March.
    3. Neuhoff, Karsten & Diekmann, Jochen & Kunz, Friedrich & Rüster, Sophia & Schill, Wolf-Peter & Schwenen, Sebastian, 2016. "A coordinated strategic reserve to safeguard the European energy transition," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 252-263.
    4. Rob Kaas & Marc Goovaerts & Jan Dhaene & Michel Denuit, 2008. "Modern Actuarial Risk Theory," Springer Books, Springer, edition 2, number 978-3-540-70998-5, August.
    5. Frank A. Wolak, 2022. "Long-Term Resource Adequacy in Wholesale Electricity Markets with Significant Intermittent Renewables," Environmental and Energy Policy and the Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 3(1), pages 155-220.
    6. Jacob Mays & David P. Morton & Richard P. O’Neill, 2019. "Asymmetric risk and fuel neutrality in electricity capacity markets," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 4(11), pages 948-956, November.
    7. Mou, Yuting & Papavasiliou, Anthony & Chevalier, Philippe, 2020. "A bi-level optimization formulation of priority service pricing," LIDAM Reprints CORE 3081, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    8. Simshauser, Paul, 2018. "On intermittent renewable generation & the stability of Australia's National Electricity Market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 1-19.
    9. David Pozo & Enzo Sauma & Javier Contreras, 2017. "Basic theoretical foundations and insights on bilevel models and their applications to power systems," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 254(1), pages 303-334, July.
    10. Holmberg, Pär & Tangerås, Thomas, 2021. "Strategic Reserves versus Market-wide Capacity Mechanisms," Working Paper Series 1387, Research Institute of Industrial Economics.
    11. Billimoria, Farhad & Poudineh, Rahmatallah, 2019. "Market design for resource adequacy: A reliability insurance overlay on energy-only electricity markets," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 1-1.
    12. repec:aen:journl:1988si2-a06 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Rees, Ray & Wambach, Achim, 2008. "The Microeconomics of Insurance," Foundations and Trends(R) in Microeconomics, now publishers, vol. 4(1–2), pages 1-163, February.
    14. RUIZ, Carlos & CONEJO, Antonio J. & SMEERS, Yves, 2012. "Equilibria in an oligopolistic electricity pool with stepwise offer curves," LIDAM Reprints CORE 2395, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    15. Newbery, David & Pollitt, Michael G. & Ritz, Robert A. & Strielkowski, Wadim, 2018. "Market design for a high-renewables European electricity system," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 695-707.
    16. repec:aen:journl:ej41-si1-holmberg is not listed on IDEAS
    17. Oren, Shmuel S & Doucet, Joseph A, 1990. "Interruption Insurance for Generation and Distribution of Electric Power," Journal of Regulatory Economics, Springer, vol. 2(1), pages 5-19, March.
    18. Carolyn Kousky & Roger Cooke, 2012. "Explaining the Failure to Insure Catastrophic Risks," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 37(2), pages 206-227, April.
    19. Goovaerts, Marc J. & Kaas, Rob & Laeven, Roger J.A., 2010. "Decision principles derived from risk measures," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(3), pages 294-302, December.
    20. repec:aen:eeepjl:2_2_a04 is not listed on IDEAS
    21. Paul L Joskow, 2019. "Challenges for wholesale electricity markets with intermittent renewable generation at scale: the US experience," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 35(2), pages 291-331.
    22. Söder, Lennart & Tómasson, Egill & Estanqueiro, Ana & Flynn, Damian & Hodge, Bri-Mathias & Kiviluoma, Juha & Korpås, Magnus & Neau, Emmanuel & Couto, António & Pudjianto, Danny & Strbac, Goran & Burke, 2020. "Review of wind generation within adequacy calculations and capacity markets for different power systems," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    23. Rockafellar, R. Tyrrell & Uryasev, Stanislav, 2002. "Conditional value-at-risk for general loss distributions," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(7), pages 1443-1471, July.
    24. Fanzeres, Bruno & Ahmed, Shabbir & Street, Alexandre, 2019. "Robust strategic bidding in auction-based markets," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 272(3), pages 1158-1172.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Savelli, Iacopo & Howey, David & Morstyn, Thomas, 2025. "Locating large-scale energy storage: spillover effects, carbon emissions, and balancing costs across Italy," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    2. Shu, Han & Mays, Jacob, 2023. "Beyond capacity: Contractual form in electricity reliability obligations," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    3. Keppler, Jan Horst & Quemin, Simon & Saguan, Marcelo, 2022. "Why the sustainable provision of low-carbon electricity needs hybrid markets," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
    4. Billimoria, Farhad & Mays, Jacob & Poudineh, Rahmat, 2025. "Hedging and tail risk in electricity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    5. Han Shu & Jacob Mays, 2022. "Beyond capacity: contractual form in electricity reliability obligations," Papers 2210.10858, arXiv.org.
    6. Liu, Bing & Sun, Huimin & Xiao, Siqing, 2024. "Potential of pension funds and insurance companies for investment in resources: Policies for sustainable transition," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    7. Liang, Chen & Zeng, Bo & Lei, Yueyi & Wang, Yuan, 2025. "Market-government dual-driven framework for reliability-centric planning of a computation-energy integrated system with data centers," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 396(C).
    8. Dimanchev, Emil & Gabriel, Steven A. & Reichenberg, Lina & Korpås, Magnus, 2024. "Consequences of the missing risk market problem for power system emissions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    9. Farhad Billimoria & Paul Simshauser, 2023. "Contract design for storage in hybrid electricity markets," Working Papers EPRG2304, Energy Policy Research Group, Cambridge Judge Business School, University of Cambridge.
    10. Savelli, Iacopo & Hepburn, Cameron & Morstyn, Thomas, 2024. "A blueprint for energy systems in the era of central bank digital currencies," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 207(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Farhad Billimoria & Filiberto Fele & Iacopo Savelli & Thomas Morstyn & Malcolm McCulloch, 2021. "On the Design of an Insurance Mechanism for Reliability Differentiation in Electricity Markets," Papers 2106.14351, arXiv.org.
    2. Farhad Billimoria & Filiberto Fele & Iacopo Savelli & Thomas Morstyn & Malcolm McCulloch, 2023. "An Insurance Paradigm for Improving Power System Resilience via Distributed Investment," Papers 2302.01456, arXiv.org.
    3. Shu, Han & Mays, Jacob, 2023. "Beyond capacity: Contractual form in electricity reliability obligations," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    4. Billimoria, Farhad & Mays, Jacob & Poudineh, Rahmat, 2025. "Hedging and tail risk in electricity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    5. Dimanchev, Emil & Gabriel, Steven A. & Reichenberg, Lina & Korpås, Magnus, 2024. "Consequences of the missing risk market problem for power system emissions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    6. Paul Simshauser, 2025. "Are gas turbines 'bankable' in transitioning energy-only markets?," Working Papers EPRG2601, Energy Policy Research Group, Cambridge Judge Business School, University of Cambridge.
    7. Keppler, Jan Horst & Quemin, Simon & Saguan, Marcelo, 2022. "Why the sustainable provision of low-carbon electricity needs hybrid markets," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
    8. Simshauser, Paul, 2024. "On static vs. dynamic line ratings in renewable energy zones," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    9. Mier, Mathias, 2021. "Efficient pricing of electricity revisited," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    10. Farhad Billimoria & Paul Simshauser, 2023. "Contract design for storage in hybrid electricity markets," Working Papers EPRG2304, Energy Policy Research Group, Cambridge Judge Business School, University of Cambridge.
    11. Villalobos, Cristian & Negrete-Pincetic, Matías & Figueroa, Nicolás & Lorca, Álvaro & Olivares, Daniel, 2021. "The impact of short-term pricing on flexible generation investments in electricity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    12. Sanchez Jimenez, I. & Bruninx, K. & de Vries, L.J., 2025. "Capacity remuneration mechanisms for decarbonized power systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 391(C).
    13. Newbery, David M., 2023. "High renewable electricity penetration: Marginal curtailment and market failure under “subsidy-free” entry," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    14. Javier Gonzalez-Ruiz & Carlos Rodriguez-Pardo & Iacopo Savelli & Alice Di Bella & Massimo Tavoni, 2025. "Assessing Long-Term Electricity Market Design for Ambitious Decarbonization Targets using Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning," Papers 2512.17444, arXiv.org.
    15. Lo Prete, Chiara & Palmer, Karen & Robertson, Molly, 2025. "Time for a market upgrade? A review of wholesale electricity market designs for the future," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    16. Zhi Chen & Melvyn Sim & Huan Xu, 2019. "Distributionally Robust Optimization with Infinitely Constrained Ambiguity Sets," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 67(5), pages 1328-1344, September.
    17. Zhou, Zhi & Botterud, Audun & Levin, Todd, 2025. "Price formation in zero-carbon electricity markets – Fundamentals, challenges, and research needs," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 211(C).
    18. Bernard, Jean-Thomas & Roland, Michel, 2000. "Load management programs, cross-subsidies and transaction costs: the case of self-rationing," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(2), pages 161-188, May.
    19. Yuanying Guan & Zhanyi Jiao & Ruodu Wang, 2022. "A reverse ES (CVaR) optimization formula," Papers 2203.02599, arXiv.org, revised May 2023.
    20. Franziska Klaucke & Karsten Neuhoff & Alexander Roth & Wolf-Peter Schill & Leon Stolle, 2025. "An advanced reliability reserve incentivizes flexibility investments while safeguarding the electricity market," Papers 2506.14664, arXiv.org.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:321:y:2022:i:c:s0306261922007000. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/405891/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.