IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/appene/v136y2014icp480-494.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The institutional power shortage in China: Capacity shortage or capacity under-utilisation?

Author

Listed:
  • Zhang, Liang
  • Ruan, Jian
  • Ding, Jianhua

Abstract

China has experienced off-seasonal power shortages in recent years, where the growth in capacity supply exceeds the power demand. This paper investigates the mechanism of power shortages in China by estimating the capacity expansion and capacity utilisation models with the annual data of 30 provinces from 2006 to 2011. With the theoretical and empirical evidence, we find that: (1) the mechanism of the power shortages in China could be twofold: the capacity shortage and the capacity under-utilisation, where the two can have a combined effect on shaping the power supply pattern in China and (2) the ‘coal-price-inflation-internalising’ policy employed by the state to solve the ‘coal-electricity’ conflict leads to the short-run power shortage and also distorts the market demand signal of the capacity utilisation for the power firms to make long-run investment decisions.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhang, Liang & Ruan, Jian & Ding, Jianhua, 2014. "The institutional power shortage in China: Capacity shortage or capacity under-utilisation?," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 480-494.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:136:y:2014:i:c:p:480-494
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2014.08.106
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306261914009295
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.apenergy.2014.08.106?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Peterson, Steven & Augustine, Charles, 2003. "Regulatory Failure in the California Electricity Crisis," The Electricity Journal, Elsevier, vol. 16(7), pages 56-64.
    2. Crompton, Paul & Wu, Yanrui, 2005. "Energy consumption in China: past trends and future directions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 195-208, January.
    3. Woo, Chi-Keung, 2001. "What went wrong in California's electricity market?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 26(8), pages 747-758.
    4. Smith, Michael D., 2002. "Lessons to Be Learned from California and Enron for Restructuring Electricity Markets," The Electricity Journal, Elsevier, vol. 15(7), pages 23-32.
    5. Shiu, Alice & Lam, Pun-Lee, 2004. "Electricity consumption and economic growth in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 47-54, January.
    6. Bushnell, James, 2004. "California's electricity crisis: a market apart?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 32(9), pages 1045-1052, June.
    7. Zhao, Xiaoli & Lyon, Thomas P. & Song, Cui, 2012. "Lurching towards markets for power: China’s electricity policy 1985–2007," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 148-155.
    8. Wolak, Frank A., 2003. "Diagnosing the California Electricity Crisis," The Electricity Journal, Elsevier, vol. 16(7), pages 11-37.
    9. Silsbee, Carl H. & Jurewitz, John L., 2001. "Wholesale Generator Incentives to Exercise Market Power in the California Electricity Market," The Electricity Journal, Elsevier, vol. 14(7), pages 51-56.
    10. Lee, Won-Woo, 2004. "US lessons for energy industry restructuring: based on natural gas and California electricity incidences," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 237-259, January.
    11. Omar Licandro, 1992. "Investment Dynamics and Capacity Utilization under Monopolistic Competition," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 27, pages 91-113.
    12. repec:adr:anecst:y:1992:i:27:p:04 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Severin Borenstein & James Bushnell, 1999. "An Empirical Analysis of the Potential for Market Power in California’s Electricity Industry," Journal of Industrial Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 47(3), pages 285-323, September.
    14. Li, Binsheng & Dorian, James P, 1995. "Change in China's power sector," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 23(7), pages 619-626, July.
    15. Fagnart, Jean-Francois & Licandro, Omar & Sneessens, Henri R., 1997. "Capacity utilization and market power," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 123-140, November.
    16. Kornai, Janos, 1992. "The Socialist System: The Political Economy of Communism," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198287766, Decembrie.
    17. Wu, Kang & Li, Binsheng, 1995. "Energy development in China : National policies and regional strategies," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 167-178, February.
    18. Santa, Donald F., 2001. "Welcome to the Hotel California, , , : How Will the California Electricity Crisis Shape Federal Energy Policy?," The Electricity Journal, Elsevier, vol. 14(6), pages 54-69, July.
    19. Zhang, Liang, 2012. "Electricity pricing in a partial reformed plan system: The case of China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 214-225.
    20. Stern, David I., 1993. "Energy and economic growth in the USA : A multivariate approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 15(2), pages 137-150, April.
    21. Woo, Chi-Keung & Lloyd, Debra & Tishler, Asher, 2003. "Electricity market reform failures: UK, Norway, Alberta and California," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 31(11), pages 1103-1115, September.
    22. Newbery, David M., 2002. "Problems of liberalising the electricity industry," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 46(4-5), pages 919-927, May.
    23. Ma, Hengyun & Oxley, Les & Gibson, John, 2009. "China's energy situation in the new millennium," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 13(8), pages 1781-1799, October.
    24. Hilke, John C, 1984. "Excess Capacity and Entry: Some Empirical Evidence," Journal of Industrial Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(2), pages 233-240, December.
    25. Tishler, Asher & Milstein, Irena & Woo, Chi-Keung, 2008. "Capacity commitment and price volatility in a competitive electricity market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(4), pages 1625-1647, July.
    26. Asafu-Adjaye, John, 2000. "The relationship between energy consumption, energy prices and economic growth: time series evidence from Asian developing countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(6), pages 615-625, December.
    27. Green, Richard J, 1996. "Increasing Competition in the British Electricity Spot Market," Journal of Industrial Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(2), pages 205-216, June.
    28. Navarro, Peter & Shames, Michael, 2003. "Aftershocks--And Essential Lessons--From the California Electricity Debacle," The Electricity Journal, Elsevier, vol. 16(4), pages 24-30, May.
    29. Williams, Allen W., 2001. "The U.S. Electricity Sector: What after California?," The Electricity Journal, Elsevier, vol. 14(5), pages 51-61, June.
    30. Won-Young Lee, 1997. "The Case of Korea," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Peter J. Buckley & Jaime Campos & Hafiz Mirza & Eduardo White (ed.), International Technology Transfer by Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises, chapter 14, pages 406-431, Palgrave Macmillan.
    31. Yuan, Jiahai & Zhao, Changhong & Yu, Shunkun & Hu, Zhaoguang, 2007. "Electricity consumption and economic growth in China: Cointegration and co-feature analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(6), pages 1179-1191, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Muhammad Paend Bakht & Zainal Salam & Abdul Rauf Bhatti & Usman Ullah Sheikh & Nuzhat Khan & Waqas Anjum, 2022. "Techno-economic modelling of hybrid energy system to overcome the load shedding problem: A case study of Pakistan," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 17(4), pages 1-29, April.
    2. Liu, HuiHui & Zhang, ZhongXiang & Chen, Zhan-Ming & Dou, DeSheng, 2019. "The impact of China's electricity price deregulation on coal and power industries: Two-stage game modeling," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    3. Pan, Lingying & Liu, Pei & Li, Zheng, 2017. "A system dynamic analysis of China’s oil supply chain: Over-capacity and energy security issues," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 508-520.
    4. Niu, Wen-jing & Feng, Zhong-kai & Cheng, Chun-tian, 2018. "Optimization of variable-head hydropower system operation considering power shortage aspect with quadratic programming and successive approximation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 143(C), pages 1020-1028.
    5. Su, Rui & Chen, Bin & Wang, Saige & Duan, Cuncun, 2024. "Energy technical resilience assessment based on complex network analysis – A case study of China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 364(C).
    6. Moret, Stefano & Babonneau, Frédéric & Bierlaire, Michel & Maréchal, François, 2020. "Overcapacity in European power systems: Analysis and robust optimization approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 259(C).
    7. Peng Ou & Ruting Huang & Xin Yao, 2016. "Economic Impacts of Power Shortage," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(7), pages 1-21, July.
    8. Zhang, Chonghui & Li, Xiangwen & Sun, Yunfei & Chen, Ji & Streimikiene, Dalia, 2023. "Policy modeling consistency analysis during energy crises: Evidence from China's coal power policy," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).
    9. Zhao, Chen & Yu, Jian & Liu, Peng & Shen, Yifan, 2025. "The impact and spatial externalities of unstable power supply on the low-carbon transition in China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    10. Yao, Xilong & Wang, Hualing & Shao, Shuai & Li, Xiaoyu & Guo, Zhi, 2022. "“Booster” or “obstacle”: Can coal capacity cut policies moderate the resource curse effect? Evidence from Shanxi (China)," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    11. Feng, Zhong-kai & Niu, Wen-jing & Wang, Sen & Cheng, Chun-tian & Jiang, Zhi-qiang & Qin, Hui & Liu, Yi, 2018. "Developing a successive linear programming model for head-sensitive hydropower system operation considering power shortage aspect," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 252-261.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yuan, Jia-Hai & Kang, Jian-Gang & Zhao, Chang-Hong & Hu, Zhao-Guang, 2008. "Energy consumption and economic growth: Evidence from China at both aggregated and disaggregated levels," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(6), pages 3077-3094, November.
    2. Ma, Hengyun & Oxley, Les & Gibson, John, 2009. "Gradual reforms and the emergence of energy market in China: Evidence from tests for convergence of energy prices," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(11), pages 4834-4850, November.
    3. Fang, Zheng & Chen, Yang, 2017. "Human capital, energy, and economic development – Evidence from Chinese provincial data," RIEI Working Papers 2017-03, Xi'an Jiaotong-Liverpool University, Research Institute for Economic Integration.
    4. Woo, C.K. & King, M. & Tishler, A. & Chow, L.C.H., 2006. "Costs of electricity deregulation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 31(6), pages 747-768.
    5. Belloumi, Mounir, 2009. "Energy consumption and GDP in Tunisia: Cointegration and causality analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(7), pages 2745-2753, July.
    6. Ozturk, Ilhan, 2010. "A literature survey on energy-growth nexus," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 340-349, January.
    7. Omri, Anis, 2014. "An international literature survey on energy-economic growth nexus: Evidence from country-specific studies," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 951-959.
    8. Zhang, Xing-Ping & Cheng, Xiao-Mei, 2009. "Energy consumption, carbon emissions, and economic growth in China," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(10), pages 2706-2712, August.
    9. Tiba, Sofien & Omri, Anis, 2017. "Literature survey on the relationships between energy, environment and economic growth," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 1129-1146.
    10. Ma, Hengyun & Oxley, Les & Gibson, John, 2010. "China's energy economy: A survey of the literature," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 105-132, June.
    11. Zhang, Wei & Yang, Shuyun, 2013. "The influence of energy consumption of China on its real GDP from aggregated and disaggregated viewpoints," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 76-81.
    12. Sofien, Tiba & Omri, Anis, 2016. "Literature survey on the relationships between energy variables, environment and economic growth," MPRA Paper 82555, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 14 Sep 2016.
    13. Chor Foon Tang & Eu Chye Tan, 2012. "Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth in Portugal: Evidence from a Multivariate Framework Analysis," The Energy Journal, , vol. 33(4), pages 22-48, October.
    14. Kumar, Ronald Ravinesh & Stauvermann, Peter Josef & Patel, Arvind & Kumar, Nikeel, 2017. "The effect of energy on output per worker in the Balkan Peninsula: A country-specific study of 12 nations in the Energy Community," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 1223-1239.
    15. Kumar Narayan, Paresh & Singh, Baljeet, 2007. "The electricity consumption and GDP nexus for the Fiji Islands," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(6), pages 1141-1150, November.
    16. Ronald Kumar & Peter Stauvermann & Arvind Patel, 2015. "Nexus between electricity consumption and economic growth: a study of Gibraltar," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 48(2), pages 119-135, May.
    17. Stephan B. Bruns & Christian Gross & David I. Stern, 2014. "Is There Really Granger Causality between Energy Use and Output?," The Energy Journal, , vol. 35(4), pages 101-134, October.
    18. Ma, Hengyun & Oxley, Les & Gibson, John, 2009. "Substitution possibilities and determinants of energy intensity for China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(5), pages 1793-1804, May.
    19. Perez, Eloy, 2007. "A model of vertical integration and investment in generation capacity in electricity markets: The case of the bidding game," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 41(4), pages 272-290, December.
    20. Guy Liu & Liang Zhang & Eric Girardin, 2014. "The Chinese electricity industry: supply capacity and its determinants with reference to OECD countries," Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(4), pages 353-382, November.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:136:y:2014:i:c:p:480-494. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/405891/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.