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Dynamic relationships between US and Thai rice prices

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  • Taylor, Earl L.
  • Bessler, David A.
  • Waller, Mark L.
  • Rister, M. Edward

Abstract

Relationships between the United States Department of Agriculture's (USDA) estimated World Market Price, the Thai milled rice price, US transportation-adjusted cash rough rice price, and the Chicago Rice and Cotton Exchange rough rice futures price are examined for the 1987-1991 marketing years. Specifically, a cointegration analysis is used to address the pricing and informational efficiency of the respective markets. Testing indicates the system is described by two cointegrating vectors. The analysis preformed herein provides insight into the pricing performance of several world rice markets.
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  • Taylor, Earl L. & Bessler, David A. & Waller, Mark L. & Rister, M. Edward, 1996. "Dynamic relationships between US and Thai rice prices," Agricultural Economics, Blackwell, vol. 14(2), pages 123-133, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:agecon:v:14:y:1996:i:2:p:123-133
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    1. Engle, Robert & Granger, Clive, 2015. "Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing," Applied Econometrics, Publishing House "SINERGIA PRESS", vol. 39(3), pages 106-135.
    2. Johansen, Soren, 1992. "Determination of Cointegration Rank in the Presence of a Linear Trend," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 54(3), pages 383-397, August.
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    4. Karp, Larry S & Perloff, Jeffrey M, 1989. "Dynamic Oligopoly in the Rice Export Market," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 71(3), pages 462-470, August.
    5. Granger, C. W. J. & Newbold, Paul, 1986. "Forecasting Economic Time Series," Elsevier Monographs, Elsevier, edition 2, number 9780122951831 edited by Shell, Karl.
    6. Engle, R. F. & Granger, C. W. J. (ed.), 1991. "Long-Run Economic Relationships: Readings in Cointegration," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198283393.
    7. Yumkella, K. K. & Unnevehr, L. J. & Garcia, P., 1994. "Noncompetitive Pricing and Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Selected U.S. and Thai Rice Markets," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 26(02), pages 406-416, December.
    8. Johansen, Soren, 1991. "Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(6), pages 1551-1580, November.
    9. Johansen, Soren, 1988. "Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 231-254.
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    Cited by:

    1. Kim, Man-Keun & Tejeda, Hernan & Wright, Jeffrey, 2016. "Price Discovery in the U.S. Milled Rice Markets using a Cluster Analysis and Tournament," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, 2016, Boston, Massachusetts 235725, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    2. Kim, Man-Keun & Tejeda, Hernan & Yu, T. Edward, 2016. "Dynamic and Spatial Relationships in US Rice Markets," 2016 Annual Meeting, February 6-9, 2016, San Antonio, Texas 229784, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    3. Yang, Jian & Bessler, David A. & Leatham, David J., 2000. "The Law Of One Price: Developed And Developing Country Market Integration," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 32(03), December.
    4. Bryant, Henry L. & Outlaw, Joe L. & Anderson, David P., 2005. "Rice World Market Prices," 2005 Annual meeting, July 24-27, Providence, RI 19178, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    5. Yavapolkul, Navin & Gopinath, Munisamy & Gulati, Ashok, 2004. "Post-Uruguay Round price linkages between developed and developing countries," MTID discussion papers 76, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    6. Capitani, Daniel H.D. & Mattos, Fabio, 2015. "Feasibility of new agricultural futures contract: a study in the Brazilian rice market," 2015 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 26-28, San Francisco, California 205565, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association;Western Agricultural Economics Association.
    7. Gali, Jyothi & Brown, Colin G., 2000. "Analysis Of Integration Between Queensland Feed And Malting Barley Markets," 2000 Conference (44th), January 23-25, 2000, Sydney, Australia 123649, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.

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