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Dynamic relationships between US and Thai rice prices

Author

Listed:
  • Earl L. Taylor
  • David A. Bessler
  • Mark L. Waller
  • M. Edward Rister

Abstract

Relationships between the United States Department of Agriculture's (USDA) estimated World Market Price, the Thai milled rice price, US transportation‐adjusted cash rough rice price, and the Chicago Rice and Cotton Exchange rough rice futures price are examined for the 1987–1991 marketing years. Specifically, a cointegration analysis is used to address the pricing and informational efficiency of the respective markets. Testing indicates the system is described by two cointegrating vectors. The analysis preformed herein provides insight into the pricing performance of several world rice markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Earl L. Taylor & David A. Bessler & Mark L. Waller & M. Edward Rister, 1996. "Dynamic relationships between US and Thai rice prices," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 14(2), pages 123-133, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:agecon:v:14:y:1996:i:2:p:123-133
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1574-0862.1996.tb00408.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Karp, Larry S & Perloff, Jeffrey M, 1989. "Dynamic Oligopoly in the Rice Export Market," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 71(3), pages 462-470, August.
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    3. Johansen, Soren, 1991. "Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(6), pages 1551-1580, November.
    4. Johansen, Soren, 1988. "Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 231-254.
    5. Johansen, Soren, 1992. "Determination of Cointegration Rank in the Presence of a Linear Trend," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 54(3), pages 383-397, August.
    6. Sargan, John Denis & Bhargava, Alok, 1983. "Testing Residuals from Least Squares Regression for Being Generated by the Gaussian Random Walk," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 51(1), pages 153-174, January.
    7. Yumkella, K. K. & Unnevehr, L. J. & Garcia, P., 1994. "Noncompetitive Pricing and Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Selected U.S. and Thai Rice Markets," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 26(2), pages 406-416, December.
    8. Engle, Robert & Granger, Clive, 2015. "Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 39(3), pages 106-135.
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    1. Andrew M. McKenzie & Bingrong Jiang & Harjanto Djunaidi & Linwood A. Hoffman & Eric J. Wailes, 2002. "Unbiasedness and Market Efficiency Tests of the U.S. Rice Futures Market," Review of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 24(2), pages 474-493.
    2. Kim, Man-Keun & Tejeda, Hernan & Wright, Jeffrey, 2016. "Price Discovery in the U.S. Milled Rice Markets using a Cluster Analysis and Tournament," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235725, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    3. Kim, Man-Keun & Tejeda, Hernan & Yu, T. Edward, 2016. "Dynamic and Spatial Relationships in US Rice Markets," 2016 Annual Meeting, February 6-9, 2016, San Antonio, Texas 229784, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    4. Yang, Jian & Bessler, David A. & Leatham, David J., 2000. "The Law Of One Price: Developed And Developing Country Market Integration," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 32(3), pages 1-12, December.
    5. Bryant, Henry L. & Outlaw, Joe L. & Anderson, David P., 2005. "Rice World Market Prices," 2005 Annual meeting, July 24-27, Providence, RI 19178, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    6. Yavapolkul, Navin & Gopinath, Munisamy & Gulati, Ashok, 2004. "Post-Uruguay Round price linkages between developed and developing countries: the case of rice and wheat markets," MTID discussion papers 76, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    7. Capitani, Daniel H.D. & Mattos, Fabio, 2015. "Feasibility of new agricultural futures contract: a study in the Brazilian rice market," 2015 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 26-28, San Francisco, California 205565, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    8. Kim, Man-Keun & Tejeda, Hernan & Yu, T. Edward, 2017. "U.S. milled rice markets and integration across regions and types," International Food and Agribusiness Management Review, International Food and Agribusiness Management Association, vol. 20(5).
    9. Gali, Jyothi & Brown, Colin G., 2000. "Analysis Of Integration Between Queensland Feed And Malting Barley Markets," 2000 Conference (44th), January 23-25, 2000, Sydney, Australia 123649, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.

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