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Does Exchange Rate Volatility Deter Trade in Sub-Saharan Africa?

Author

Listed:
  • Christelle Meniago

    (Department of Economics Sciences and Information Technology, North-West University, South Africa)

  • Joel Hinaunye Eita

    (Department of Economics and Econometrics, University of Johannesburg, South Africa)

Abstract

This study investigates the effects of exchange rate volatility on trade in 39 selected Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) countries for the period 1995-2012. Export and import models were estimated using panel data econometric technique. Three measures of volatility are used. These are standard deviation, generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity and Hodrick-Prescott (HP)-Filter. The results suggest that the effect of exchange rate volatility on trade is dependent of the type of volatility measure used. This reflects the importance of not solely relying on a unique measure of volatility. The results revealed that exchange rate volatility (measured with standard deviation and HP filter) depresses exports, suggesting that SSA exporters are susceptible to reduce their export activities when exchange rates become volatile. However, the fact that the degree of the impact of exchange rate volatility on trade is relatively weak, suggest that should SSA's policy makers decide to pursue a policy intended to reduce exchange rate volatility in order to boost trade, it might be of little or no value. The results also indicate that exchange rate volatility is associated with a reduction in imports.

Suggested Citation

  • Christelle Meniago & Joel Hinaunye Eita, 2017. "Does Exchange Rate Volatility Deter Trade in Sub-Saharan Africa?," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(4), pages 62-69.
    • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ1:2017-04-10
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Yaya KEHO, 2021. "Asymmetric Effects of Real Exchange Rate on Trade Balance in Cote d’Ivoire: Evidence from Nonlinear ARDL Approach," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 8(3), pages 9-21, May.
    3. Kenneth Chikezie Anyalechi & Emeka Okereke & Ikechukwu S. Nnamdi, 2020. "Export Trade and Real Exchange Rate Dynamics in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Dynamic Panel Analysis," International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science (IJRISS), vol. 4(9), pages 222-227, September.
    4. Hussaini Umaru & Aguda Niyi A. & Nordiana Osagie Davies, 2018. "The Effects of Exchange Rate Volatility on Economic Growth of West African English-Speaking Countries," International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, vol. 8(4), pages 131-143, October.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exchange Rate Volatility; Panel Data; Sub-Saharan Africa;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General

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