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The Calculation of Structural Budget Balance: Case of Morocco

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  • Abdelmonaim Tlidi

    (Department of Economics, University of Mohammed V-Souissi, Rabat, Morocco)

Abstract

In this paper, we present the concept of the structural budget balance and its empirical application on the Moroccan data. For this, we choose the two-step method. In the first step, we estimate the potential production according to Hodrick-Prescott's method, obtaining the output gap value. This allows us to identify the business cycles of the Moroccan economy during the period 1980- 2011. In the second step, we evaluate the sensitivity of the fiscal revenue and the public expenditure to economic activity. The obtained results show that the sensitivity of the fiscal revenue and the public expenditure are very low. We deduce that the budget balance in Moroccan economy is mainly structural and less sensitive to the business cycle.

Suggested Citation

  • Abdelmonaim Tlidi, 2013. "The Calculation of Structural Budget Balance: Case of Morocco," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 3(4), pages 932-937.
    • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ1:2013-04-14
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hodrick, Robert J & Prescott, Edward C, 1997. "Postwar U.S. Business Cycles: An Empirical Investigation," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 29(1), pages 1-16, February.
    2. Jean-Marie Monnier & Bruno Tinel, 2006. "Endettement public et redistribution en France de 1980 à 2004," Cahiers de la Maison des Sciences Economiques r06006, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1).
    3. Isabelle Cadoret-David & Franck Martin & N. Herrard & T. Sandré & Colin Benjamin, 2009. "Econométrie appliquée," Post-Print halshs-00078345, HAL.
    4. Patrick Plane & Jean-Louis Combes & Nasser Ary Tanimoune, 2008. "La politique budgétaire et ses effets de seuil sur l’activité en Union Économique et Monétaire Ouest-Africaine (UEMOA)," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 186(5), pages 145-162.
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    Cited by:

    1. Wissem KHANFIR, 2018. "Structural budget balance and fiscal policy stance in Tunisia," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(4(617), W), pages 145-154, Winter.
    2. Kaan MASATÇI & Asuman OKTAYER BUZLUCA, 2022. "Testing the Fiscal Theory of the Price Level in Türkiye by Using Structural Balance Data," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 74-95, December.
    3. Wissem Khanfir, 2017. "Orientation of the Fiscal Policy in Tunisia: Structural VAR Analysis," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 20(64), pages 61-74, June.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Budget balance; Structural budget balance; Hodrick-Prescott method; Potential production;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • H62 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Deficit; Surplus

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