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La politique budgétaire et ses effets de seuil sur l'activité en Union Economique et Monétaire Ouest Africaine (UEMOA)

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  • Nasser Ary Tanimoune
  • Jean-Louis Combes
  • Patrick Plane

Abstract

In 1999, WAEMU (West African Economic and Monetary Union) countries adopted a Convergence Pact. Its main goal is to constrain national fiscal policies so as to prevent macroeconomic imbalances and preserve the credibility of the common currency. While budgetary efforts may cause recession through Keynesian mechanisms, threshold effects may also exist in the relationship between fiscal policy and economic activity. The authors test a model in which the fiscal-policy effects are conditional upon the external public-debt ratio. Endogenous threshold modeling is applied from Hansen (1999). On average, African States exert a Keynesian influence on GDP when debt ratios are less than 83%.

Suggested Citation

  • Nasser Ary Tanimoune & Jean-Louis Combes & Patrick Plane, 2008. "La politique budgétaire et ses effets de seuil sur l'activité en Union Economique et Monétaire Ouest Africaine (UEMOA)," Economie & Prévision, La Documentation Française, vol. 0(5), pages 145-162.
  • Handle: RePEc:cai:ecoldc:ecop_186_0145
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Cheikh Tidiane Ndiaye & Mamadou Abdoulaye Konte, 2012. "Incertitude de l'inflation et croissance économique : le cas de l'UEMOA," Working Papers halshs-00828156, HAL.
    2. Slimani Salma & El Abbassi Idriss & Tounsi Said, 2016. "Threshold effects of fiscal policy on economic growth in developing countries," Journal of Economic and Financial Studies (JEFS), LAR Center Press, vol. 4(3), pages 24-37, June.
    3. Abdelmonaim Tlidi, 2013. "The Calculation of Structural Budget Balance: Case of Morocco," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 3(4), pages 932-937.
    4. KPEMOUA, Palakiyèm, 2016. "La Dette Exterieure Handicape T’Elle La Croissance Economique Du Togo ?
      [Is External Debt A Brake On Togo’S Economic Growth?]
      ," MPRA Paper 77403, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 09 Jan 2017.
    5. Salma Slimani, 2016. "Threshold Effects of Fiscal Policy on Economic Activity in Developing Countries," International Journal of Business and Social Research, MIR Center for Socio-Economic Research, vol. 6(3), pages 20-37, March.
    6. Wissem Khanfir, 2016. "Threshold effect of fiscal policy on private consumption : Evidence from Tunisia," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 18(59), pages 95-110, March.
    7. Mamadou Abdoulaye KONTE & Cheikh Tidiane NDIAYE, 2012. "Incertitude de l'inflation et croissance économique : le cas de l'UEMOA," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 753, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
    8. Semedo, Gervasio & Gauthier, Laurent & Bensafta, Kamel Malik, 2012. "Pôles de convergence, gains dynamiques de l’intégration économique et monétaire en Afrique de l’Ouest : une approche en termes de clusters," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 88(1), pages 37-85, mars.

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    Keywords

    fiscal policy; threshold effects; franc zone;

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