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U.S. Cigarette Smoking and Health Warnings: New Evidence From Post World War II Data


  • Blaine, Thomas W.
  • Reed, Michael R.


A framework was developed in order to specify a model for annual U.S. per capita consumption of cigarettes. Three separate time related variables were utilized to measure the effects of health related information regarding smoking. The empirical results from the post World War II data set reveal that while prices and income are important determinants of cigarette consumption, the estimates for both were in the inelastic range. The age distribution of the adult population is also an important variable. While the development of the filter tip has been successful in stimulating smoking, the low tar and nicotine innovation has not had a statistically significant effect. Health information has repeatedly produced substantial short and long run effects. Current consumption is falling at an annual rate of between 3 to 4 percent.
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  • Blaine, Thomas W. & Reed, Michael R., 1994. "U.S. Cigarette Smoking and Health Warnings: New Evidence From Post World War II Data," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 26(02), pages 535-544, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:cup:jagaec:v:26:y:1994:i:02:p:535-544_02

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Baltagi, Badi H & Levin, Dan, 1986. "Estimating Dynamic Demand for Cigarettes Using Panel Data: The Effects of Bootlegging, Taxation and Advertising Reconsidered," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 68(1), pages 148-155, February.
    2. Lewit, Eugene M. & Coate, Douglas, 1982. "The potential for using excise taxes to reduce smoking," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 1(2), pages 121-145, August.
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    Cited by:

    1. Aju Fenn & John Schroeter, 2004. "Cigarettes and addiction information: simulating the demand effects of the tobacco industry's 'conspiracy of silence'," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(19), pages 2151-2159.
    2. Donald Kenkel & Dean Lillard & Alan Mathios, 2006. "The Roles of High School Completion and GED Receipt in Smoking and Obesity," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 24(3), pages 635-660, July.
    3. Fenn, Aju Jacob, 1998. "The impact of addiction information on cigarette consumption," ISU General Staff Papers 1998010108000012606, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.

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