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Climate Change, Salinization and High-Yield Rice Production in Coastal Bangladesh

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  • Dasgupta, Susmita
  • Hossain, Md. Moqbul
  • Huq, Mainul
  • Wheeler, David

Abstract

Progressive salinization of water and soil will be increasingly severe in low-lying coastal areas as climate change proceeds. Thus, understanding the economic impacts of salinity intrusion will be essential for effective adaptation planning. This paper uses econometric analysis to predict the impact of climate-induced increases in soil salinity on high-yielding-variety rice production in coastal Bangladesh. Findings indicate an output decline of 15.6 percent in nine subdistricts where soil salinity will exceed 4 deciSiemens per meter before 2050. Without new adaptation strategies, the predicted changes will result in 7.7 and 5.6 percent losses in the Barisal and Chittagong regions, respectively.

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  • Dasgupta, Susmita & Hossain, Md. Moqbul & Huq, Mainul & Wheeler, David, 2018. "Climate Change, Salinization and High-Yield Rice Production in Coastal Bangladesh," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 47(1), pages 66-89, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:agrerw:v:47:y:2018:i:01:p:66-89_00
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    1. Brian Blankespoor & Susmita Dasgupta & Huq,Mainul & Khan,Zahirul Huque & Mustafa,Md. Golam & Wheeler,David, 2025. "Fishing and Climate Change in Coastal Bangladesh : The Economic and Health Impacts of Increasing Salinity," Policy Research Working Paper Series 11048, The World Bank.
    2. Md. Zakir Hossain & Md. Ashiq Ur Rahman & Khan Rubayet Rahaman & Nur Mohammad Ha-Mim & Salman F. Haque, 2024. "Investigating critical relationships among vulnerability, livelihoods, and non-migration strategies at the fishing communities in the Sundarbans," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 26(11), pages 29129-29168, November.
    3. Aravindakshan, Sreejith & Krupnik, Timothy J. & Amjath-Babu, T.S. & Speelman, Stijn & Tur-Cardona, Juan & Tittonell, Pablo & Groot, Jeroen C.J., 2021. "Quantifying farmers' preferences for cropping systems intensification: A choice experiment approach applied in coastal Bangladesh's risk prone farming systems," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
    4. Guimbeau, Amanda & Ji, Xinde James & Long, Zi & Menon, Nidhiya, 2024. "Ocean salinity, early-life health, and adaptation," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    5. Md. Zonayet & Alok Kumar Paul & Md. Faisal-E-Alam & Khalid Syfullah & Rui Alexandre Castanho & Daniel Meyer, 2023. "Impact of Biochar as a Soil Conditioner to Improve the Soil Properties of Saline Soil and Productivity of Tomato," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-18, March.
    6. Md Ashik Ur Rahman & Christine M. Beitl, 2024. "The Role of Collective Action and Identity in the Preservation of Irrigation Access in Dacope, Bangladesh," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(15), pages 1-18, July.
    7. Guimbeau, Amanda & Ji, Xinde & Menon, Nidhiya & Long, Zi, 2022. "An Extra Grain of Salt: The Effect of Salinity Exposure on Early Life Health Outcomes in Coastal Bangladesh," 2022 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Anaheim, California 322076, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    8. Todd A. Eisenstadt & Tawfique Haque & Michael Toman & Matthew Wright, 2022. "The “Adaptation Paradox” and Citizen Ambiguity over Government Climate Policies: Survey Findings from Bangladesh," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-15, July.
    9. Prabal Barua & Syed Hafizur Rahman, 2020. "Resilience Of Agriculture Farmers For Crop Production In Responses To Climate Change Impact On South - Eastern Coast Of Bangladesh," Environment & Ecosystem Science (EES), Zibeline International Publishing, vol. 4(1), pages 28-37, April.
    10. Md Kamrul Hasan & Lalit Kumar, 2020. "Perceived farm-level climatic impacts on coastal agricultural productivity in Bangladesh," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 161(4), pages 617-636, August.
    11. Md Roushon Jamal & Paul Kristiansen & Md Jahangir Kabir & Lisa Lobry de Bruyn, 2023. "Challenges and Adaptations for Resilient Rice Production under Changing Environments in Bangladesh," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-21, June.
    12. Khanam, Taznoore & Pede, Valerien O. & Wheatley, W. Parker, 2020. "Climate Change and the Formation of Risk and Time Preferences: A Study of Rice Farmers in Bangladesh," 2020 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, Kansas City, Missouri 304414, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    13. Vasilaky, Kathryn & Harou, Aurélie & Alfredo, Katherine & Kapur, Ishita, 2023. "What works for water conservation? Evidence from a field experiment in India," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    14. Walter Leal Filho & Franziska Wolf & Stefano Moncada & Amanda Lange Salvia & Abdul-Lateef Babatunde Balogun & Constantina Skanavis & Aristea Kounani & Patrick D. Nunn, 2022. "Transformative adaptation as a sustainable response to climate change: insights from large-scale case studies," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 27(3), pages 1-26, March.
    15. Md. Assraf Seddiky & Helen Giggins & Thayaparan Gajendran, 2022. "Non-DRR NGOs strategies for livelihood development in the coastal communities of Bangladesh: a case study," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 111(2), pages 2155-2175, March.

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