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Exporting Goods or Exporting Labor?: Long-term Implications for the Palestinian Economy

Author

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  • Astrup Claus

    (The World Bank)

  • Dessus Sebastien

    (The World Bank)

Abstract

During the past four and a half years, the number of Palestinian workers in the Israeli labor market how significantly contracted primarily as a result of restrictions on the movement of Palestinian labor imposed by the Government of Israel. The restricted access of Palestinian workers to the Israeli labor market is a major negative shock for the Palestinian economy, and naturally raises the question of whether an alternative strategy to exporting labor is feasible and presents at least similar income opportunities. This article develops a dynamic general equilibrium model to assess the impact of restricted access to the Israeli labor market on the Palestinian export performance and, in turn, on GDP growth. The results suggest first that exporting large flows of Palestinian workers to Israel tends to reduce the capacity of the Palestinian industry to export goods. Secondly, that-- even under optimistic assumptions on the trade-led growth potential of the Palestinian economy--the induced depreciation of the real exchange rate after the closure will not have sufficient growth effects to avoid income losses incurred with the closure of the Israeli labor market. Thirdly, that the adoption of appropriate trade and fiscal policies in this context could significantly magnify the potential growth impact of a real exchange rate depreciation.

Suggested Citation

  • Astrup Claus & Dessus Sebastien, 2005. "Exporting Goods or Exporting Labor?: Long-term Implications for the Palestinian Economy," Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, De Gruyter, vol. 3(1), pages 38-60, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:bpj:rmeecf:v:3:y:2005:i:1:n:3
    DOI: 10.2202/1475-3693.1033
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    Cited by:

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    2. Etkes Haggay, 2012. "The Impact of Employment in Israel on the Palestinian Labor Force," Peace Economics, Peace Science, and Public Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 18(2), pages 1-36, August.
    3. Flaig, Dorothee & Siddig, Khalid & Grethe, Harald & Luckmann, Jonas & McDonald, Scott, 2013. "Relaxing Israeli restrictions on Palestinian labour: Who benefits?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 143-150.
    4. Botta, Alberto, 2010. "The Palestinian economy and its trade pattern: Stylised facts and alternative modelling strategies," MPRA Paper 29719, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Etkes, Haggay, 2011. "The impact of employment in Israel on the Palestinian labor force (2005–08)," MPRA Paper 34681, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Missaglia, Marco & Valensisi, Giovanni, 2014. "Trade policy in Palestine: A reassessment," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 36(5), pages 899-923.
    7. Belal Fallah, 2017. "The Economic Response of Rural Areas to Local Supply Shock: Evidence From Palestine," Working Papers 1108, Economic Research Forum, revised 06 2017.
    8. Agbahey, Johanes & Siddig, Khalid & Grethe, Harald, 2018. "Labour leisure trade-off meets a mobility function to model cross-border movements of labour between Palestine and Israel," Conference papers 333017, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    9. Agbahey Johanes & Siddig Khalid & Grethe Harald & McDonald Scott, 2020. "Labor exports from Palestine to Israel: a boon or bane for the West Bank economy?," IZA Journal of Labor Policy, Sciendo & Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit GmbH (IZA), vol. 10(1), pages 1-25, March.
    10. Johanes Agbahey & Khalid Siddig & Harald Grethe, 2017. "Labor exports from the West Bank to Israel: between regretting the past and hoping for a better future," EcoMod2017 10133, EcoMod.
    11. World Bank, 2007. "West Bank and Gaza - Investment Climate Assessment : Unlocking the Potential of the Private Sector," World Bank Publications - Reports 7792, The World Bank Group.

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