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Can Regional Integration Accelerate Development in Africa? CGE Model Simulations of the Impact of the SADC FTA on the Republic of Madagascar

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  • Mr. Jean-Jacques Hallaert

Abstract

Madagascar plans to start phasing out its customs tariffs on imports from the Southern African Development Community in 2007. This paper uses a CGE model to evaluate the impact of the SADC FTA on Madagascar economy. The results suggest that the SADC FTA would only have a limited impact on Madagascar's real GDP because the liberalization affects only a small share of its total imports. However, Madagascar's trade and production pattern would change and benefit the textile and clothing sector. Removing rigidities in the labor and capital market would increase the gains but they would remain limited. Gains from the SADC FTA become substantial only when the regional liberalization is accompanied by a multilateral liberalization.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Jean-Jacques Hallaert, 2007. "Can Regional Integration Accelerate Development in Africa? CGE Model Simulations of the Impact of the SADC FTA on the Republic of Madagascar," IMF Working Papers 2007/066, International Monetary Fund.
  • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2007/066
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    Cited by:

    1. Victor H Mlambo & Daniel N Mlambo, 2018. "Challenges Impeding Regional Integration in Southern Africa," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 10(2), pages 250-261.
    2. Andrew Mold & Rodgers Mukwaya, 2015. "The Effects of the Tripartite Free Trade Area: Towards a New Economic Geography in Southern, Eastern and Northern Africa?," Discussion Papers 2015-04, University of Nottingham, CREDIT.
    3. Jensen, H.G. & Sandrey, R. & Vink, N., 2013. "The welfare impact of a Free Trade Agreement: ‘Cape to Cairo’," Agrekon, Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa (AEASA), vol. 51(4), February.
    4. Cassius B. Cooper & Dr. Molem Sama, 2024. "A General Equilibrium Analysis on the Potential Effects of the African Continental Free Trade Area (AFCFTA) on African Economies," International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science (IJRISS), vol. 8(4), pages 2064-2080, April.
    5. Leudjou, Roland, 2021. "Assessing the impacts of eliminating Non-Tariff Barriers in the framework of the African Continental Free Trade Area on Cameroons economy," Conference papers 330231, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    6. repec:ags:ijag24:345079 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Andrew Mold & Rodgers Mukwaya, 2016. "Modelling the economic impact of the tripartite free trade area: Its implications for the economic geography of Southern, Eastern and Northern Africa," Journal of African Trade, Springer, vol. 3(1), pages 57-84, March.
    8. Mr. Jean-Jacques Hallaert, 2008. "How does a domestic tax reform affect protection against imports? The case of the Republic of Madagascar," IMF Working Papers 2008/151, International Monetary Fund.

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