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International Bank Flows To Emerging Markets: Influence Of Sovereign Credit Ratings And Their Regional Spillover Effects

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  • Suk‐Joong Kim
  • Eliza Wu

Abstract

We examine whether changes in sovereign credit assessments help to determine international bank flows to emerging countries. We focus on the banking flows of G7 countries to a sample of 55 emerging market borrowers for 1995–2008. We find evidence indicating that sovereign credit rating revisions have significant and positive influences on international bank flows from developed markets even after controlling for other determinants. In addition, we find strong regional rating spillover effects. Ratings improvements in one emerging market region tends to reduce bank flows to the other regions. However, there is an exception from the Asia Pacific to Eastern Europe.
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  • Suk‐Joong Kim & Eliza Wu, 2011. "International Bank Flows To Emerging Markets: Influence Of Sovereign Credit Ratings And Their Regional Spillover Effects," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 34(2), pages 331-364, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:jfnres:v:34:y:2011:i:2:p:331-364
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    1. repec:eee:intfin:v:55:y:2018:i:c:p:50-64 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Williams, Gwion & Alsakka, Rasha & ap Gwilym, Owain, 2015. "Does sovereign creditworthiness affect bank valuations in emerging markets?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 113-129.
    3. Williams, Gwion & Alsakka, Rasha & ap Gwilym, Owain, 2013. "The impact of sovereign rating actions on bank ratings in emerging markets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 563-577.
    4. repec:eee:jimfin:v:85:y:2018:i:c:p:40-57 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Alsakka, Rasha & ap Gwilym, Owain, 2012. "Foreign exchange market reactions to sovereign credit news," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 845-864.
    6. Körner, Finn Marten & Trautwein, Hans-Michael, 2015. "Sovereign credit ratings and the transnationalization of finance: Evidence from a gravity model of portfolio investment," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW), vol. 9, pages 1-54.
    7. Alsakka, Rasha & ap Gwilym, Owain, 2012. "Rating agencies' credit signals: An analysis of sovereign watch and outlook," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 45-55.
    8. repec:eee:finana:v:61:y:2019:i:c:p:110-125 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Luitel, Prabesh & Vanpée, Rosanne, 2018. "International capital flows at the security level – evidence from the ECB’s asset purchase programme," ECMI Papers 13956, Centre for European Policy Studies.
    10. Alsakka, Rasha & ap Gwilym, Owain, 2013. "Rating agencies’ signals during the European sovereign debt crisis: Market impact and spillovers," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 144-162.
    11. David P. Ely & Mehdi Salehizadeh, 2013. "Basel 3, Dodd-Frank and sovereign exposures of US banks," International Journal of Financial Services Management, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 6(2), pages 118-137.

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    JEL classification:

    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General

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