IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bas/econst/y2026i3p22-43.html

Do Exchange Rate Volatility, Inflation, and Stock Price Index Affect the Financial Institution Efficiency Index in G20 Emerging Markets?

Author

Listed:
  • Liliana Liliana
  • Ariodillah Hidayat
  • Eka Meirawati
  • Xenaneira Shodrokova

Abstract

This study aims to analyse the effect of exchange rate volatility, inflation, and stock price indices on the Financial Institution Efficiency (FIE) index in G20 Emerging Market countries. This study uses secondary data in the form of annual data for the period 2001-2021 obtained from the International Monetary Fund, FRED Economic Data, and the Central Banks of G20 Emerging Market countries. The analysis technique in this study uses qualitative analysis and regression of the Fixed Effect Model panel data. The results of the study show that exchange rate volatility, inflation, and stock price indices have a significant influence on the FIE Index. Based on the results of the interception score, Turkey is the country with the highest score, while China has the lowest interception. To address financial market risks and improve the efficiency of financial institutions, emerging market countries need to adopt macroprudential policies that focus on financial system stability. Previous research has mostly focused on aspects of banking profitability and financial system stability, but not much has specifically examined the institutional efficiency of the financial sector in an aggregate and measurable way, especially in the context of macroeconomic dynamics.

Suggested Citation

  • Liliana Liliana & Ariodillah Hidayat & Eka Meirawati & Xenaneira Shodrokova, 2026. "Do Exchange Rate Volatility, Inflation, and Stock Price Index Affect the Financial Institution Efficiency Index in G20 Emerging Markets?," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 3, pages 22-43.
  • Handle: RePEc:bas:econst:y:2026:i:3:p:22-43
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://archive.econ-studies.iki.bas.bg/2026/2026_03/2026_03_02.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jain, Anshul & Biswal, P.C., 2016. "Dynamic linkages among oil price, gold price, exchange rate, and stock market in India," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 179-185.
    2. Samer AM Al‐Rjoub & Hussam Azzam, 2012. "Financial crises, stock returns and volatility in an emerging stock market: the case of Jordan," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 39(2), pages 178-211, May.
    3. Leonce Ndikumana & Theresa Mannah-Blankson, 2015. "Financing Domestic Investment in African Countries: Does the Source of Financing Matter?," Journal of African Development, African Finance and Economic Association (AFEA), vol. 17(2), pages 19-48.
    4. John Baffes & M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge & Marc Stocker, 2015. "The great plunge in oil prices: causes, consequences, and policy responses," CAMA Working Papers 2015-23, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    5. Samer AM Al‐Rjoub & Hussam Azzam, 2012. "Financial crises, stock returns and volatility in an emerging stock market: the case of Jordan," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 39(2), pages 178-211, May.
    6. Thai-Ha Le & Jungsuk Kim & Minsoo Lee, 2016. "Institutional Quality, Trade Openness, and Financial Sector Development in Asia: An Empirical Investigation," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(5), pages 1047-1059, May.
    7. Berger, Allen N. & Humphrey, David B., 1991. "The dominance of inefficiencies over scale and product mix economies in banking," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 117-148, August.
    8. Wiggins, Rosalind & Hoffner, Benjamin & Feldberg, Greg & Metrick, Andrew, 2023. "Central Bank Foreign Currency Swaps and Repo Facilities Survey," Journal of Financial Crises, Yale Program on Financial Stability (YPFS), vol. 5(1), pages 25-111, July.
    9. Rexford Abaidoo, 2021. "Financial market efficiency: global and regional financial market perspective," American Journal of Business, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 36(3/4), pages 169-189, January.
    10. Petra Hellegers, 2022. "Food security vulnerability due to trade dependencies on Russia and Ukraine," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 14(6), pages 1503-1510, December.
    11. Anupam Das Gupta & Niluthpaul Sarker & Mohammad Rifat Rahman & David McMillan, 2021. "Relationship among cost of financial intermediation, risk, and efficiency: Empirical evidence from Bangladeshi commercial banks," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(1), pages 1967575-196, January.
    12. Ito, Takatoshi, 2017. "A new financial order in Asia: Will a RMB bloc emerge?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 232-257.
    13. Aris Muhammad & Hidayat Ariodillah & Liliana Liliana & Shodrokova Xenaneira, 2025. "Relationship of banking industry financial performance in ASEAN-6 countries: A panel data evidence," Journal of Economics and Management, Sciendo, vol. 47(1), pages 333-354.
    14. Ashok Banerjee & Arindam Gupta, 2019. "Pradhan Mantri Jan Dhan Yojana as a financial inclusion drive: a case study of West Bengal," DECISION: Official Journal of the Indian Institute of Management Calcutta, Springer;Indian Institute of Management Calcutta, vol. 46(4), pages 335-352, December.
    15. Ms. Ratna Sahay & Mr. Martin Cihak & Mr. Papa M N'Diaye & Mr. Adolfo Barajas & Ms. Diana B Ayala Pena & Ran Bi & Miss Yuan Gao & Ms. Annette J Kyobe & Lam Nguyen & Christian Saborowski & Katsiaryna Sv, 2015. "Rethinking Financial Deepening: Stability and Growth in Emerging Markets," IMF Staff Discussion Notes 2015/008, International Monetary Fund.
    16. repec:imf:imfsdn:15/8 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. Magda Kandil & Hanan Morsy, 2011. "Determinants of Inflation in GCC," Middle East Development Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 3(2), pages 141-158, January.
    18. Syella Nurhaliza & Ariodillah Hidayat & Siti Rohima & Rasyida Pertiwi & Liliana & Sri Andaiyani & Xenaneira Shodrokova & Ichsan Hamidi, 2024. "The Relationship between Financial Inclusion and Financial Stability Banking Industry in G20 Emerging Market Countries: A Panel Data Evidence," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 6, pages 113-132.
    19. Zhang, Ruixin & Ben Naceur, Sami, 2019. "Financial development, inequality, and poverty: Some international evidence," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 1-16.
    20. Maria Demertzis & Silvia Merler & Guntram B Wolff, 2018. "Capital Markets Union and the Fintech Opportunity," Journal of Financial Regulation, Oxford University Press, vol. 4(1), pages 157-165.
    21. Cihak, Martin,Demirguc-Kunt, Asli,Feyen, Erik,Levine, Ross, 2012. "Benchmarking financial systems around the world," Policy Research Working Paper Series 6175, The World Bank.
    22. Thanh Ngo & Tu Le, 2019. "Capital market development and bank efficiency: a cross-country analysis," International Journal of Managerial Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 15(4), pages 478-491, June.
    23. Das, Debojyoti & Kannadhasan, M. & Bhattacharyya, Malay, 2019. "Do the emerging stock markets react to international economic policy uncertainty, geopolitical risk and financial stress alike?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 1-19.
    24. Dong Lu & Tian Xia & Hang Zhou, 2022. "Foreign exchange intervention and monetary policy rules under a managed floating regime: evidence from China," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(28), pages 3226-3245, June.
    25. Rashmi Chaudhary & Priti Bakhshi & Hemendra Gupta, 2020. "Volatility in International Stock Markets: An Empirical Study during COVID-19," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-17, September.
    26. Fama, Eugene F, 1970. "Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 25(2), pages 383-417, May.
    27. Enrique Alberola & Yavuz Arslan & Gong Cheng & Richhild Moessner, 2021. "Fiscal response to the COVID‐19 crisis in advanced and emerging market economies†," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(4), pages 459-468, October.
    28. Hyoungkun Park & Jong Dae Kim, 2020. "Transition towards green banking: role of financial regulators and financial institutions," Asian Journal of Sustainability and Social Responsibility, Springer, vol. 5(1), pages 1-25, December.
    29. Biplab Kumar Guru & Inder Sekhar Yadav, 2019. "Financial development and economic growth: panel evidence from BRICS," Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Science, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 24(47), pages 113-126, February.
    30. Thanh Ngo & Tu Le, 2019. "Capital market development and bank efficiency: a cross-country analysis," International Journal of Managerial Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 15(4), pages 478-491, June.
    31. Hüseyin Şen & Ayşe Kaya & Savaş Kaptan & Metehan Cömert, 2020. "Interest rates, inflation, and exchange rates in fragile EMEs: A fresh look at the long-run interrelationships," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(3), pages 289-318, April.
    32. Sánchez Serrano Antonio, 2020. "High-Frequency Trading and Systemic Risk: A Structured Review of Findings and Policies," Review of Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 71(3), pages 169-195, December.
    33. Erdem, Orhan, 2020. "Freedom and stock market performance during Covid-19 outbreak," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    34. Timothy C. Earle, 2009. "Trust, Confidence, and the 2008 Global Financial Crisis," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 29(6), pages 785-792, June.
    35. Manoj Raj, 2009. "Financial dependence and growth: further evidence," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(3), pages 325-330.
    36. Serhan Cevik & Mohammad H. Rahmati, 2020. "Searching for the finance–growth nexus in Libya," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(2), pages 567-581, February.
    37. Saygin Sahinoz & Evren Erdogan Cosar, 2018. "Economic policy uncertainty and economic activity in Turkey," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(21), pages 1517-1520, December.
    38. Aparicio, Sebastian & Urbano, David & Audretsch, David, 2016. "Institutional factors, opportunity entrepreneurship and economic growth: Panel data evidence," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 45-61.
    39. Mourad Mroua & Lotfi Trabelsi, 2020. "Causality and dynamic relationships between exchange rate and stock market indices in BRICS countries," Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Science, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 25(50), pages 395-412, April.
    40. Yanping Zhao & Zaghum Umar & Xuan Vinh Vo, 2021. "Return and volatility connectedness of Chinese onshore, offshore, and forward exchange rate," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(11), pages 1843-1860, November.
    41. Ratna Sahay & Martin Cihak & Papa M N'Diaye & Adolfo Barajas & Diana B Ayala Pena & Ran Bi & Yuan Gao & Annette J Kyobe & Lam Nguyen & Christian Saborowski & Katsiaryna Svirydzenka & Seyed Reza Yousef, 2015. "Rethinking Financial Deepening; Stability and Growth in Emerging Markets," IMF Staff Discussion Notes 15/08, International Monetary Fund.
    42. Ariodillah Hidayat & Harunnurrasyid & Apriansyah Putra & Zunaidah & Ermadiani & Rina Tjandrakirana & Anna Yulianita & Dirta Pratama Atiyatna & Xenaneira Shodrokova, 2025. "Financial Institution Index, Banking Stability, and Human Development Index Nexus in Emerging Market Countries," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 3, pages 22-45.
    43. Emily Jones & Peter Knaack, 2019. "Global Financial Regulation: Shortcomings and Reform Options," Global Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 10(2), pages 193-206, May.
    44. Morales, Lucía & Andreosso-O'Callaghan, Bernadette, 2014. "The global financial crisis: World market or regional contagion effects?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 108-131.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ngo, Thanh & Trinh, Hai Hong & Haouas, Ilham & Ullah, Subhan, 2022. "Examining the bidirectional nexus between financial development and green growth: International evidence through the roles of human capital and education expenditure," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    2. Mohamad Ikhsan Modjo & Clara Calista Hidayat & Gatot Soepriyanto, 2025. "Evaluating the Impact of Worldwide Market Crises on Indonesia’s Financial Sector: A Comparative Examination of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) and COVID-19 Pandemic," SAGE Open, , vol. 15(2), pages 21582440251, June.
    3. Fengju, Xu & Wubishet, Assmamawu, 2024. "Analysis of the impacts of financial development on economic growth in East Africa: How do the institutional qualities matter?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 1177-1189.
    4. Cavallaro, Eleonora & Villani, Ilaria, 2021. "Real income convergence and the patterns of financial integration in the EU," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    5. Yu. A. Danilov & D. A. Pivovarov, 2025. "Financial Inclusion and Financial Stability: How to Minimize Aggregate Risk," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 36(5), pages 666-675, October.
    6. Inoue, Takeshi, 2024. "Financial inclusion and income distribution revisited: New findings," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    7. Nihat Gümüş & Murtala Mustapha Baba, 2024. "Unveiling the Dynamics: Exploring the Relationship between Emerging Stock Market Prices and Macroeconomic Indicators through ARDL Analysis," International Econometric Review (IER), Economic Research Association, vol. 16(1), pages 24-49, June.
    8. Cavallaro, Eleonora & Villani, Ilaria, 2024. "Financial resilience, growth and risk sharing in the EU," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    9. Yizhou He & Tae Hwan Yoo, 2024. "Financial development impact on domestic investment: does income level matter?," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(1), pages 2321811-232, December.
    10. Boďa, Martin, 2024. "Financial depth versus more comprehensive metrics of financial development in tests of the finance-growth nexus," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 48(1).
    11. Naceur, Sami Ben & Candelon, Bertrand & Lajaunie, Quentin, 2019. "Taming financial development to reduce crises," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 1-1.
    12. Akisik, Orhan, 2020. "The impact of financial development, IFRS, and rule of LAW on foreign investments: A cross-country analysis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 815-838.
    13. Weychert Ewa, 2020. "Financial development and income inequality," Central European Economic Journal, Sciendo, vol. 7(54), pages 84-100, January.
    14. Manmohan, 2023. "The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on metal, mining, and allied sectors in the Indian Stock Market," International Journal of Accounting, Business and Finance, Indian Accounting Association, Patna Branch, vol. 2(2), pages 28-39.
    15. Peter Mikek, 2023. "Financial deepening and income inequality: is there a financial Kuznetz curve in Latin America?," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 13(1), pages 103-125, March.
    16. Boďa, Martin & Zimková, Emília, 2021. "Overcoming the loan-to-deposit ratio by a financial intermediation measure — A perspective instrument of financial stability policy," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 43(5), pages 1051-1069.
    17. Emmanuel, Ongo Nkoa Bruno & Thierry, Mamadou Asngar & Christian, Atangana Zambo Charles & Ludé, Djam'Angai, 2024. "What drives financial market growth in Africa?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    18. Fakhrullah & Sher Khan & Xiao DingDing & Marian Suplata, 2025. "Global technology innovation: comparison of new broad-based index of financial development of Europe and Asia," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 11(1), pages 1-21, December.
    19. Asngar, Thierry Mamadou & Nkoa, Bruno Emmanuel Ongo & Zambo, Charles Christian Atangana, 2022. "Does colonisation explain the low level of growth in African financial markets?," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 46(3).
    20. Gardó, Sándor & Klaus, Benjamin, 2020. "Overcapacities in banking: Measurement, trends and determinants," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 819-834.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E02 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - Institutions and the Macroeconomy
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bas:econst:y:2026:i:3:p:22-43. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Diana Dimitrova (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ikbasbg.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.