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Searching for the Finance-Growth Nexus in Libya

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  • Mr. Serhan Cevik
  • Mr. Mohammad Rahmati

Abstract

This paper investigates the causal relationship between financial development and economic growth in Libya during the period 1970–2010. The empirical results vary with estimation methodology and model specification, but indicate the lack of long-run relationship between financial intermediation and nonhydrocarbon output growth. The OLS estimation shows that financial development has a statistically significant negative effect on real nonhydrocarbon GDP per capita growth. However, the VAR-based estimations present statistically insignificant results, albeit still attaching a negative coefficient to financial intermediation. It appears that nonhydrocarbon economic activity depends largely on government spending, which is in turn determined by the country’s hydrocarbon earnings.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Serhan Cevik & Mr. Mohammad Rahmati, 2013. "Searching for the Finance-Growth Nexus in Libya," IMF Working Papers 2013/092, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2013/092
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    Cited by:

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    2. Takashi FUKUDA, 2020. "Finance-Growth Nexus and Globalization in Brazil, India, Philippines, Thailand, and Turkey: Evidence from VECM Cointegration Analysis," Journal of Economics and Financial Analysis, Tripal Publishing House, vol. 4(1), pages 55-77.
    3. Eugene Iheanacho, 2016. "The Impact of Financial Development on Economic Growth in Nigeria: An ARDL Analysis," Economies, MDPI, vol. 4(4), pages 1-12, November.
    4. Chinazaekpere Nwani & Jacob Bassey Orie, 2016. "Economic growth in oil-exporting countries: Do stock market and banking sector development matter? Evidence from Nigeria," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(1), pages 1153872-115, December.
    5. IWASAKI, Ichiro & ONO, Shigeki, 2023. "Economic Development and the Finance-Growth Nexus : A Meta-Analytic Approach," CEI Working Paper Series 2023-06, Center for Economic Institutions, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
    6. Al-Darwish, Ahmed & Cevik, Serhan & Chami, Ralph & Charap, Joshua & George, Susan & Gracia, Borja & Gray, Simon & Pattanayak, Sailendra, 2012. "Libya beyond the Revolution: Challenges and Opportunities," MPRA Paper 82683, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    WP; hydrocarbon GDP; GDP growth; finance-growth nexus; rate of change; well-functioning financial system; Financial development; economic growth; cointegration; causality; VAR models; Financial sector development; Credit; Commercial banks; Oil prices;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance
    • O55 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Africa
    • O57 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Comparative Studies of Countries

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