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Wrażliwość zatrudnienia na zmiany PKB w Polsce a elastyczność instytucji rynku pracy

Author

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  • Cichocki, Stanisław
  • Gradzewicz, Michał
  • Tyrowicz, Joanna

Abstract

The article investigates the impact that the growing use of flexible work arrangements in Poland has on employment and on how it is responding to changes in GDP. The analysis covers the period from the first quarter of 1995 to the final quarter of 2012. It focuses on Impulse Response Functions (IRF) based on Vector Autoregressive models (VAR) for GDP and various employment measures. The results reveal some changes in the responsiveness of employment when aggregate demand changes, the authors say. However, the data does not confirm a link between these changes and an increased use of flexible work arrangements. Meanwhile, changes in responsiveness and the divergence of long-term trends between the main sectors are cyclical in nature, the authors argue. They conclude that the growing role of flexible work arrangements has an unclear impact on the relationship between employment and production in individual business sectors.

Suggested Citation

  • Cichocki, Stanisław & Gradzewicz, Michał & Tyrowicz, Joanna, . "Wrażliwość zatrudnienia na zmiany PKB w Polsce a elastyczność instytucji rynku pracy," Gospodarka Narodowa-The Polish Journal of Economics, Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie / SGH Warsaw School of Economics, vol. 2015(4).
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:polgne:359014
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.359014
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    1. Mr. Athanasios Vamvakidis & Mr. Francis Vitek & Ms. Mwanza Nkusu & Mr. Reginald Darius & Mr. Alun H. Thomas & Edouard Vidon, 2010. "Cross-Cutting Themes in Employment Experiences during the Crisis," IMF Staff Position Notes 2010/018, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Enrico Marelli & Marcello Signorelli & Joanna Tyrowicz, 2012. "Crises and Joint Employment–Productivity Dynamics: A Comparative Perspective for European Countries," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 54(2), pages 361-394, June.
    3. Òscar Jordà, 2005. "Estimation and Inference of Impulse Responses by Local Projections," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 95(1), pages 161-182, March.
    4. Helmut Lütkepohl, 2005. "New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-540-27752-1, January.
    5. Eichhorst, Werner & Escudero, Veronica & Marx, Paul & Tobin, Steven, 2010. "The Impact of the Crisis on Employment and the Role of Labour Market Institutions," IZA Discussion Papers 5320, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    6. Blanchard, Olivier & Wolfers, Justin, 2000. "The Role of Shocks and Institutions in the Rise of European Unemployment: The Aggregate Evidence," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 110(462), pages 1-33, March.
    7. Cabrales, Antonio & Hopenhayn, Hugo A., 1997. "Labor-market flexibility and aggregate employment volatility," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 46(1), pages 189-228, June.
    8. Werner Eichhorst & Michael Feil & Paul Marx, 2010. "Crisis, What Crisis? Patterns of Adaptation in European Labor Markets," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot, Berlin, vol. 61(Supplemen), pages 29-64.
    9. Zivot, Eric & Andrews, Donald W K, 2002. "Further Evidence on the Great Crash, the Oil-Price Shock, and the Unit-Root Hypothesis," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 20(1), pages 25-44, January.
    10. Kwiatkowski Eugeniusz & Włodarczyk Przemysław, 2014. "Importance of Employment Protection and Types of Employment Contracts for Elasticity of Employment in the OECD Countries," Comparative Economic Research, Sciendo, vol. 17(1), pages 1-24, March.
    11. repec:imf:imfson:2010/018 is not listed on IDEAS
    12. Athanasios Vamvakidis & Francis Vitek & Mwanza Nkusu & Reginald Darius & Alun H. Thomas & Edouard Vidon, 2010. "Cross-Cutting Themes in Employment Experiences during the Crisis," IMF Staff Position Notes 2010/18, International Monetary Fund.
    13. repec:imf:imfsns:2010/018 is not listed on IDEAS
    14. Romain Duval & Jørgen Elmeskov & Lukas Vogel, 2007. "Structural Policies and Economic Resilience to Shocks," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 567, OECD Publishing.
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    Cited by:

    1. Kristof Bartosik & Jan Mycielski, 2020. "The output employment elasticity and the increased use of temporary contracts: Evidence from Poland," Acta Oeconomica, Akadémiai Kiadó, Hungary, vol. 70(1), pages 83-104, March.
    2. Kamila Radlinska, 2020. "Procyclicality of Changes in Labour Productivity - Labour Hoarding in CEE Countries," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(4), pages 185-200.
    3. Mierzejewski Mateusz & Drzewiej Agnieszka, 2025. "Employment Cyclicality in the EU Financial Sector from a Gender Perspective," Central European Economic Journal, Sciendo, vol. 12(59), pages 338-353.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • J23 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Demand
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

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