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A Dynamic Decision Model of Technology Adoption under Uncertainty: Case of Herbicide-Resistant Rice

Author

Listed:
  • Annou, Mamane Malam
  • Wailes, Eric J.
  • Thomsen, Michael R.

Abstract

Herbicide-resistant (HR) rice technology is a potential tool for control of red rice in commercial rice production. Using an ex ante mathematical programming framework, this research presents an empirical analysis of HR rice technology adoption under uncertainty. The analysis accounts for stochastic germination of red rice and sheath blight to model a profit maximization problem of crop rotation among HR rice, regular rice, and soybeans. The results demonstrate that risk attitudes and technology efficiency determine adoption rates and optimal rotation patterns.

Suggested Citation

  • Annou, Mamane Malam & Wailes, Eric J. & Thomsen, Michael R., 2005. "A Dynamic Decision Model of Technology Adoption under Uncertainty: Case of Herbicide-Resistant Rice," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 37(1), pages 1-12, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:joaaec:43724
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.43724
    as

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    File URL: http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/43724/files/161-172.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Robert N. Collender & David Zilberman, 1985. "Land Allocation under Uncertainty for Alternative Specifications of Return Distributions," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 67(4), pages 779-786.
    2. Feder, Gershon & Just, Richard E & Zilberman, David, 1985. "Adoption of Agricultural Innovations in Developing Countries: A Survey," Economic Development and Cultural Change, University of Chicago Press, vol. 33(2), pages 255-298, January.
    3. Jose B. Falck-Zepeda & Greg Traxler & Robert G. Nelson, 2000. "Rent creation and distribution from biotechnology innovations: The case of bt cotton and Herbicide-Tolerant soybeans in 1997," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(1), pages 21-32.
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    Cited by:

    1. Lyman, Nathaniel & Nalley, Lawton Lanier, 2013. "Stochastic Valuation of Hybrid Rice Technology in Arkansas," 2013 Annual Meeting, February 2-5, 2013, Orlando, Florida 142505, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    2. Busdieker-Jesse, Nichole L. & Nogueira, Lia & Onal, Hayri & Bullock, David S., 2016. "The Economic Impact of New Technology Adoption on the U.S. Apple Industry," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 41(3), pages 1-21, September.

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